Iran Wants War
Although
a peaceful nation for hundreds of years, Iran was invaded and occupied by the
Allies in both World War One and Two. Then in 1980, at the urging of the United
States, Saddam Hussein invaded them and used poison gas
against both Kurds and Iran. Over 500,000 civilians, Iranian and Iraqi soldiers
died in the longest war of the 20th century, which lasted until 1988.
Iran
wants war because they believe they can withstand an Israel and US air assault
and that unless they are invaded and occupied they can claim victory. No Middle
East nation has ever been victorious against either the US or Israel and to
declare victory against both will make Iran the leading nation across the
entire region, at least for the people in the street. An Israel/US assault
would also solve growing domestic political problems against the regime.
Israel
Bibi
Netanyahu obviously believes Iran
threatens the survival of Israel, as no major domestic political reasons to go
to war are evident. The majority of Israel's population appears to be opposed
to a military strike against Iranian nuclear facilities because of retaliation
from Iran and Hezbollah. But as in the US, what the majority of the people want
is of no consequence.
If
the war plan leaked several days ago is real (see "Bibi's Secret War Plan") it's excellent
but no war plan survives the first contact with the enemy. It appears to be an
exact reverse of my fictional "The First American Dollar War Defeat" in which
Electromagnetic Pulse weaponry is deployed.
So
Netanyahu believes Israel can delay Iranian nuclear advances by bombing them
back into the Stone Age with the help of America, who will surely be drawn into
the conflict. Although most neocon experts believe the war will be short
with a minimum of retaliation I fear the war could be a long one, pulling in
many other nations in the Middle East. Again, Iran showed its resolve against
Iraq in their long war and this same determination would rise to extreme levels
against an Israeli strike.
USA
The
old war against terror propaganda is losing ground to alternative news and
opinion now available because of the Internet
Reformation. Frankly, few people believe anything from either the American
government or its establishment propaganda outlets and this is a frightening
situation to the power elite that rules America.
Due
to the growing economic crisis, the government needs to take strong actions
that could be violently resisted by large segments of the US population unless
a major financial or military crisis can be used as an excuse and cover for
coming dictatorial actions. Simply stated, there are not enough police and
military in the US to control the population should an insurrection take place.
A major war in the Middle East can provide a casus belli for a direct assault
against US private wealth, liberties, benefit programs and opposition by the
power elite.
For
example, the imposition of a military draft will dramatically cut unemployment
rates as well as limit inner-city crime and outrage over cuts in domestic
spending and welfare. Remember, austerity is needed and a draconian cut in
Social Security and benefit programs must be engineered against the 50 percent
of the population who receive some type of government benefits.
In
addition, gold will need to be confiscated. Forced retirement investment into
collapsing dollar denominated Treasury obligations must be required when
foreign investors stop buying US debt. Stronger TSA authority, drones and harsh
domestic controls will need to be implemented for the duration of the conflict
in order to squelch domestic opposition. Taxes must be raised, penalties and
fines must be doubled and tripled at the federal, state and municipal levels
and finally, severe limitations on freedom of speech and freedom of assembly
will be forced on the American people, along with gun control and limited
access to Internet news and communications.
Finally,
a major, long-term war in the Middle East will provide an excuse for the
deferment and rescheduling of US debt obligations owed to nations and
governments that oppose the US/Israel war in the Middle East. For the $1
trillion owed to China and many Middle East nations, this is effectively debt
repudiation.
China
China
wants to see the US weakened long-term as a world power and a major war in the
Middle East will do this. They also need a reason to dump US Treasury debt and
an excuse to avoid the blame of the coming broader repudiation of US debt. The
Chinese people will be justifiably outraged that the Chinese government and central bank accumulated $1 trillion in US debt,
although there were legitimate global trading reasons and domestic economic
justification for this over-concentration in US debt and dollar obligations.
A
Middle East war would avoid direct military action between the US and China
while protecting both US and Chinese politicians from the coming Treasury debt
repudiation, Chinese dump and global run on the dollar and Treasuries.
Conclusion
All
sides in the coming conflict – except for the civilian populations and the
soldiers maimed and killed – will win if everything goes according to plan.
However, nothing ever goes according to plan in wars and this is the problem
the world will face. Prolonged recession or depression, wealth and benefit
confiscation throughout the EU,
US and other Western democracies and the risk of a Middle East conflict
spreading around the world is my fear.
Who
is guaranteed to win regardless of the outcome of the war and whether it can be
contained? The Anglo-American financial elites and the bankers
always win every conflict regardless of the military outcome. This is the
history of the 20th century and I see no reason that will change now.
Forty-plus
years ago, when I was in basic training, we sang the patriotic and somewhat
funny marching songs. But when our drill sergeants were out of range, we would shift
into "1, 2, 3, 4 what are we fighting for?"
Looks
to me like nothing has changed. American soldiers are still fighting for the
power elites and their favored industries. I
wish it were different.
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