Monday, September 16, 2013

Hollande’s Latest Epiphany

Third Industrial Revolution in Planning Stages
The shining example for Hollande's approach to the economy, Jean-Baptiste Colbert. Here shown while presumably bringing fresh instructions to his hapless subjects in the manufacturing business.
By Pater Tenebrarum
France's president Hollande has just meandered off the reservation into wonderland again. Apparently after eyeballing a chart that shows declining industrial employment in France, he decided that the time has come for a 'third industrial revolution' centered in France.
How is this miracle to be accomplished? Simple, the government will throw € 3.5 billion at the idea.
According to an article at EurActiv:  
“French President François Hollande hopes to create 470,000 jobs by injecting €3.5 billion in 34 key industrial sectors, but he will need Europe’s help.
President François Hollande and his firebrand Industry Minister Arnaud Montebourg presented a new investment strategy for 34 industrial sectors on Thursday (12 September).
The French President was following on the footsteps of Charles De Gaulle, who instigated French industrial policy in mid-late 20th century. With France preparing to cut €18 million from its 2014 budget, a €3.5 billion boost to industry may seem surprising. But it is part of a long-term project that the president deems an essential “offensive strategy”, benefiting both unemployment and France’s image.
“Industrial decline has destroyed 750,000 jobs in the past 10 years. With this plan, we want to recreate 450,000 new ones”, said Montebourg. Hollande defended the new policy, saying that there was nothing “shocking” about it, and that “Germany, UK and all major emerging powers are all developing industrial strategies.”
The recovery plan appears oriented towards France first, with investment priorities oriented towards French industry's specific strengths. Small fuel efficient French cars will benefit from the policy's “environmental transition” banner which references fuel consumption standards of less than 2 litres per 100 km.
Other strategic priorities mentioned by the President – new technology and the 'economy of the living' – also bring together important national industries, such as the food, biotechnology and digital sectors.
Hollande underlined that it was important to “ensure our digital sovereignty” at a time when three-quarters of computers are manufactured in North-America. The president also highlighted that France was lagging behind Germany in the field of industrial robots – 35,000 in France vs. 150,000 for Germany.
“Quality is not only German, technology is not only Japanese, innovation is not only American and competitiveness is not only Chinese. The third industrial revolution will also happen in France,” the President announced.
However, Hollande asked for European support. He said that the European guidelines on state aid needed to be rethought, and a competitiveness policy needed to be promoted that would make cooperation between companies easier and allow for the emergence of European champions.
The president also called for a “true trade policy”. France has voiced reservations about ongoing trade negotiations with the US, maintaining defensive positions in areas such as culture and food.” 
(emphasis added)
In other words, Hollande and his 'industrial renewal' minister Mountebank want to create an 'industrial revolution' by means of government subsidies and wish it to be supported by a 'real trade policy', which is an Orwellian term that properly translated means 'protectionism'.
Wow! One can only marvel wide-eyed and slack-jawed at the novelty and daring of these ideas. No-one has ever tried anything like that before!
No, wait. Someone actually has. And he was a Frenchman too, who went by the name of Jean-Baptiste Colbert. This mercantilist dirigiste par excellence is without a doubt a man after Hollande's heart. Today it is widely held that 'France was impoverished in spite of Colbert's efforts', due to the many wars the king needlessly pursued. But this view glosses over the pernicious influence Colbert's anti free trade policies and extreme regimentation of the economy at home undoubtedly had. One might say he tirelessly worked to prevent economic progress (Colbert was well known for his workaholic tendencies). We're not sure if Hollande's own mini-Colbert is a comparably intense personality, but Colbert's ideas evidently live on.
The political leaders of France still believe prosperity is created by government fiat and policies that have never failed to fail.  




 Number of industrial workers in France since 1970 via Insee / Standard. This is a big 'so what'? It is meaningless without context. How many people work in industrial jobs is not a criterion for an economy's health – what is important is how much and what they produce. 

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