A brief
history of secrecy laws - from Mickey Mouse and the honest wealthy to terrorist
groups.
The
wolves are closing in on the world's bank secrecy laws. Former bank employees
in Switzerland and Liechtenstein have handed lists of depositors to the United
States and European Union authorities.
Following
the Cyprus debacle, the EU is seeking to end bank secrecy in the well-run
banking systems of its members Luxembourg and Austria. Luxembourg appears to
have "compromised" but Austria, bless it, is still holding out (as a
former Abteilungsdirektor of the Austrian bank Creditanstalt-Bankverein I
declare an interest here). Nevertheless I hope a number of strong-minded but
respectable states with few avenues for blackmail keep bank secrecy, for one
very good reason: in a modern social-democratic world, it is a key civil
liberty.
The
first bank secrecy law was written by Switzerland in 1934 and played a vital
role in enabling at least some German Jewish people to preserve both their
lives and their assets during the horrors of World War II. The "key civil
liberty" aspect of bank secrecy laws thus cannot be dismissed. While we
will hopefully never again have a regime as evil as the Nazis, there are plenty
of regimes around the world that oppress their subjects, and those subjects
need an asset bolt-hole where they can preserve their wealth while they emigrate
or simply decide to wait for better times.
It's
not surprising that there were no bank secrecy laws before 1934. The London
merchant banks and private banks of the 19th century would have binned
immediately a demand from any government other than Britain's for their
customers' records. Numerous dissidents such as Louis Napoleon (the future
Napoleon III) and Lajos Kossuth, the Hungarian revolutionary, could keep their
money in London entirely without fear of expropriation for that reason. As for
Britain itself, with income tax at less than 5% for most of the 19th century
there was no great incentive for tax evasion, although accounts were
occasionally seized in fraud cases.
Even in
such cases, fraud itself was rarely prosecuted. Gregor Macgregor, for example,
successfully issued bonds in 1822 for a non-existent country, Poyais,
publishing a book on its charms, without ever facing prosecution when his fraud
was discovered. John Sadleir, organizer of a Madoff-like fraud involving an
Irish bank and forged railway bonds, killed himself in 1856 when his fraud was
discovered. The Overend and Gurney crash of 1866 involved several transactions
including an initial public issue that would certainly be considered fraudulent
today, yet no prosecutions followed.
Thus banking
secrecy in 19th century London was in practice regarded as sacrosanct, yet was
protected by banking ethics and practices, not directly by legislation.
World
War I changed the situation, primarily by jacking up tax rates to hitherto
undreamed of levels. After the war, most countries in Europe (though not
Britain) also had exchange controls, while sterling was no longer a secure
store of value. The departure of Britain from the Gold Standard in 1931 made
stable non-British banks more attractive, as did the bank panic in continental
Europe, which wiped out Austria's Creditanstalt and Germany's Darmstadter Bank,
as well as several smaller institutions including M M Warburg, sending young
Siegmund Warburg to seek his fortune in London.
Switzerland
had a tradition of neutrality and a solid banking system which, unlike
Austria's and Germany's, had not been affected by World War I; hence it
naturally became a haven for flight capital. Given the political situation in
Germany, Italy (another dictatorship), Spain (socialist government followed by
civil war) and France (Communist-Socialist Popular Front government from 1936),
it's also not surprising that a Swiss banking secrecy law was thought
necessary, to prevent bank employees selling customer information to brutal
governments.
After
World War II, even Britain had exchange controls until 1979, while its
governments, Conservative and Labour, pursued highly repressive policies, with
top rates of tax above 90% for almost the entire period, interest rates around
or below the rate of inflation, and inflation itself eroding the real value of
savings.
It's
thus not surprising that even in that law-abiding society many people found
ways to get their money out of Britain's closed economy and into the safe hands
of a Swiss or Channel Islands bank. (This is neither a confession nor a claim
of virtue - the Hutchinsons were simply not rich enough to benefit much from
doing this.)
The
remainder of Western Europe similarly suffered from very high marginal rates of
tax after World War II, as did the US (albeit only at very high levels of
income). It's thus not surprising that many perfectly respectable wealthy
citizens saw Switzerland, Luxembourg, or in the US case, the tax havens of the
Caribbean as sensible places to park their money. The eurobond market, in which
investments took the form of untraceable bearer bonds denominated in hard
currencies, grew up from 1963, with Luxembourg a favorite place to deposit the
bonds concerned.
Government
responses were fairly slow in arriving; the US Bank Secrecy Act was passed only
in 1970, and even in the 1970s morning trains from Brussels to Luxembourg were
full of comfortable burghers (proverbially "Belgian dentists") with
bearer bonds tightly wrapped around their upper bodies, going to clip coupons.
Then
some governments reacted the opposite way; Austria passed bank secrecy
legislation only in 1978, in an attempt to get some of Switzerland's business.
It was said to be tighter than Swiss legislation because you never needed to
give your real name, merely show the nationality of your passport. If you said
your name was Mickey Mouse the bank staff would accept this, and when you
visited the bank cheerfully greet you with "Gruss Gott, Doktor Maus!"
Of
course, this system has been abused. Ethically, in tax systems that are not
oppressive, people should pay the taxes they owe. However, when governments
levy taxes at rates of 70, 80 or 90%, the ethics become arguable, and you can
certainly see the benefits of bank secrecy to people whose home is in a
dictatorship, or even a nominal democracy, whose economic policy is appallingly
bad (most comfortably off Argentines, for example, have foreign bank accounts).
But at the other extreme bank secrecy is only too useful to terrorist and
organized crime groups.
In the
middle are the dictators themselves, who may be evil billionaires like the
Congo's Mobutu Sese Seko, embezzling all the wealth of their country, but may
also be largely honest and economically benign authoritarians, like Chile's
Agosto Pinochet or Croatia's Franjo Tudjman, who know they can't rule forever
and want to keep their modest and mostly legitimate wealth out of the hands of
their leftist successors.
Also
somewhere in the middle are the Russian mafia, who can't reasonably claim a
need to escape President Vladimir Putin's tax regime, a flat tax of only 13%,
but can reasonably wish to keep some wealth out of the hands of Vladimir
Vladimirovich's unpleasant cronies. Of course, it was foolish of them to choose
Cyprus as their haven, rather than somewhere economically more solid and
politically less bully-able.
Governments
and the media will tell you tax havens and bank secrecy regimes should be
closed down, but economically and ethically it isn't as simple as that. Even
democracies can run into crises, or elect leftists like France's Francois
Hollande, whose tax regime of a 70% income tax plus a 1.6% wealth tax meets any
reasonable definition of confiscation.
Even in
the US, that supposed haven of wealth and capitalism, polls consistently show
at least 60% support for further tax rises on the wealthy, even after the
December 2012 deal eliminated the 2001 tax cuts for incomes above US$450,000.
You can perhaps argue that a little more US tax on the wealthy would not be
harmful, even when you add together the three layers of Federal, state and
local taxes, but when President Barack Obama, within two months of obtaining a
substantial tax increase on the rich, demands another one, and public opinion
generally favors that demand, we can see that in some political circumstances
even Americans are not safe from expropriation.
Lord
Salisbury in 1859 defined democracy as "a system of combined taxation and
reform, according to which the poor are exclusively to fix the revenue which
the rich are exclusively to pay". It was a pretty good description of
British government from 1945-79, and indeed much US government since the New
Deal.
In such
circumstances, bank secrecy, accompanied by the ethically unpleasant practice
of tax evasion, is the only instrument (other than bribing politicians, which
few of us have the means to attempt) by which the rich can resist economic
oppression, when such is the fashion of the governing class. If we could be
sure no Keynesian or redistributionist mania would ever sweep through the
political system, bank secrecy would not be necessary, but as it is rentiers
have a duty to themselves and their families not to allow themselves to be
euthanized.
Even if
Switzerland, Luxembourg and Austria are suppressed by the EU, and the less
untrustworthy Caribbean and Pacific island polities are bullied into submission
by the US, it is fortunately likely that a few countries, notably Singapore,
will combine political independence with probity, thus allowing bank secrecy to
remain in place untainted with terrorist financing. Since their service will be
scarce, however, it is likely to become fearsomely expensive.
In the
long run, the technology that has allowed greedy governments to make inroads
against Switzerland and other secrecy havens will save us. While bitcoins are
an undesirable and insecure speculation, it should soon be possible to have
encrypted virtual bank accounts, stored if necessary on servers based in
international waters or on the Moon, by which the honest wealthy will once
again be able to preserve their wealth for themselves and their posterity.
That
development should be welcomed. Once true bank secrecy becomes possible, it
should also become unnecessary, since tyrannical taxation, foreign exchange
controls and destructive economic policies will become impossible to
implement.
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