Crisis vs Opportunity
By
Annika Breidthardt
German
companies are setting their sights on southern Europe as fears of a euro zone breakup fade and economic reforms
transform the crisis-battered region into an attractive place to invest once
again.
Countries
like Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain are still struggling with
deep recessions and high unemployment but have also attracted attention for the
opportunities they present, not just the risks.
Strong
companies are attracting interest among the "Mittelstand",
medium-sized and often family-owned manufacturing firms to which Germany owes much of its exporting prowess.
That is
in large part due to the economic and labour market reforms bailout countries
have been forced to implement - making it easier to hire and fire and reducing
wage costs - which less stricken countries such as France have been slower to embrace.
"For
financially strong German Mittelstand firms, the crisis is turning out to be an
opportunity. They are increasingly active with acquisitions in Spain," said Christoph Himmelskamp, a consultant at Roedl & Partner
who advises smaller German firms on deals with Spanish counterparts.
Himmelskamp
says he has seen a 30 to 40 percent increase in German acquisitions of Spanish
firms since 2009, when the euro zone debt crisis first flared in Greece.
"The mood was subdued when there was speculation Spain could leave the euro. Some of our clients started putting the brakes on transactions ... Once that discussion ended, investment returned."
German
firms are buying up strong competitors, clients or suppliers at a time when
those companies are struggling to stay afloat through years of recession in
their home markets and as shaky banks restrict access
to credit.
AZ
Group, a German fittings maker, bought Italian competitor Fiber in 2012, when
insolvency loomed under its previous owner.
German
material producer SGL Carbon bought Portugal's fibre maker Fisipe last year.
And
Happich, an interior outfitter of buses, acquired its rival Auto Carrocerias
Riu last year. A previous attempt failed when the Barcelona-based firm decided
to seek a Spanish buyer which never materialised.
Himmelskamp's
firm is currently closing a deal where a German buyer is taking over a Spanish
rival in Madrid. While these firms rarely publish the amount they pay for
acquisitions, Himmelskamp said the price tag was in the low double-digit
million euros range.
A study
by DZ bank showed last year that one in four Mittelstand firms already present
in euro zone crisis countries was willing to invest more there, in contrast
with 14 percent of all Mittelstand firms.
MOVEMENT
THROUGH REFORMS
What
makes southern Europe alluring is the benefits from tough austerity measures
and reforms that euro zone policymakers, led by Germany, have pushed for in return for financial bailouts.
In a
crisis that started in Greece in 2010, five euro zone countries
have now received rescue money on the condition they slash their budgets and
reform their economies.
Spain
was handed almost 40 billion euros to recapitalise its banking sector after a
real estate bubble burst. Portugal was given 78 billion euros in a bailout in
2011, and Ireland was handed 85 billion euros. Cyprus
is the latest recipient.
Stringent
reforms were demanded in return in all cases.
Unit
labour costs, often used as a gauge of competitiveness, have declined every
year since 2009 in Spain, Portugal and Greece. In Germany, they are forecast to have inched up from 2009 levels in 2012,
according to Eurostat data.
"There
is movement in these countries. What should we wait for? For these countries to
get organised and for everyone else to notice it, too?" said Michael
Kleinbongartz, who runs a family-owned German Mittelstand firm in its fourth
generation.
"We
want to be in the midst of it when something is moving and we want to be a part
of it," he added, speaking from the western town of Remscheid where his
firm Kukko is based.
Kleinbongartz's
company, with annual sales of 30-40 million euros in 110 countries, makes
extractors and pullers used for repair in the manufacturing industry - often
highly complex toolsthat require explanation and servicing, he says.
He
wants to do away with the wholesalers in these crisis economies and has
recently opened a one-man office in Italy and cut out middlemen in Portugal
and Spain.
"Many
countries have terrible (economic) structures from a German point of view. We
are noticing right now that the collapse of these structures is opening up
opportunities in these countries for us," said Kleinbongartz.
Even if
it is too early for hard data to prove a trend, these are early signs that
investment is returning to Europe's periphery, some of which are struggling
with youth unemployment above fifty percent.
"You
shouldn't underestimate that what's happening in these euro zone countries is
quite dramatic," said Michael Heise, chief economist at German insurer
Allianz.
"The
reforms Germany is pushing for there will massively strengthen these countries'
competitiveness compared to Germany. It's not a surprise German companies say
Europe is interesting."
Walther
von Plettenberg, head of the German Chamber of Commerce in Spain, says rising
productivity is one of the big advantages for Spanish companies.
"Spain
is shifting back into focus again, especially against the backdrop of falling
unit labour costs," von Plettenberg said. He expects the German and French
car industries to invest more than 3 billion euros in Spanish production sites
in coming years.
Volkswagen
said early this year it would invest 785 million euros ($1 billion) in a plant
in northern Spain over the next five years, the third carmaker in recent months
to boost investment in the country.
Unlike
German politicians, who have been greeted in some southern European states with
Nazi images and whose insistence on austerity is blamed for unemployment and
economic malaise, German firms are often welcomed with open arms.
"It
is not like the Germans come and, like locusts, attack the Spanish and Italian
companies," said Himmelskamp at Roedl & Partner.
"More
often than not the companies have known one another for a long time, and the
southern European ones want to be bought. They are the ones taking the
initiative because they need money."
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