A country on a death march
By Wolf Richter
The French
government is trying to reign in its deficit by jacking up taxes, including the
capital gains tax, which it wants to bring to the same level as the tax on
income earned by the sweat of your brow—an old philosophical pillar of the
French left. But an explosive essay published last Friday hit a nerve with
entrepreneurs, venture capital investors, artisans, and mom-and-pop business
owners. And their anger, which spread across the social media, the papers, and
finally TV news, turned into an open revolt.
The trigger was an editorial in La Tribune by
John-David Chamboredon, Executive President of ISAI, an internet startup fund. After the Finance Law 2013 was proposed during
the presidential elections, he wrote, “la France du business stopped
breathing.” Investments and hiring were put on hold. The cause: the
capital-gains tax provisions. An entrepreneur, for example, who risked his
savings, spent 10 years growing his business, created perhaps hundreds of jobs,
survived all the challenges, and then wanted to cash out, would have to pay two
layers of taxes on the capital gains, totaling, according to his calculations,
60.5%. And so would investors.
It would kill
entrepreneurship. Funding for startups would dry up. And growth in the private
sector would wither. “If the fiscal maelstrom is confirmed, the sequence of
events is quite clear,” he wrote. “Instead of hiring people and developing the
business, owners threatened by this confiscation would spend the rest of 2012
imagining ways to escape it.”
There are legal
ways, he said, for example by creating a holding company in Luxembourg that
would retain the shares of the startup, or by relocating top management to
London (which is rolling out the red carpet). Startups funded by large funds
could do this. Small operations would be stuck in France. For them, it’s going
to be tough. And it would put a damper on job creation in France, he said.
Articles in La
Tribune are normally tweeted a few times and liked on Facebook a few
more times. But this one was tweeted 1,576 times and liked 5,601 times. Over
the weekend, it gave rise to the movement of the Pigeons—which in
French also means “sucker.” The revolt of the bosses was born.
“We are the result
of the anti-economic policy of the government that has decided to take the
thousands of entrepreneurs in this country for suckers (pigeons) and
annihilate entrepreneurship,” their manifesto explains. And a demonstration of
the bosses in front of the National Assembly was organized on Facebook for
October 7.
Anger against the
“fiscal overkill” continues to grow. Entrepreneurs and those who invest in them
see this law “as an act of vengeance by those who run the government or who
live off it!” said Philippe Villin, an investment banker close to
the entrepreneurs. “The France that is taking risks and is investing their own
money in the jobs of tomorrow, and might lose everything, has the feeling of
being rejected by the France that is more protected,” added Agnes
Verdier-Molini, Director of iFRAP, a public policy think tank.
Money is already
drying up. “We had three deals going. Since Friday, everything is suspended,
because with taxes this confiscatory, it doesn’t work anymore for the business
leaders,” said Bertrand Rambaud, President of Siparex, an investment fund.
“La France du
business stopped breathing,” as Chamboredon wrote, has already
occurred. The Services Activity Index dropped to an 11-month
low. Orders plunged, and companies responded by cutting their work force at the
fastest rate since December 2009. The Draghi-Bernanke effect kicked them in the
teeth with higher input costs that they couldn’t pass on. And the Composite
Index, which combines the service and manufacturing indices, plunged to 43.2,
the lowest since March 2009—the depth of the financial crisis.
It couldn’t have
come at a worse time for President François Hollande. Since his election in
May, according to the latest poll, voter confidence in his
ability to handle the crisis dropped from 55% to 41%. And those who were “not
confident” shot up to 56%. He has become unpopular in less than six
month—which in France has never happened before.
He can’t afford an
open revolt by small business owners—or the label “anti-startup,” when
unemployment is at a 13-year high, and when every job counts. So the government
decided to do some fence-mending. It has offered to listen to the “Pigeons” and apparently is studying “solutions”
to the capital-gains tax debacle to “return to the situation as it was before.”
And unnamed members of the government might perhaps negotiate with the
Pigeons—who in return cancelled the demonstration.
The Paris auto
show, which took place at the same time, should have been exciting. Over 100
new models. Chicks next to some of them. Nausea-inducing colors, downsized
motors. Something for everyone. But it had been preceded by supplier events
loaded with the dire verbiage of an industry on a death march. Particularly in
France, whose private sector is veering into economic fiasco. And now it became
official. Read..... Worse Than The Infamous Lehman September: France’s Private
Sector Gets Kicked Off A Cliff.
And here is Chriss
Street’s Global Militarization Follows “9/11 Squared.” On 9-11, the US’s role
to provide peace in the Western World was challenged for the first time since
the collapse of the Soviet Union, he writes. But with the assassination of
America’s Ambassador to Libya, that role was terminated. Read the article here.
As for me, it all
started in France ... with a Japanese girl—a “funny as hell nonfiction book
about wanderlust and traveling abroad,” a reader tweeted. Read the first few
chapters for free on Amazon, where it’s one of the bestsellers under Japan.... BIG LIKE: CASCADE INTO AN ODYSSEY.
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