In his new book The Price of
Inequality (2012)1, Professor Joseph E. Stiglitz nearly completes his
metamorphosis from left-leaning but serious scholar to severe prosecutor. The
readers owes him thanks, for the book carries the germs of interesting
conclusions, though they are the very opposite to which Professor Stiglitz
seeks to lead him.
The author who,
according to the New York Times, holds the "commanding
position" in the storm troop of unorthodox economists, has earned his
Nobel Prize for his work on asymmetric information in exchanges between a
well-informed seller and a poorly informed buyer on terms that are on some
definition, inefficient, false and can subjectively be condemned as unjust. In
his new book, Professor Stiglitz remains faithful to the asymmetric information
that has earned him fame as an observer. He now makes massive use of it, but no
longer as an observer. Now he is the seller, bowling the buyer over with an
avalanche of arguments supported by eloquent statistics. The statistics are
selective and serve the purposes of the selector. If the reader buys the
argument, he does so mainly because he is less informed than the author about
the existence of masses of alternative statistics that tell a different story
but are kept out of the book.
The lead proposition we are invited to buy is that inequality has drastically increased and is still doing so, not because of globalization or labour-saving technologies, but because the rich and powerful used their influence to rig taxation, expenditures and public policy in general to weaken government, undermine the bargaining power of labour, destroy some of the regulatory framework and bias what was left of it, reduce competition—the heads of the indictment are rolling out in a seemingly endless sequence. The word "inequality" stands for the lot as a whole. This inequality imposes a huge cost on society—hence the title of the book.
The lead proposition we are invited to buy is that inequality has drastically increased and is still doing so, not because of globalization or labour-saving technologies, but because the rich and powerful used their influence to rig taxation, expenditures and public policy in general to weaken government, undermine the bargaining power of labour, destroy some of the regulatory framework and bias what was left of it, reduce competition—the heads of the indictment are rolling out in a seemingly endless sequence. The word "inequality" stands for the lot as a whole. This inequality imposes a huge cost on society—hence the title of the book.
The price of
inequality is paid in three ways: in the degradation of the market economy, in
the loss of social justice and in the threat to democracy.
The degradation
of the economy manifests itself in the incapacity of the market to generate
growth and employment. It is true enough that in much of the Western world,
growth is sluggish and unemployment scandalously high. But it is totally
arbitrary to claim that lack of growth and inequality are causally linked.
South Korea has had more than half-century of stellar growth accompanied by
extreme inequality of income and wealth as well as in what Mr. Stiglitz more
vaguely calls "power". Much the same is true, to a lesser extent, of
Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, China, India, Chile and Peru. Western Europe is
distinctly more egalitarian than the United States, but does not show any convincing
capacity for faster growth and seems clearly less able usefully to employ its
population. Japan is as close as any developed country to an equal income
distribution, and has had near-zero economic growth for the last two decades.
Are all these big and small, developed and undeveloped countries exceptions to
the rule Professor Stiglitz asks us to believe in, and if so, what is left of
the rule? One might more plausibly interpret the statistics as evidence that
growth goes with inequality, stagnation with equality. In fact, however, such a
reading of the numbers would be just as questionable as its opposite. This is
surely one conclusion Mr. Stiglitz did not mean us to draw. Like it or not
"other things are not equal" and it is "other things" that
tell true stories.
Another way in
which we are supposed to pay a grievously heavy price for inequality is the
lost sense of social justice. In the United States, the income of the lawyers,
medical specialists and hedge fund managers in the top 1 per cent of the income
spectrum has risen from 200 to 300 times the average household income. The
latter, at $50,000, has in real terms been stagnant for two decades. This, we
are told from all sides, is creating bitter resentment. Dire consequences may
follow.
For a one-on-one
interview with Nobelist Joseph Stiglitz on his book, plus additional suggested
readings and comments, see Stiglitz
on Inequality. EconTalk podcast, July 9, 2012.
The idea is
tricky and must be handled with care. As likely as not, resentment would be no
less bitter if top incomes were 30 or only 3 times the median than it is when
they are 300 times higher. The trigger of resentment may well be the change in
inequality rather than its level; and there is little doubt that a large
segment of the population resents any inequality, whether the top incomes are
300 times or merely 3 times its own. Professor Stiglitz's proposed 70 per cent income
tax for the top bracket may elicit a grunt of satisfaction on the Left, but no
easing of the resentment. It is reasonable to suppose, in addition, that the
bitterness felt in the middle and low-income groups is due as much to the
persistent stagnation of their real incomes as to the rich getting richer in a
hurry.
link to Jasay's
former articles in next par, re: "I have in this column more than once
suggested that the real reason is the enormous expansion of the world supply of
unskilled and semi-skilled labour brought about by falling transport costs and
trade barriers."
Contrary to the
author's claim that the rich are getting richer, not due to underlying economic
trends, but by using their power and influence to enrich themselves, I have in
this column more than once suggested that the real reason is the enormous
expansion of the world supply of unskilled and semi-skilled labour brought
about by falling transport costs and trade barriers. With globalization, a
billion or more rural people in Asia could be recruited into the urban
industrial sector and produce the tradeable goods that undersell the goods
hitherto produced in the United States and Europe. Until this new Asian labour
is wholly absorbed and its wages rise to Western levels, U.S. and European
unskilled wages will remain depressed and the share of profits in value added
will rise. Ironically, while this sharpens inequality in the West, it promotes
equality on a world scale as Asian and eventually also African peoples are
lifted out of misery.
None of this,
however, has much of anything, to do with justice. Resenting something does not
make it unjust. The Stiglitz technique, the same as has been employed by the
majority of opinion-makers for the last half-century or more, is to use
"equality" as synonymous, interchangeable with "social
justice". Once the habit of using either of the two as meaning the other
has taken root, inequality has become tautologically the same as a violation of
social justice. It became as good as impossible to defend inequality, for you
could not possibly argue in favor of injustice. But realizing as we do that
Stiglitz, together with the whole soft Left, relies on a linguistic trick to
drive home his claims may well lend us the intellectual courage to reject the entire
attack on inequality more radically than if the recourse to justice had not
been so ambitiously employed.
Finally, we are
warned, inequality exacts a heavy price by menacing our cherished form of
government, democracy itself. Votes are to a large extent bought for money;
with income and wealth distributed unequally, the rich have much more money
than the poor; the rich will buy votes for the Right and pre-empt the votes
that would have gone to the Left. Votes for the candidates of the rich makes
the rich more influential, hence richer, which enables them to buy even more
votes the next time round. Their
reign becomes unbreakable, self-perpetuating.
Oddly enough the
Stiglitz reasoning is once again out of luck. For the 2008 presidential
election, $745m was raised for Barack Obama, twice the $368m raised for John
McCain. The Left duly won, presumably because the so-called fat capitalists
raised much less money for vote-buying than minorities, Hollywood actors,
labour unions, and students. The Stiglitz theory of the rich buying the votes
works a little better for Congressional elections, but the buying is not done
always for the Right but as often as not for the Left, according to whether it
is the Republican or the Democratic candidate who can better serve particular
local and special interests. Contrary to Europe, the American legislator may be
less ideological and more venal, but his venality serves more to preserve a
messy distributional status quo than to making it ever more unequal.
Even if the
Stiglitz thesis did not get it wrong too often, it would still be a failure on
one fundamental score: it tacitly ignores the rule that you must take the rough
with the smooth. Inequality, if he is to be believed, has countless painful
consequences that amount to a heavy price. Tacitly and sometimes overtly, he
invites the reader to go for remaking it, to smooth out the rough and accept
only the smooth with the smooth. This, however, cannot be done. Every
alternative social order has built-in consequences, some rough and some smooth,
that cannot be sorted out from one another. Equality also has a price like
every other system of collective choice rules, and it suffices to think of the
late Soviet Union, North Korea, Cuba and many less acute examples to suspect
that its price could be a awesome one, even if imposed in less exotic
countries. It is always tempting for the would-be social engineer to propose
reforms that promise to smooth out the rough and reduce the price of the social
order. Before yielding to the temptation, it is well to remember that
everything has a price, but the price of everything is very hard to recognize,
let alone to predict.
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