In his State of the Union speech on January 23, 1996,
President Bill Clinton famously proclaimed,
“The era of big government is over.” If anything is clear from the Obama
victory, it is that the era of big government is back.
While the pundits pour over
the voter turnout results and parse their meaning for Republicans and future
elections, there is at least one common thread uniting all of those who voted
for President Obama: They all believe in big-government handouts and bailouts.
It’s more than just the nanny
state, it’s the sugar daddy state.
More so than race or gender,
the biggest divide in the country may be those who embrace the government as
sugar daddy, versus those who don’t. Obama’s whole campaign was based on
handouts and bailouts. While Governor Mitt Romney tried to maintain his
focus on the economy, Obama stressed how much he had given away—and would give
away if reelected.
In Michigan and Ohio the
president wanted voters to know that he came to the rescue of the auto
industry—though for some reason he didn’t blame George W. Bush, who actually
initiated the first bailouts.
While Romney tried to talk
about getting the government out of health care, Obama wanted to make sure
women knew that he provided them with free contraceptives.
While Romney tried to talk
about block-granting Medicaid to the states as a way to get control of its
unsustainable growth trend, Obama scared many low-income people into thinking
they would lose their health insurance.
While Romney talked about
reining in federal spending, Obama talked about “investing” in even more
Solyndras and shovel-ready projects that aren’t quite shovel ready.
And as Romney talked about
growing the private sector rather than the public sector, Obama called for
creating hundreds of thousands of additional government jobs, most of which
would be union jobs dependent on taxpayer dollars.
Turning President Kennedy’s
famous inauguration dictum on its head, Obama’s campaign theme was, “Ask not
what you can do for your country, ask what your country can do for you.”
The government—federal, state and local—is doing a lot to for
people, and Obama wants to do even more.
Currently, nearly half of the population lives in a household
where someone receives some benefit from the government. Of course, many
of those are seniors receiving Social Security and Medicare.
Although Social Security and
Medicare are financially unsustainable entitlement programs, no one I know on
the right considers those seniors as “takers,” to use Romney’s unfortunate word
when he referred to the “47 percent.” They paid into the system for
decades and they, rightly, believe they should receive the benefits.
Besides Obama’s boasts that he
gave seniors more free stuff in Medicare, he simultaneously tried to scare
seniors that Romney would take away what they have. It didn’t work. Exit polling showed that seniors age
65+ voted for Romney by 12 points, 56 percent to 44 percent.
Aside: Seniors turned out for
Romney in a larger percentage than women turned out for Obama (though only by 1
percentage point). Have you seen any handwringing stories in the media
about how Democrats are losing the senior vote in the same way they gloat about
how Republicans are losing the women’s vote?
The bigger problem we face was
highlighted recently in a Congressional Research Service paper. The federal government
spent about $746 billion on means-tested welfare programs in 2011. When
state spending is added in, that amount rises to over $1 trillion.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, about 27 percent of all
households received means-tested welfare benefits in 2011. While some may
have voted for Romney, I suspect that 85 percent to 90 percent of welfare
recipients voted for Obama. (For example, exit polls showed that 63 percent
of those making under $30,000 a year voted for Obama.)
In addition, union
workers—many of whom think they have a right to expensive, government-funded
health care and generous pensions (just Governor Scott Walker)—make up about 12 percent of the workforce, and they
strongly supported Obama. Combine welfare recipients and union workers
and you have about 39 percent of households.
And what percentage of voters
self-identified as Democrats in this election? Thirty-eight percent.
The point is that issues of race and gender aside, Democrats are growing and nurturing a coalition that believes that government is the answer. More government is the answer for a struggling economy. More government is the answer when someone can’t find a job. More government is the answer for someone who doesn’t make enough to support a lifestyle he or she would like. More government is the answer for underperforming public schools. More government is the answer if the public won’t buy what liberals think they should (like electric cars).
The point is that issues of race and gender aside, Democrats are growing and nurturing a coalition that believes that government is the answer. More government is the answer for a struggling economy. More government is the answer when someone can’t find a job. More government is the answer for someone who doesn’t make enough to support a lifestyle he or she would like. More government is the answer for underperforming public schools. More government is the answer if the public won’t buy what liberals think they should (like electric cars).
The issue in this election was
whether the voters want more government or less. Those who want more
won. And given the expansion of ObamaCare—putting an estimated 16
million more on Medicaid and 18 million receiving government subsidies in the health
insurance exchanges—and even more government handouts Obama has yet to reveal,
those receiving government benefits will likely be significantly higher by the
next presidential election in 2016.
Democrats thinking about
tossing in their hat in 2016 noticed how Obama won this one, and they will want
to repeat the model. Which means big government is back, and with so many
people depending on it, it may be here to
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