What is the longest-running socialist experiment? What
has its success been?
If someone asked you to defend the idea that socialism
has failed, what would you offer as your example?
Where did modern socialism begin?
In America.
That's right: in the land of the free and the home of
the braves. On Indian reservations.
They were invented to control adult warriors. They had
as a goal to keep the native population in poverty and impotent.
Did the system work? You bet it did.
Has the experiment been a failure? On the contrary, it
has been a success.
When was the last time you heard of a successful
Indian uprising?
Are the people poor? The poorest in America.
Are they on the dole? Of course.
Last year, the US Department of Agriculture allocated
$21 million to provide subsidized electricity to residents on the reservations
whose homes are the most distant from jobs and opportunities. You can read about
this here. This will
keep them poor. Tribal power means tribal impotence.
The tribes are dependent. They will stay dependent. That was what the program was designed to achieve.
For some reason, textbooks do not offer a page or two
on the corruption, the bureaucratization, and the multigenerational poverty
created by tribal-run socialism. Here we have a series of government-run social
laboratories. How successful have they been? Where are reservations that have
systematically brought people out of poverty?
The next one will be the first.
Workers'
Paradises
The Soviet Union lasted as a socialist workers'
paradise from 1917 until 1991. As a direct result of that experiment, at least
30 million Russians died. It may have been twice that. China's experiment was
shorter: 1949 to 1978. Perhaps 60 million Chinese died.
The system failed to deliver the promised goods. I can
think of no topic more suitable for a class in economics than a discussion of
the failure of socialism. The same is true of a course in modern world history.
A course in political science should cover this failure in detail.
They don't, of course. They do not begin with the fundamental challenge to socialist economic theory, Ludwig von Mises's 1920 essay, Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth. Why not? Because most social scientists, economists, and historians have never heard of it. Among people over age 50, the few who did hear of it heard about it from some prosocialist or Keynesian advocate, who wrote what he had been told in graduate school in the 1960s, namely, that the article was totally refuted by Oskar Lange in 1936.
They are never told that when Lange, a Communist,
returned to Poland in 1947 to serve in several high-level posts, the Communist
government did not invite him to implement his grand theory of "market
socialism." No other socialist nation ever did.
For 50 years, the textbooks, if they mentioned Mises
at all, said only that Mises had been totally refuted by Lange. The
Establishment academics dropped Mises down Orwell's memory hole.
On September 10, 1990, multimillionaire socialist
author-economist Robert Heilbroner published an article in the New Yorker. It was titled "After
Communism." The USSR
was visibly collapsing. In it, he recounted the story of the refutation of
Mises. In graduate school, he and his peers were taught that Lange had refuted
Mises. Then he announced, "Mises was right." Yet in his bestselling
textbook on the history of economic thought, The Worldly
Philosophers, he never
referred to Mises.
The Visible
Failures
The universal failure of 20th-century socialism began
from the opening months of Lenin's takeover of Russia. Output declined sharply.
He inaugurated a marginally capitalist reform in 1920, the New Economic Policy. That saved the regime from collapse. The NEP was
abolished by Stalin.
Decade after decade, Stalin murdered people. The
minimal estimate is 20 million. This was denied by virtually the entire
intelligentsia of the West. Only in 1968 did Robert Conquest publish his
monumental book, The Great Terror. His estimate today: closer to 30 million. The book
was pilloried. Wikipedia's entry on the book is accurate.
Published during the Vietnam War and during an upsurge
of revolutionary Marxist sentiment in Western universities and intellectual
circles (see The Sixties), The Great Terror received
a hostile reception.
Hostility to Conquest's account of the purges was heightened
by various factors. The first was that he refused to accept the assertion made
by Nikita Khrushchev, and supported by many Western leftists, that Stalin and
his purges were an aberration from the ideals of the Revolution and were
contrary to the principles of Leninism. Conquest argued that Stalinism was a
natural consequence of the system established by Lenin, although he conceded
that the personal character traits of Stalin had brought about the particular
horrors of the late 1930s. Neal Ascherson noted: "Everyone by then could
agree that Stalin was a very wicked man and a very evil one, but we still
wanted to believe in Lenin; and Conquest said that Lenin was just as bad and
that Stalin was simply carrying out Lenin's programme."
The second factor (1918) was Conquest's sharp
criticism of Western intellectuals for what he saw as their blindness towards
the realities of the Soviet Union, both in the 1930s and, in some cases, even
in the 1960s. Figures such as Beatrice and Sidney Webb, George Bernard Shaw,
Jean-Paul Sartre, Walter Duranty, Sir Bernard Pares, Harold Laski, D.N. Pritt,
Theodore Dreiser and Romain Rolland were accused of being dupes of Stalin and
apologists for his regime for various comments they had made denying, excusing,
or justifying various aspects of the purges.
The Left still hates the book, still attempts to say
that he exaggerated the figures.
Then came The Black Book of
Communism (1999)
which puts the minimum estimate of citizens executed by Communists at 85
million, with 100 million or more likely. The book was published by Harvard
University Press, so it could not be dismissed as a right-wing fat tract.
The Left tries to ignore it.
Blind Men's
Bluff
The response of academia has been to dismiss the
entire experiment as misguided, but not inherently evil. The cost in lives lost
is rarely mentioned. Before 1991, this was even more rarely mentioned. Prior to
Solzhenitsyn's Gulag Archipelago (1973), it was considered a breach of etiquette
for an academic to do more than mention it in passing, limiting it to Stalin's
purges of the Communist Party in the late 1930s, and almost-never-mentioning
forced starvation as a matter of public policy. "Ukraine? Never heard of
it." "Kulaks? What are kulaks?"
The decrepit state of all socialist economies from
start to finish is not mentioned. Above all, there is no reference to critics
in the West who warned that these economies were large-scale Potemkin villages — fake towns created by the government to
mislead the leftist faithful who came to see the future. They returned home
with glowing accounts.
There is a book about these naive, trusting souls, who
were taken in completely, Paul Hollander's Political Pilgrims:
Travels of Western Intellectuals to the Soviet Union, China, and Cuba,
1928–1978. It was
published by Oxford University Press in 1981. It was ignored by the
intelligentsia for a decade.
The best description of these people that I have ever
read comes from Malcolm Muggeridge, who spent the early 1930s as a reporter for
the Guardian in Moscow. Everything he wrote was
censored before it was sent to England. He knew this. He could not report the
truth, and the Guardian would not have reported it if he
had. This is from volume 1 of his autobiography, Chronicles of Wasted
Time.
For resident foreign journalists in Moscow the arrival
of the distinguished visitors was also a gala occasion, for a different reason.
They provided us with our best — almost our only — comic relief. For instance,
when we heard [George Bernard] Shaw, accompanied by Lady Astor (who was
photographed cutting his hair), declare that he was delighted to find there was
no food shortage in the USSR. Or [Harold] Laski singing the praises of Stalin's
new Soviet Constitution.… I have never forgotten these visitors, or ceased to
marvel at them, at how they have gone on from strength to strength, continuing
to lighten our darkness, and to guide, counsel and instruct us; on occasion,
momentarily abashed, but always ready to pick themselves up, put on their
cardboard helmets, mount Rosinante, and go galloping off on yet another foray
on behalf of the down-trodden and oppressed. They are unquestionably one of the
wonders of the age, and I shall treasure till I die as a blessed memory the
spectacle of them travelling with radiant optimism through a famished
countryside, wandering in happy bands about squalid, over-crowded towns,
listening with unshakeable faith to the fatuous patter of carefully trained and
indoctrinated guides, repeating like schoolchildren a multiplication table, the
bogus statistics and mindless slogans endlessly intoned to them. There, I would
think, an earnest office-holder in some local branch of the League of Nations
Union, there a godly Quaker who once had tea with Gandhi, there an inveigher
against the Means Test and the Blasphemy Laws, there a staunch upholder of free
speech and human rights, there an indomitable preventer of cruelty to animals;
there scarred and worthy veterans of a hundred battles for truth, freedom and
justice — all, all chanting the praises of Stalin and his Dictatorship of the
Proletariat. It was as though a vegetarian society had come out with a
passionate plea for cannibalism, or Hitler had been nominated posthumously for
the Nobel Peace Prize.
This phenomenon did not end in the 1930s. It went on
to the last gasp of the Soviets' economic deception. The long-term moral and
intellectual bankruptcy of the West's intellectual leaders was finally exposed
in 1991 by the acknowledged economic bankruptcy and tyranny of the Marxist
regimes that the West had accepted as a valid alternative to capitalism.
No better example of this intellectual self-deception
can be found than the case of Paul Samuelson, economics professor at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the first American to win the Nobel
Prize in economics (1970), former Newsweek columnist,
and the author of by far the most influential economics textbook of the postwar
world (1948–present): at least 3 million copies, 31 foreign languages. He
announced in the 1989 edition of his textbook, "The Soviet economy is
proof that, contrary to what many skeptics had earlier believed, a socialist
command economy can function and even thrive."
Mark Skousen found that gem. He also found this one,
far more damning.
The Soviet
Experiment
Felix Somary records in his autobiography a discussion
he had with the economist Joseph Schumpeter and the sociologist Max Weber in
1918. Schumpeter was an Austrian economist who was not an Austrian School
economist. He later wrote the most influential monograph on the history of
economic thought. Weber was the most prestigious academic social scientist in
the world until he died in 1920.
Schumpeter expressed happiness regarding the Russian
Revolution. The USSR would be a test case for socialism. Weber warned that this
would cause untold misery. Schumpeter replied, "That may well be, but it
would be a good laboratory." Weber responded, "A laboratory heaped
with human corpses!" Schumpeter retorted, "Every anatomy classroom is
the same thing."[1]
Schumpeter was a moral monster. Let us not mince
words. He was a highly sophisticated man, but he was at bottom a moral monster.
Anyone who could dismiss the deaths of millions like this is a moral monster.
Weber stormed out of the room. I don't blame him.
Weber died in 1920. That was the year in which Mises's
essay appeared: Economic Calculation
in the Socialist Commonwealth. Weber gave it a footnote in his masterpiece, published posthumously asEconomy and Society (p. 107). Weber understood its importance as
soon as he read it. Academic economists did not. Even today, there are few
references to it.
Mises explained analytically why the socialist system
is irrational: no capital markets. No one knows what anything should cost. He
said that the systems would either violate the commitment to total planning or
else fail totally. He has never been forgiven for this breach of etiquette. He
was right, and the intellectuals were wrong. The socialist commonwealths have
collapsed, except for North Korea and Cuba. Worse, he was right in terms of
simple market theory that any intelligent person can understand. That article
is a testimony to the West's intellectuals: "There are none so blind as
those who refuse to see."
The Proof of the
Pudding
Mises believed that the proof of the pudding is in the
recipe. If it adds salt instead of sugar, it will not be sweet. But academia is
committed officially to empiricism. It thinks statistical tests should confirm
theory. But the tests came for decades. The socialist economies failed them and
then published fake statistics. But still the West's intellectuals insisted
that the socialist ideal was morally sound. They insisted that the results will
eventually prove the theory right.
Nikita Khrushchev was famous for saying this to Nixon
in the famous "kitchen debate" of 1959. He had been a bureaucrat who
survived under Stalin by overseeing the murder
of tens of thousands of people in Ukraine. He told Nixon, "We will bury you." He was wrong.
College students are not informed of either the theory
of socialism nor the magnitude of its failures, both economically and
demographically. In the pre-1991 era, this was easier than it is today. The
intelligentsia now has to admit that capitalism is more productive than
socialism. So, the tactic now is to say that it is morally deficient. Worse, it
ignores ecology. This was Heilbroner's recommended strategy in his 1990
article. He said that socialists would have to switch from charging capitalism
with inefficiency and waste to charging it with environmental destruction.
Conclusion
The comprehensive nature of the failure of socialism
is not taught in college textbooks. The topic is glossed over wherever
possible. It was easier to impose sanctions against anyone in the related
worlds of academia and journalism before 1991.
Deng Xiaoping announced his version of Lenin's New
Economic Policy in 1978. But that did not get much publicity.
In 1991, Humpty Dumpty fell. All the kings horses and
all the king's men could not put him together again. Gorbachev presided over
the final gasp in 1991. He received Time magazine's
"Man of the Decade" in 1990. In 1991, he became an employed
ex-dictator. Socialism failed — totally. But the intelligentsia still refuses
to embrace the free-market social philosophy of Mises, the man who predicted
the failures of socialism, and who provided arguments to support his universal
condemnation.
That is why it is a good idea to predict the demise of
bad economic policies, along with your analysis. "I told you so, and I
told you why" beats "I told you so."
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