British
politics and the young
Young Britons have turned liberal, both socially and economically. Politicians need to get on their side |
The Economist
For the past 170
years The Economist has consistently advocated free trade,
punctured government bloat and argued for the protection of individual
liberties. It has also been consistently disappointed. Irksomely, political
parties tend to plump either for economic liberalism or for social liberalism.
Sometimes a small party boldly tries to combine the two—and is rewarded by
becoming even smaller. In the United States our creed is so misunderstood that
people associate liberalism with big government, when it advocates the
opposite.
Yet now Britain, The
Economist’s home, the land of Adam Smith (on lead guitar), John Stuart Mill
(bass) and William Gladstone (vocals), there is reason for hope. Young Britons
have turned strikingly liberal, in a classical sense (see article).
They are relaxed,
almost to the point of ennui, about other people’s sexual preferences, drug
habits and skin colour. Although, like older Britons, they do not think much of
mass immigration, they are tired of politicians banging on about it. As for the
row over gay marriage, soon to trouble the House of Lords, they can hardly see
the problem.
The young want
Leviathan to butt out of their pay cheques as well as their bedrooms. Compared
with their elders, they are welfare cynics. Almost 70% of the pre-war generation,
and 61% of baby-boomers, believe that the creation of the welfare state is one
of Britain’s proudest achievements. Under 30% of those born after 1979 agree.
The young are deficit-reduction hawks. They worry about global warming, but
still generally lean towards Mill’s minimal “nightwatchman state” when it comes
to letting business get on with it: they are relaxed about the growth of giant
supermarkets, for example.
It’s only Locke
‘n’ roll, but I like it
This is not just
the young being the young. Rather, it is a generational change. In 1987 Britons
aged between 18 and 34 were less likely than all other age groups to agree with
the proposition that benefit cuts would encourage people to stand on their own
two feet: now the young are more hard-hearted than most. They are also more
socially liberal than were previous generations at the same stage of life.
There are several
explanations for this commendable fashion. The young have grown up in a more
mixed society. During their formative years they were exposed to the
internet—an organ with an inbuilt resistance to government meddling. Perhaps
most important, society has become less generous to them. In 1998 a new Labour
government abolished student grants and introduced fees of £1,000 (then $1,656)
a year. These have swelled to a maximum of £9,000. The loans are on such
generous terms that this is still a form of welfare, but it does not feel like
it. In 2010 the coalition government abolished the Education Maintenance
Allowance, which had been paid to English teenagers from poor families to
persuade them to stay in school. The old, by contrast, have been granted more
generous pensions, and will shortly be protected against having to sell their
houses to pay for residential care. Small wonder they treasure the welfare
state.
Young Britons seem
unusual. In America the young are noticeably liberal on gay marriage but less
keen on abortion (admittedly a subject where liberalism is harder to define).
Some polls hint that young Americans are more inclined than their elders to
think that the government ought to do more. A French poll suggests les
jeunes are becoming less iconoclastic.
Britain’s
teenagers and 20-somethings might turn statist when they have children, and
more so when their knees give out. They might develop less tolerant views on
sex and drugs when their offspring become teenagers. But they will not turn
into their parents. Fundamental opinions about society are like bones: they are
shaped in youth.
The problem, for
those who love freedom, is that the young lack political clout. The average MP
is 50 years old; the average councillor is 60; the average member of the House
of Lords is 69. The old vote, even in local elections. They dominate
constituency associations. They are driving the most disruptive force in
British politics: the fast-rising UK Independence Party (UKIP), which wants to
return Britain to a prelapsarian state where immigration is low, marriage is
heterosexual and Europe is on the other side of the Channel.
Hope I die before
I pay tax
Still, political
parties should heed the young much more than they do. Although people’s
fundamental political views do not change much as they age, their propensity to
vote does. Today’s distracted libertarians are tomorrow’s dependable voter
block. And, to the extent that people’s opinions do shift over their lifetimes,
they tend to bend in one direction: towards the views of the young. Everybody
has become calmer about homosexuality and more sceptical about welfare over the
past few years. But the young were there first. They are political
early-adopters and trend-setters.
Far from courting
them, the big political parties are running in precisely the opposite
direction. Spooked by UKIP, the Conservatives shuffle their feet when the
subject of gay marriage comes up. They are preparing to fight the 2015 general
election on an anti-immigration platform. Labour has social liberalism to
spare. But it has opposed welfare cuts and rediscovered its historical
enthusiasm for economic meddling, which it calls “predistribution”. The Chinese
leadership quotes Adam Smith more often than Ed Miliband does.
The only
politician whose views chime with the liberal young is the hedonistic mayor of
London, Boris Johnson. Sterner sorts have a tougher time. George Osborne, the
Whiggish chancellor of the exchequer, is loathed by Tories for his social
liberalism and by Leviathan’s lackeys for his spending cuts. Nick Clegg, who
has tried to steer his Liberal Democrat Party onto classically liberal ground,
has even more foes. But these men are not wrong so much as early. They went
into politics too soon. One change would help. If 18- to 24-year-olds voted as
reliably as the over-65s, it would mean almost 2m more ballots, and politicians
would have to pay attention. For the sake of freedom, the young should hurry to
the polling station.
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