BERLIN does not feel like an imperial city. The new
government buildings — the chancellor’s office, the Bundestag and the foreign
ministry — have all been designed with plenty of glass and natural light, to
emphasise transparency and democracy. The finance ministry is, admittedly,
housed in the old headquarters of the Luftwaffe. But most of the grandest
architecture is a legacy of the Prussian kings. Modern Berlin presents a more
welcoming face, and has become a magnet for tourists and teenagers.
Yet while the German capital has deliberately eschewed the trappings of
imperial power, Berlin is increasingly the de facto capital of the European
Union (EU). Of course the EU’s main institutions — the commission and the
council — are still based in Brussels. But the key decisions are increasingly
made in Berlin.
Will Greece have to leave the euro? Ultimately, it will be Germany’s
call. Will politicians support further bail-outs for southern Europe? The vital
debates will take place in the Bundestag in Berlin, not in the European
parliament. Who does the International Monetary Fund call about the euro crisis?
The most important conversations take place with the German government and the
European Central Bank in Frankfurt — not with the European Commission.
This shift in power from Brussels to Berlin has been accelerated by the
euro crisis. Naturally, German Chancellor Angela Merkel still has to go to
summits in Brussels and strike deals. But the euro crisis means Merkel is now
incomparably the most important leader at the table.
For different reasons, the leaders of all the other big EU nations
arrive in Brussels in a weak negotiating position. Spain and Italy are
struggling with their debt crises — and so they have become supplicants. The
British have opted out of the single currency and the new structures that the
eurozone is putting together — so they have become marginalised. The Poles are
also not in the euro, and have a relatively small economy.
That leaves France. By tradition, a Franco-German partnership is at the
heart of any EU deal.
Some argue that the Franco-German partnership has always gone through
rough patches — and that the two nations will inevitably get together again.
This time, however, it could be different. The power gap between France and
Germany has become too obvious and the issues that divide them are too
fundamental.
France’s various proposals for eurozone bonds, banking unions, EU-wide
infrastructure spending and common social programmes are all greeted with deep
suspicion in Berlin. The Germans suspect that the bottom line uniting these
ideas is a desire to get German taxpayers to subsidise France. But Germany’s
counterproposal — that the national budgets of EU nations be subject to control
by a European commissioner — is dismissed as an unacceptable infringement of
national sovereignty in Paris.
By tradition, a Franco-German compromise would be hammered out. But the
issues involved are so basic that a deal may not be easily found. In that case,
the relative economic strength of Germany could prove decisive — particularly
if, as many in Berlin suspect, France is heading for a profound economic
crisis.
This steady accretion of power to Germany is greeted with ambivalence in
Berlin. For obvious historical reasons, postwar Germany has never sought a
dominant role within Europe. After reunification, the goal was always said to
be "a European Germany, not a German Europe". That instinct to try to
submerge German interests within a general European identity remains powerful.
But exasperation with rule-breaking and fiscal incontinence elsewhere in Europe
is making the Germans less shy about insisting on the need for a more
"German" Europe. The price of German financial assistance is,
increasingly, going to be the acceptance of rules and laws designed in Berlin.
That kind of power can lead to arrogance. In Berlin last week I heard
occasional exasperated references to arrogant Spaniards, haughty Brits,
delusional Frenchmen and corrupt Greeks. But the general tone of discussion is
serious, patient and responsible. The Germans insist that they are completely
committed to the euro and to the EU.
The problem is that life is too sweet in Berlin. Germany is prosperous
and Berlin is a pleasant and fashionable city. The struggles of Greece or Spain
seem a very long way away. That detachment from the rest of the eurozone —
rather than any "will to power" — is why Berlin remains a peculiar
capital for Europe.
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