BY THOMAS DE WAAL
Twenty years ago, 15 new states emerged from the wreck
of the Soviet Union, uneven shards from a broken monolith. One story turned
into 15. Most Soviet watchers have been struggling to keep up ever since. How
to tell these multiple stories?
In retrospect, it is evident that Western commentators
failed to predict or explain what has happened to these countries: their
lurches from one crisis to another, weird hybrid political systems, unstable
stability.
Commentators have long tried to project models from
the rest of the world ("transition to a market economy,"
"evolution of a party system") onto countries that have very
different histories and cultural assumptions from the West and often from each
other. I have read about Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin's
"ethnocentric patriotism," his "delegative democracy trap,"
and his building of a "neo-patrimonial state" -- all very intelligent
stuff. What I take away from such jargon is a nicely constructed model or two
(for both Putin and the political scientists), but not the insights I seek into
a living society.
So here is a not entirely frivolous suggestion: How about skipping the political science textbooks when it comes to trying to understand the former Soviet Union and instead opening up the pages of Nikolai Gogol, Anton Chekhov, and Fyodor Dostoyevsky?
This is not just a thought experiment; the works these
authors wrote in the 19th and early 20th centuries turn out to be surprisingly
applicable to today's politics in a broad swath of the former Soviet space,
whether it's the unexpected fragility of Putin's authoritarian rule in Russia
or the perpetually failed efforts to modernize next-door Ukraine. There's a
reason: Most of the former Soviet countries emerged from two centuries of
Russian-dominated autocracy, an autocracy that just happened to have produced
some of the greatest literature the world has ever seen. Some have argued that
the one helped produce the other, that the rigors of tsarist-era censorship,
the aridity of public service, and the educated classes' hunger for
intellectual nourishment all helped stimulate great writing. Pushkin and
Tolstoy, Gogol, Chekhov, and Dostoyevsky were more than just cultural
commentators -- they were public celebrities and the key moral and intellectual
voices of their age. They were idolized because they described the predicament
readers found themselves in -- and still do.
In her surprising 2010 bestseller, The
Possessed, Elif Batuman
makes the case for why Russian literature can be a guide to most of life's
questions, big and small. "Tatyana and Onegin, Anna and Vronsky," she writes, recalling some of the Russian canon's most famous
characters, "at every step, the riddle of human behavior and the nature of
love appeared bound up with Russian."
My idea here is a little more modest: a brief sketch
of how three great works of Russian literature can be mapped onto the stories
of the three post-Soviet countries in which Western commentators take the
keenest interest: Russia, Ukraine, and Georgia. These classics, each more than
a century old, provide both the specific detail and the grand panorama that are
lacking in a shelf full of overmodeled political analysis.
Russia as Nikolai Gogol's The Government Inspector
A great burden of Russia is that it has never rid
itself of the habit of feudalism, of personalized power. Up until the late 19th
century, enslaved serfs constituted a majority of the Russian population. Nor
were the landowners who ruled the serfs independent -- they served the state
and owned property at the mercy of the tsar. The Soviet system reconstituted
that hierarchy, this time with centralized ownership of property and the
monopoly of the Communist Party. In recent years, Putin has repackaged it yet
again for the post-Soviet era, imposing a so-called "power vertical"
even while allowing his citizens a much greater degree of private space.
But, as Putin has recently discovered, the system is
surprisingly brittle. It requires constant maintenance, as it is built on a
chain of dependencies that are oiled by favors and kickbacks and riddled with
suspicion and duplicity.
It can break down quickly. A tsar can get too willful
or sick or run out of money to pay his bills, at which point Russian citizens
are fully capable of challenging their rulers -- if they think it is worth the
effort. As Russia scholar Sam Greene has put
it, "There is
a common myth … that Russians are passive. This is not true: Russians are
aggressively immobile." By this he means that Russians are naturally
conservative, preferring to focus on survival strategies rather than take risks
that might make their situation worse. If they feel the emperor has no clothes,
though, they will protest. That's what happened from 1989 to 1991, when the
whole Soviet edifice crumbled, and, on a more modest scale, in recent months
since the rigging of December's parliamentary elections.
Which brings me irresistibly to Nikolai Gogol's The
Government Inspector. Gogol is the master cartoonist of Russian life. You could say he is
savagely affectionate about Russia. His only full-length play is Russia's
greatest stage comedy and its most devastating satire, a mirror of Russia's
habit of replicating petty despotism from tsar to serf. When Nicholas I watched
an early performance in 1836, he famously exclaimed, "We all got it in the
neck -- and me most of all."
The plot is simple: The corrupt mayor of a small town
is tipped off that a government inspector from St. Petersburg is arriving to
investigate how local affairs are being run. This causes panic! Everyone is
taking bribes, money for a new hospital was siphoned off and nothing was built,
and geese are nesting in the front hall of the underused courthouse.
Then the mayor and his underlings disastrously mistake
a young city man living at the town's hotel for the inspector. Khlestakov, as
the guest is called, is in fact a wastrel brazenly running up credit, having
lost all his money in a game of cards. He quickly takes advantage of the
obsequious attentions of the town officials, proceeding to fleece the local
bureaucrats for money and seduce the mayor's wife and daughter with wildly
embroidered tales of life in St. Petersburg.
Just like Russian history of the last century, the
play's denouement brings a cycle of revolt, absolutism, and collapse. A crowd
of mutinous merchants complains to the newcomer about the mayor's abuses. The
mayor trumps them by announcing that Khlestakov has proposed to his daughter
and will take the family to St. Petersburg. The mayor lords it over a cowed
merchant, telling him, "Now you are sprawling at my feet. Why? Because
I've got the upper hand, but if the balance tipped just a bit your way, then,
you rascal, you would trample me in the mud and club me on the head into the
bargain."
Then the balance does tip. With Khlestakov having
skipped town, the postman covertly opens a letter the fraudster has written
bragging about the hoax he has perpetrated. The whole illusion shatters, and
the town is struck dumb by the news that the real government inspector has
arrived. At the end, the distraught mayor tells both his subordinates and the
audience, "What are you laughing at? You are laughing at yourselves!"
In Putin's Russia, as in that of Nicholas I, everyone
knows his or her place and colludes in corrupt practices, out of self-interest
or inertia or both. But it all depends on the man at the top -- the tsar, the
mayor, the president. When the illusion of authority evaporates -- the
inspector is a fraud, the president overreaches -- everything can crumble
quickly. In the play, order is re-established quickly too: The new inspector
will impose his will. In the play's celebrated closing "dumb scene,"
though, the characters are struck speechless, and we glimpse a moment of
existential terror.
Russia's recurring predicament is to swing between
autocratic order and societal breakdown, which is how most Russians experienced
the post-Soviet 1990s. The Government Inspector poses
the same dilemma. If Gogol has a lesson here for Russia's current civic
protesters, it is that they must strive to change the system itself, not just
the man at the head of it.
Ukraine as Anton Chekhov's The Cherry Orchard
Ukraine is a large, peaceful country that does little
to make an impression on the world. It lacks its big neighbor's Great Power
complex and nuclear weapons, playing a sort of Canada to Russia's United
States.
Certainly, Ukraine's post-Soviet statehood is now real
and irreversible. In the two decades of its independence, it has twice achieved
what Russia has failed to: the handover of power from government to opposition.
It has failed, however, to deliver tangible material
benefits to ordinary people. In a recent Pew
Research Center survey of Russia,
Ukraine, and Lithuania, the most negative attitude was from Ukrainian
respondents. More than half of them said they disapproved of the post-Soviet
transition to multiparty democracy and a market economy, a higher figure than
in Russia. Almost three-quarters said ordinary people had benefited "not
too much" or "not at all" from the changes since 1991. Top-level
corruption is a fact of life. Ukrainian politics, too, have veered from the
brave civic activism of the 2004-2005 Orange Revolution, when protesters
overturned a rigged election after Viktor Yanukovych was wrongly declared to
have defeated opposition candidate Viktor Yushchenko, to a Yushchenko
presidency so disappointing that in 2010 voters elected Yanukovych anyway.
The country seems to be, in scholar Lilia Shevtsova's
phrase, "lost in
transition."
Internationally, rather than acting as a dynamic bridge between Europe and
Russia, Ukraine has become, as my colleague Olga Shumylo-Tapiola has put it, a
"gray
zone" somewhere
in between. Ukraine is stuck.
This sends me back to the wonderful Anton Chekhov, the
poet of the mundane. Better than any author, Chekhov conveys how drama happens
without drama. He famously wrote, "People eat their lunch, just eat their
lunch, and at the same time their happiness is taking shape or their lives are
shattered."
Many of his characters have a charming but fatal habit
of thinking great thoughts while the world passes them by. Maybe we can better
understand Yushchenko's underwhelming presidency if we compare him to the
eminently likable Lieutenant Colonel Vershinin in Three
Sisters, who spends
much of the play dreamily predicting how, "in two or three hundred years,
life on Earth will be unimaginably beautiful, marvelous" -- while utterly
failing to act in the present.
But it is Chekhov's last play, The
Cherry Orchard, which best
evokes the dilemma of being Ukraine. The year is about 1900. A charming but
feckless aristocrat, Lyubov Ranevskaya, returns from Paris to her family estate
in eastern Ukraine and must sell the house and its famous cherry orchard to pay
off a mountain of debt. A veritable social slide show of the era passes through
the house: a rich new businessman, Yermolai Lopakhin, the son of a serf who can
now afford to buy and cut down the cherry orchard; a revolutionary
"eternal student" who announces that he is "above love"; an
uprooted German governess; down-at-the-heels aristocratic neighbors; and uppity
servants who make fun of their masters.
They are all in the same house, thinking they are
talking to each other but actually talking past each other. We see that, and
they don't.
The play builds to a dramatic close. A party is held
as the estate is put up for auction, and the ex-serf Lopakhin triumphantly buys
it. He extravagantly orders the gypsy musicians to play and then tries to
console Ranevskaya, "Oh, how I wish it would all pass and our disjointed
unhappy life would change quickly!" But there is no revolution, only more
gentle muddle. Everyone just moves on -- or back to Paris, in the case of
Ranevskaya. Her indolent aristocratic brother takes a job in a bank. Only Firs,
the elderly deaf servant, is left behind in the abandoned house, and that is by
mistake.
A mixed inheritance, missed opportunities, the triumph
of new money, transition without arrival. This is the story of Ukraine, a
modern European country of 45 million people that is not really going anywhere.
Through the poetic veil of The Cherry Orchard,
we can see that one of Ukraine's key problems is that the thinkers who dream of
a brave new life -- in their case, a destiny for their country as part of
Europe -- don't actually know how to make it happen. Yet Chekhov called The Cherry Orchard a comedy. He wants us to
understand that no one is in terminal suffering. At least Ukraine today is
still more comedy than tragedy. But can its citizens start to have a proper
conversation with each other about their future?
Georgia as Fyodor Dostoyevsky's The Brothers
Karamazov
All 15 republics of the Soviet Union that gained
independence on Dec. 25, 1991, save Russia, were patricides: They killed their
Russian father to gain their freedom. Everywhere, the separation was a painful
one, but nowhere more so than in Georgia, a country whose elite, over two
centuries of empire, had forged strong ties with Russians through the
aristocracy, the Orthodox Church, and the Bolshevik brotherhood. The story gets
even more complex considering that, for 30 years of the 20th century, it was a Russified
Georgian, Joseph Stalin, who was the abusive parent.
In 1991, Georgia slew both Russia and its own Stalin
complex after an intense outbreak of nationalism, when it threw off Soviet
rule. Two presidents succeeded each other in years of drama and civil war. Then
in Georgia's peaceful 2003 Rose Revolution, U.S.-educated lawyer Mikheil
Saakashvili, only 35 years old at the time, engaged in another act of
patricide, ousting the man who had once been his patron, veteran Georgian
leader Eduard Shevardnadze. Saakashvili has said he was skipping a generation
in Georgia and that the country needed to "start from scratch." Out
went virtually the entire former bureaucracy and its regulations. In came a
group of 20- and 30-somethings educated abroad, forming the youngest government
in Europe.
Now take a look at Fyodor Dostoyevsky's final novel, The
Brothers Karamazov. Like the
modern history of Georgia, Dostoyevsky's plots are all about crisis and
revelation, both real and imagined. The drama and its philosophical insights
are made by romantic, impulsive, life-loving characters engaged in perpetual
argument -- surely Georgians!
In this novel a tyrannical father is murdered, and
even if none of the man's three sons actually committed the deed, each must
confront his secret patricidal desire to see the old man dead. Dostoyevsky's
most fascinating creation is the fiercely intelligent 24-year-old student Ivan
Karamazov. He is obsessed with utopian theories about how to end suffering in
the world and ready to contemplate extreme measures to make it happen.
In the book's most famous chapter, Ivan tells his fable
of a Grand Inquisitor from
16th-century Spain rebuking Jesus Christ for granting humanity the "burden
of free will," which had brought only unhappiness. He envisions instead a
small caste of enlightened rulers who will govern the masses in their best
interest, while blinding them with deliberate mystification. The Grand
Inquisitor tells Christ, "All will be happy, all the millions of beings,
except for the hundred thousand who govern them. For only we, we, who preserve
the mystery, only we shall be unhappy."
Ivan is a close fit for today's young Georgian
reformers: intense, arrogant, and philosophical. In a modern incarnation he
would perhaps have studied in the United States on a Muskie
fellowship, would have
served as a deputy minister, and would now be a 24/7 blogger with a column in
the new elite's in-house magazine, Tabula.
I had an online debate with one such Georgian a few
months ago. He tenaciously supported the U.S. government's use of
"enhanced interrogation techniques" against terrorism suspects during
the George W. Bush era, while I called it "torture." When I wrote that
he reminded me of Ivan Karamazov, he replied, "Dostoevsky would not be my
choice to seek advice on military strategy and tactics. To apply individual
morality is philosophical error that leads to morally indefensible catastrophic
consequences." To my mind, a perfect Ivan Karamazov response!
The new Georgian generation has certainly done
impressive things. In many ways Georgia has been transformed since 2004. The
tax and customs systems have been overhauled, public service streamlined, and
new cities and road systems planned. But there has been a cost. The new elite
is perceived as arrogant and unaccountable -- one reason it got dragged into a
war with Russia in the summer of 2008. Corruption and criminality, which had
plagued Georgia for a generation, have been suppressed -- but at the price of
the creation of a new, feared police force seemingly answerable to no one.
According to U.S. State Department cables published by
WikiLeaks, the Georgian governing elite's most articulate spokesman, Giga
Bokeria, told
the U.S. Embassy in Tbilisi
in 2008 that the Georgian president "believed that he did not have the
luxury of developing consensus in order to bring irreversible democratic change
to Georgia" and that "reform
would stop" if the
opposition did well in the elections. This idea of "reform before
democracy" (some would call it the ends justifying the means) has a
philosophical lineage that goes beyond the 20th-century Bolsheviks and further
back to the Russian radical thinkers of the mid-19th century. Dostoyevsky
spells out how dangerous that can be: In his novel, Ivan Karamazov's
single-minded pursuit of a rational utopia and the strain of his father's death
lead him to hallucinations and the brink of a nervous breakdown. The Georgian
government is some way from that point. But the warning is there.
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