How would you feel if you
worked for a state or local government for 20 or 30 years only to have your
pension slashed dramatically or taken away entirely? Well, this exact
scenario is playing out from coast to coast and in the years ahead millions of
elderly Americans are going to be affected by broken promises and vanishing
pensions.
In the old days, things were
much different. You would get hired by a big company or a government
institution and you knew that the retirement benefits that they were promising
you would be there when you retired in a few decades. Unfortunately, we have
now arrived at a time when government institutions and big companies have
promised far more than they are able to deliver, and "pension reform"
has become one of the hot button issues all over the nation.
Many Americans that have been
basing their financial futures on their pensions are waking up one day and
finding that their pensions are either gone or have been cut back
dramatically. According to Northwestern University Professor John Rauh,
the latest estimate of the total amount of unfunded pension and healthcare
obligations for state and local governments across the United States is 4.4 trillion dollars. America is continually
becoming a poorer nation and all of that money is
simply not going to magically materialize somehow. So where is that 4.4
trillion dollars going to come from? Well, either pension benefits are
going to have to be cut a lot more all over America or taxes will need to be
raised dramatically. Either way, we are all going to feel the pain of
these broken promises.
There simply is not enough
money out there to keep all of the pension commitments that have been
made. Something has got to give. In the end, millions of elderly
Americans will likely be plunged into poverty as pensions disappear.
Some local governments around
the nation are already declaring bankruptcy and are either eliminating pensions
or are cutting them very deeply. Just check out what just happened in Central
Falls, Rhode Island....
For years, city officials promised robust union contracts and pensions without raising revenue to pay for them. Last August, the math caught up with them. Central Falls was broke, its pension fund short $46 million. It declared bankruptcy ...
"My daughters grew up here, went to school here. It's all gone," said Mike Geoffroy, a retired firefighter ...
He said he could not make the payments on his house after his pension was cut by $1,100 a month ...
When will the math catch up
with the city where you are living?
For years and years most of
our state and local politicians have been ignoring this problem. But
eventually a day comes when you simply cannot ignore it any longer.
Check out what Pensacola Mayor
Ashton Hayward said about the situation in his city recently....
"When our annual pension liability is more than our yearly property tax revenues, we have to do something"
Keep in mind that taxpayers
don't get any new services for money spent on pensions. It is money that
goes straight into the pockets of retired workers. State and local
governments are desperately trying to pay retired workers what they are owed
and fund ongoing government functions at the same time, but many have reached
the breaking point.
All over the country, state
and local governments are going broke. The following is from a recent
article by Duff McDonald....
Alabama's Jefferson County has actually gone bankrupt. Stockton, California is all but ready to do the same. And all you have to do is look to Detroit—or any of the nearby auto towns named after a Buick model of one sort or another—and you see fiscal crisis playing out right now. Look in your own backyard—or at the potholes on your neighborhood roads—and you will likely find the same.
Things are so bad in Stockton,
California that they are actually skipping debt payments....
The city of 290,000 that rode the wave of the housing boom in the late 1990s and early 2000s now finds itself littered with foreclosed homes, saddled with pension, health care and other obligations it can't afford, and unable to pay its bills.
The City Council voted last month to suspend $2 million in bond payments and begin negotiations with bond holders, creditors and unions.
And did you notice what is
being blamed for the financial problems in Stockton?
Pension and healthcare
benefits.
Sadly, we are seeing pension
nightmares erupt all over the nation right now.
For example, check out what is
happening to the Public School Employees' Retirement System and State
Employees' Retirement System in Pennsylvania....
PSERS had an accrued unfunded liability of nearly $26.5 billion, the amount of money the fund is short to cover existing retirement benefits. That hole is expected to grow to $43 billion by 2019. SERS is $12.5 billion in the red, and that shortfall is expected to climb to nearly $18 billion by 2018. Unless the stock market makes giant sustained gains, taxpayers will have to refill those funds.
That doesn't sound good at
all.
In California, the Orange
County Employees Retirement System is estimated to have a 10 billion dollar unfunded pension
liability.
How in the world can a single
county be facing a 10 billion dollar hole?
This is madness.
The state of Illinois is
facing an unfunded pension liability of more than
77 billion dollars. Considering the fact that the state of Illinois is flat broke and
on the verge of default, it is inevitable that a lot of those pension
obligations will never be paid.
In fact, there are going to be
a whole lot of broken promises all over the country.
Pension consultant Girard
Miller told California's Little Hoover Commission that state and local
government bodies in the state of California have $325 billionin combined unfunded pension
liabilities.
That comes to about $22,000
for every single working adult in the state of California.
So where is all of that money
going to come from?
But at least most state and
local government employees are still covered by pension plans, even if they are
failing.
In the private sector, pension
plans are vanishing at lightning speed.
According to the Boston
College Center for Retirement Research, the percentage of workers in America
covered by a traditional pension plan fell from 62 percent in 1983 to 17 percent in 2007.
That isn't just a trend.
That is a tidal wave.
And many of the private
pension plans that still exist are massively underfunded. For example,
Verizon's pension plan is underfunded by 3.4 billion
dollars.
So what should Americans do in
light of all this?
Well, the number one thing to
realize is that the pension plan you have been counting on could disappear at
any time.
We live in an economic
environment that is extremely unstable, and about the only thing you
can count on in this environment is rapid and dramatic change.
Do not plan your financial
future around a pension plan. If you do, you are likely to be bitterly
disappointed.
Americans that plan to retire
in the coming years should do their best to try to fund their own retirements.
Unfortunately, most Americans
are not putting away much of anything for retirement. As I have written
about previously, one study found that
American workers are $6.6 trillion short of what they need to
retire comfortably.
Ouch.
Over the next 20 years
approximately 10,000 Baby
Boomers will be retiring every single day.
A lot of them are going to be
blindsided by empty pension funds and broken promises.
We are facing a retirement
crisis of unprecedented magnitude, and there is not much hope in sight.
And if there is a major stock
market crash, things are going to be much, much worse.
Most pension funds and
retirement plans are heavily invested in the stock market. If we were to
see a major financial crisis like we saw back in 2008 it would be absolutely
devastating. Millions of Americans could see their retirement plans wiped
out in short order.
Once again, please do not
place your faith in the system.
If you do, you are likely to
end up holding a bag of broken promises.
A gigantic tsunami of unfunded
pension obligations is coming. A lot of state and local governments are
going to go broke. A lot of promises are going to be broken.
If you hope to retire any time
soon, you better plan on being able to take care of yourself.
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