By Patrick J. Buchanan
U.S. growth in
the first quarter fell to 2.2 percent, a disappointment. But in Europe, that
news would have caused general rejoicing.
For consider the gathering crisis on the old
continent.
With negative growth now for six months, Britain has
fallen back into recession. “I don’t think we’re anywhere near halfway through
the eurozone crisis,” said Prime Minister David Cameron this weekend.
Romania’s government fell last week. The Czech government
barely survived a vote of no confidence. In the capital cities of both
countries, tens of thousands have angrily protested the new austerity.
The Dutch government also fell last week, when the
Freedom Party of right-wing populist Geert Wilders abandoned the governing
coalition.
Wilders refuses to support spending cuts and new taxes needed to meet the hard deficit target of 3 percent of gross domestic product set by the European Union for 2013.
The Rome government of Silvio Berlusconi is history.
New Prime Minister Mario Monti says Italy cannot sustain the austerity being
imposed upon her.
In Spain, unemployment has hit 24.4 percent. Half her
young are jobless. “Spain is undergoing a crisis of enormous proportions,” says
Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo. He compares the EU to the
Titanic.
French elections are Sunday. Most observers believe
they will end the career of President Nicolas Sarkozy and install in the Elysee
Palace a socialist, Francois Hollande, who has pledged to impose a 75 percent
tax on incomes above 1 million euros.
With a week to go, the French campaign calls to mind
the 1930s.
Sarkozy, says the New York Times, is
focusing on “patriotism, protectionism, French values,” attacking immigrants
who do not assimilate.
“I do not want to let France be diluted by
globalization,” Sarkozy declared Sunday. “Europe has given in too much to free
trade and deregulation. … I do not want France to be isolated in the world, but
I want frontiers respected. … France expects a Europe that protects the
European people.”
The far-left candidate, Jean-Luc Melanchon, defeated
in the first round, is charging Sarkozy with using the language of Pierre Laval
and Marshal Philippe Petain, both convicted of collaborating with the Nazis.
“To be treated as a fascist by a communist is a
compliment,” says Sarkozy.
“In 2012, the issue is borders, and I will put them at
the center of the debate,” Sarkozy said Sunday in Toulouse, where an Islamist
fanatic recently murdered four Jews, including three children, and three French
soldiers.
“Without borders, there is no nation, there is no
Republic, there is no civilization,” he told 10,000 cheering supporters. “We
are not superior to others, but we are different.”
Sarkozy is on “a mad path,” says Hollande. “The issue
in France and in Europe is the fight against extremism.”
Greek elections are also scheduled for Sunday, with
the center-left Pasok Party and center-right New Democracy having lost half of
their support since 2009.
Ireland votes May 31 on the eurozone fiscal pact that
calls for austerity among Europe’s most indebted nations. Polls are predicting
a yes vote. But Sinn Fein’s Gerry Adams has ridden a rising tide against the
pact to make his party the second-most-popular in Ireland.
“The rise in political extremism in Europe,” writes Financial Times columnist Wolfgang Munchau, “is in
part the consequence of stubbornness and stupidity among centrist elites.”
Where is Europe going?
Larry Summers is probably right, “Again Europe and the
global economy approach the brink.”
With the demonstrations, riots, and governments
falling like dominoes, Europe’s ruling elites are losing the confidence of the
people and its ruling parties are bleeding support to the more militant left
and right.
What does this portend for Europe?
Probably an easing up of austerity — of the tax hikes
and budget cuts for payrolls, pensions and health care — demanded by Germany’s
Angela Merkel and her fiscally hawkish allies. And it probably means an effort
to stimulate the dormant economies of Europe without sending buyers of Europe’s
bonds fleeing for the exits out of fear of inflation or default.
But the vision of One Europe that dates back to the
1950s and Jean Monnet seems to belong to yesterday.
Transnationalism, the idea of sacrificing the national
interest for the greater good of Europe, is dying. Not one of the four leading
French parties in the first round of voting was making the case for Europe.
Second, the idea of a multicultural Europe open to
immigration from beyond its borders seems to be dead.
Third, the ideology of Occupy Wall Street has crossed
the pond.
The senior Catholic cardinal in Britain is demanding
that Cameron accept a “Robin Hood tax” on large financial transactions to make
“banks and large financial institutions pay their fair share,” with the tax
money going to the poor.
The One Percenters are in the gun sights everywhere.
Rarely was Yeats’ couplet more apposite.
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world.
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