"If winter comes, can spring be far behind?"
In the space of
four years, from 1958 to 1962, China experienced a disaster of historic
proportions - the death by starvation of more than 30 million people. This
occurred in a time of peace, without epidemic or abnormal climatic conditions.
A confluence of historical factors caused China's leadership clique to follow
the path of the Soviet Union, which was supposed to make China strong and
prosperous. Instead, it brought inconceivable misery, bearing witness to what
Friedrich Hayek wrote in The Road to Serfdom: "Is there a
greater tragedy imaginable than that, in our endeavor consciously to shape our
future in accordance with high ideals, we should in fact unwittingly produce
the very opposite of what we have been striving for?"
Why did Mao
Zedong's great ideals create such great tragedy? The answer can be found in
Hayek's writings. China's revolutionaries built a system based on what Hayek
called "the Great Utopia," which required "central direction and
organization of all our activities according to some consciously constructed
‘blueprint'" and for a "unitary end" while "refusing to
recognize autonomous spheres in which the ends of the individuals are
supreme." In China's case, this "unitary end" was the
"Great Utopia" of communism.
In order to bring
about this Great Utopia, China's leaders constructed an all-encompassing and
omnipotent state, eliminating private ownership, the market and competition.
The state controlled the vast majority of social resources and monopolized
production and distribution, making every individual completely dependent on
it. The government decided the type and density of crops planted in each
location, and yields were taken and distributed by the state. The result was
massive food shortages, as the state's inability to ration food successfully
doomed tens of millions of rural Chinese to a lingering death.
The designers of
this system expected an economy organized under unified planning to result in
efficiency. Instead, it brought shortage. Government monopoly blunted the basic
impetus for economic function - personal enthusiasm, creativity and initiative -
and eliminated the opportunity and space for free personal choice. Economic
development ground to a halt. The extreme poverty of Mao's China was the
inevitable result.
An economy with
"everything being directed from a single center" requires
totalitarianism as its political system. And since absolute power corrupts
absolutely, the result was not the egalitarianism anticipated by the designers
of this system, but an officialdom that oppressed the Chinese people.
Hayek championed
classical liberalism based on the principle that "in the ordering of our
affairs we should make as much use as possible of the spontaneous forces of
society, and resort as little as possible to coercion." In today's China,
such liberals are found either among the very old or the very young, skipping a
generation in between. I happen to belong to the skipped generation that had
little exposure to liberalism under Mao. Up until I was 40 years old, I still
believed in collectivism, which fettered my thinking and confined my insight.
Reading The Road to Serfdom gave me a new perspective on
economics, politics, the state and society. Hayek helped me understand China's
tragedy; my research into the disasters China suffered helped me understand
Hayek.
Whether or not
Beijing will admit it, China is beholden to Hayek's thinking in relinquishing
the highly centralized planning of its economy in favor of competitive markets
and private enterprise. This choice is making China prosperous and has elevated
it to the world's second largest economy.
Yet, while China
has accepted some of Hayek's thinking on markets, it continues to insist on
"socialism with Chinese characteristics." The powerful run and
control the market in a system I call the "power market economy." The
greatest problem with a power market economy is its inequity. Hayek noted that
"a world in which the wealthy are powerful is still a better world than
one in which only the already powerful can acquire wealth." In today's
China, only the well-connected can acquire great wealth; society's riches are
concentrated among those in power. This is the source of the current popular
resentment against officialdom and the wealthy elite. A power market economy
cannot possibly meet the Chinese government's vaunted objective of a stable and
harmonious society.
China's path to
harmony and stability is to reject this system and instead to heed Hayek's call
to avoid government coercion, respect individual freedom and allow further
economic and political liberalization. Will it? Li Shenzhi, one of China's great
proponents of liberalism, voiced a generally held pessimism to me in 2001, two
years before his death: "We've entered a new century, and liberals face a
hard winter. Even so," he continued, quoting the poet Shelley, "if
winter comes, can spring be far behind?"
The fate of
liberalism in China is the fate of Hayek's teachings, which must endure a harsh
and bitter winter but could yet see a resplendent spring.
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