Big Time Crooks
By Jonathan Weil
Only a few years ago, Spain’s banks were seen in some
policy-making circles as a model for the rest of the world. This may be hard to
fathom now, considering that Spain is seeking $125 billion to bail out its
ailing lenders.
But back in 2008 and early 2009, Spanish regulators
were riding high after their country’s banks seemed to have dodged the
financial crisis with minimal losses. A big reason for their success, the
regulators said, was an accounting technique called dynamic provisioning.
By this, they meant that Spain’s banks had set aside
rainy- day loan-loss reserves on their books during boom years. The purpose,
they said, was to build up a buffer in good times for use in bad times.
This isn’t the way accounting standards usually work.
Normally the rules say companies can record losses, or provisions, only when
bad loans are specifically identified. Spanish regulators said they were trying
to be countercyclical, so that any declines in lending and the broader economy
would be less severe.
What’s now obvious is that Spain’s banks weren’t
reporting all of their losses when they should have, dynamically or otherwise.
One of the catalysts for last weekend’s bailout request was the decision last
month by the Bankia (BKIA) group, Spain’s third-largest lender, to restate its
2011 results to show a 3.3 billion-euro ($4.2 billion) loss rather than a 40.9
million-euro profit. Looking back, we probably should have knownSpain’s banks
would end up this way, and that their reported financial results bore no
relation to reality.
Name
Calling
Dynamic provisioning is a euphemism for an old
balance- sheet trick called cookie-jar accounting. The point of the technique
is to understate past profits and shift them into later periods, so that
companies can mask volatility and bury future losses. Spain’s banks began using
the method in 2000 because their regulator, the Bank of Spain, required them
to.
“Dynamic loan loss provisions can help deal with procyclicality in banking,” Bank of Spain’s director of financial stability, Jesus Saurina, wrote in a July 2009 paper published by the World Bank. “Their anticyclical nature enhances the resilience of both individual banks and the banking system as a whole. While there is no guarantee that they will be enough to cope with all the credit losses of a downturn, dynamic provisions have proved useful in Spain during the current financial crisis.”
The danger with the technique is it can make companies
look healthy when they are actually quite ill, sometimes for years, until they
finally deplete their excess reserves and crash. The practice also clashed with
International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain adopted several years
ago along with the rest of Europe. European Union officials knew this and let
Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.
One of the more candid advocates of Spain’s approach
was Charlie McCreevy, the EU’s commissioner for financial services from 2004 to
2010, who previously had been Ireland’s finance minister. During an April 2009
meeting of the monitoring board that oversees the International Accounting
Standards Board’s trustees, McCreevy said he knew Spain’s banks were violating
the board’s rules. This was fine with him, he said.
“They didn’t implement IFRS, and our regulations said from the 1st January 2005 all publicly listed companies had to implement IFRS,” McCreevy said, according to a transcript of the meeting on the monitoring board’s website. “The Spanish regulator did not do that, and he survived this. His banks have survived this crisis better than anybody else to date.”
Ignoring Rules
McCreevy, who at the time was the chief enforcer of EU
laws affecting banking and markets, went on: “The rules did not allow the
dynamic provisioning that the Spanish banks did, and the Spanish banking
regulator insisted that they still have the dynamic provisioning. And they did
so, but I strictly speaking should have taken action against them.”
Why didn’t he take action? McCreevy said he was a fan
of dynamic provisioning. “Why am I like that? Well, I’m old enough to remember
when I was a young student that in my country that I know best, banks weren’t
allowed to publish their results in detail,” he said. “Why? Because we felt if
everybody saw the reserves, etc., it would create maybe a run on the banks.”
So to sum up this way of thinking: The best system is
one that lets banks hide their financial condition from the public. Barring
that, it’s perfectly acceptable for banks to violate accounting standards, if
that’s what it takes to navigate a crisis. The proof is that Spain’s banks
survived the financial meltdown of 2008 better than most others.
Except now we know they didn’t. They merely postponed
their reckoning, making it inevitably more expensive. Someday maybe the world’s
leaders will learn that masking losses undermines investor confidence and makes
crises worse. We can only hope they don’t manage to blow up the whole financial
system first.
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