As people
in Oklahoma heroically dealt with their tornado disaster, observers were busy
pinning the blame for it on greedy mankind
by Sean Collins
by Sean Collins
A huge, 190 miles-per-hour tornado hit the suburbs of Oklahoma City on
Monday afternoon, killing 24, injuring hundreds, and leaving the area looking
like a wasteland. Survivors may have their lives, but not their homes, cars or
belongings.
People
across America were stunned to see such images of devastation. We watched
heroic rescue workers search under rubble to try to find people feared trapped.
It seemed especially cruel that the epicenter of the destruction was in Moore,
Oklahoma, whose people had suffered one of the most violent tornadoes not that
long ago, in 1999.
The
discussion in response to this natural disaster was revealing of a prevailing
doom-and-gloom tendency to expect the worst today, as well as a strange desire
to blame ourselves for the destruction brought about by nature.
The sense
from the media coverage was that Oklahoma showed that the US is exceptionally
vulnerable to, and unprepared for, violent weather disasters. Terms like
‘post-apocalyptic’ were used to describe the post-storm situation in Oklahoma.
Many seemed to jump to the conclusion that it was the worst tornado of all
time. The original report of the number dead on Monday was 91, but then we
learned by Tuesday that this was overstated, and the number was reduced to 24.
Of course, even one death is tragic, and the toll may rise over time, but it
seems somewhat odd that there was an expectation of much worse than actually
occurred.
Almost on
cue, environmentalists and politicians tried to pin the blame for the tornado
on human-caused climate change, and started calling for their favoured actions
to address it, such as cutting emissions (in other words, de-industrialisation).
California
Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer said to the
Senate floor after hearing of the Oklahoma tornado, ‘This is climate change. We
were warned about extreme weather, not just hot weather but extreme weather.’
Another Democrat, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse, made similar comments, and later
apologised.
This has now
become the kneejerk response to any storm. After Hurricane Sandy, New York
state governor Andrew Cuomo said he told
President Obama it seemed like ‘we have a 100-year flood every two years now’.
He added: ‘These are extreme weather patterns. The frequency has been
increasing.’
Except they
haven’t been increasing - neither hurricanes nor tornadoes. ‘Tornado data does
not reveal any clear trends in tornado occurrence or deaths that would suggest
a clear tie to global warming, at least not yet’, writes Andrew
Freeman of Climate Central. Even Rajendra Pachauri, head of the UN-backed
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and not one to be shy about
promoting climate change fears, said of the
Oklahoma tornado: ‘One really cannot relate an event of this nature to
human-induced climate change. It’s just not possible. Scientifically, that’s
not valid.’
Beyond the
climate change blame game, there was also an attempt to blame people for not
planning properly. Immediate speculation following the tornado centred on
whether the towns around Oklahoma City were adequately prepared, given that the
region is known for tornadoes. For example, the city of Moore ‘has no ordinance
requiring storm-safe rooms in public or private facilities, and the city itself
lacked a community shelter’, we were told. And according to the
Associated Press, the two schools in Moore did not have tornado ‘safe rooms’.
Despite the
prevalence of tornadoes and lack of certain defences to counter them, it is
easy and understandable to look backwards and assume such a tragedy was just a
matter of time in a state like Oklahoma. But, as they say, hindsight is 20-20.
Strong tornadoes like Monday’s - despite environmentalists’ claims of an
increase in ‘extreme weather’ - are still rare. Yet in the public discussion
there is an attempt to exaggerate the degree to which we are all at risk, and
how vulnerable we must be. I’m all for investing in preventative measures, but
not if the case made for them is to be built on hype and fear. Moreover, while
taking sensible precautions, we also have to recognise that such steps won’t
eliminate all risk. The Associated Press cites Albert Ashwood, director of the
Oklahoma Department of Emergency Management: ‘Ashwood says a shelter would not
necessarily have saved more lives at the Plaza Towers Elementary School, where
seven children sheltering in above-ground classrooms were killed. He says no
disaster mitigation measure is absolute.’
What’s worse
than criticising a lack of preparedness for the Oklahoma tornado? Blaming
economic growth. In his New
York Times blog ‘Dot Earth’,
Andrew Revkin says tornado-prone
regions like Oklahoma have a ‘deep vulnerability resulting from runaway
growth’. He argues that it is important to understand how ‘demographic shifts
and regulatory gaps’ have ‘put so many people in harm’s way’, and cites the
booming growth in Moore’s population (from 18,761 in 1970 to 55,081 in 2010).
But it’s odd, to say the least, to blame the large number of casualties from a
tornado on an increase in the number of people choosing to live in that area.
Revkin also
links back to a 2011 post he wrote about a
spate of tornados in the South, when he blamed ‘the terrible death counts’ on
‘the substantial growth in Southern populations in recent decades, a dearth of
basements and the enduring popularity of mobile homes’. But ‘runaway
growth’ in population or the economy is not the issue here. The real problem is
that there isn’t enough growth and development, not that there’s too much. This
insufficient growth leads to low incomes, which means people end up buying
mobile homes rather than proper ones. Greater economic growth, in contrast,
would not only mean more stable homes, but also more resources to help people
cope in the aftermath of tornadoes.
Rather than
using a natural disaster like the Oklahoma tornado as an excuse to vent
human-blaming opinions about climate change and population growth, it would be
better to focus on doing something practical, like helping Oklahoma rebuild.
The stories we hear of the heroism and resiliency of the community as they
respond to tragedy are the best answer to the gloom merchants who say we only
have ourselves to blame for very bad weather and very bad luck.
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