James Gustave “Gus” Speth is the consummate
environmental insider. For over thirty years he has played a key role in the
development of environmentalist organizations and agendas. He was present at
the founding of the Natural Resources Defense Council in 1970 and later
launched the World Resources Institute, a $27 million enterprise that may be
the most influential environmental think tank in the world. He served on, and
eventually chaired, President Carter’s Council on Environmental Quality, where
he oversaw production of the apocalyptic Global 2000 report. During the 1990s
he worked on President Clinton’s transition team and headed up the United
Nations Development Program, and he is now dean of the Yale School of Forestry
and Environmental Studies.
His prominence
within the environmental establishment means that when Gus Speth speaks,
environmentalists listen. He is not only an academic dean but, in many
respects, the dean of contemporary environmental thinkers. Like others, he
advocates ambitious and far-reaching environmental programs; unlike many, he
has held positions in which to make such things happen. Few with his green bona fides have
his currency in the halls of power or connections with global leaders. Yet like
so many celebrated environmental thinkers, he lacks a clear or compelling
vision of how to reconcile contemporary civilization with the need for
environmental protection.
In The Bridge at the Edge of the World, Speth argues that all the environmental
progress of the past thirty to forty years may be for naught, as an
environmental crisis of global proportions is still with us. The resource
shortfalls and ecological ruin predicted by the Global 2000 report may not have
come to pass on schedule, but they are imminent nonetheless. Thus, he seeks
radical change to our economic, political, and social systems. “The end of the
world as we have known it” is inevitable; the only question is whether we will
suffer planetary ruin or a radically transformed civilization. Speth’s hope is
to point the way to the latter course.
Speth’s eco-pessimism is not particularly
new or original, but his critique of the modern environmental movement could
be. In his view, the modern environmental establishment has proven itself
impotent. It has accomplished much, but not nearly enough. Working within the
system failed, he maintains, because it did not seek sufficiently radical
change. Saving human civilization from collapse requires more than minor
adjustments, he warns, as environmental degradation is but a symptom of broader
social problems, and is “linked powerfully with other social realities,
including growing social inequality and neglect and the erosion of democratic
governance and popular control.” Reversing course will require a
“transformative change in the system itself,” including an “assault on the
citadel of consumption” and the remaking of corporations. “Our duty,” Speth
proclaims, is “to struggle against the contempocentrism and anthropocentrism
that dominate modern life.” A “bridge” to a sustainable society requires
revisiting democratic capitalism, remaking industrial civilization, and
reorienting human consciousness; “we must return to fundamentals and seek to
understand both the underlying forces driving such destructive trends and the
economic and political system that gives these forces free rein.” Nothing less
will do.
Environmental
writers have made a cottage industry from warning of ecological Armageddon and
calling for greener forms of economic growth. Yet it is rare to hear so radical
a charge from someone with Speth’s influence, and unusual to hear someone with
his experience offer an ecological assessment that is so misguided. He purports
to offer “a deeper critique of what is going on,” but his principal complaints
echo familiar ones we have heard from other environmental thinkers, his “new
approach on the environment” seems quite like the old, and his analysis is
ultimately shallow. Speth wants to offer “impractical answers” — but the
problem is not so much their impracticality as their wrong-headedness.
Speth
catalogues an ever-growing list of environmental insults inflicted upon the
Earth by human civilization to document the “great collision” between the human
economy and our fragile planet. He tries to shock with numbers and graphs
illustrating dramatic increases in population or industrial activity of one
sort or another. Such data is easy to find, but trends by themselves do not
substitute for a complete diagnosis. It takes more than identifying recent
exponential trends to demonstrate unsustainability. Exponential growth rarely
(if ever) continues indefinitely, and the same factors that cause growth spurts
can cause them to level off. Nor do negative environmental trends necessarily
translate into harmful effects on human well-being. I share his concern for
conserving biological diversity, but merely asserting that biological diversity
is important for economic well-being does not make it so.
Climate
change plays a central role in Speth’s account, as one might expect. The threat
of anthropogenic contributions to climatic warming is real, and the policy
challenge immense. Yet so eager is he to impress upon the reader the severity
of the problem that he embraces the flimsiest of evidence to support his
claims. For instance, he cites a largely discredited World Health Organization
report concluding climate change already causes 150,000 deaths
per year, and could reach 300,000 by 2030. Climate change is a serious concern
— sufficiently so that there is no need for such hyperbole to demonstrate its
importance. Overstating the threat is part of Speth’s method, all the better to
promote the radical changes he seeks.
The first
item on his agenda is the replacement of modern capitalism with some undefined
“non-socialist” alternative. “The planet cannot sustain capitalism as we know
it,” he warns, calling for a fundamental transformation. But he does not
understand the system he wants to reform, let alone what he would substitute in
its place.
According to
Speth, “most environmental deterioration is a result of systemic failures of
capitalism.” This is an odd claim, as the least capitalist nations of the world
also have the worst environmental records. The ecological costs of economic
statism are far worse than those of economic liberty. The environmental record
of the various Soviet regimes amply bears this out: The West’s ecological
nightmares were the Soviet bloc’s environmental realities. This is not due to
any anomaly of the Soviet system. Nations with greater commitment to capitalist
institutions experience greater environmental performance.
While Speth
occasionally acknowledges pockets of environmental progress, he hardly stops to
consider the reasons why some environmental resources have been conserved more
effectively than others. Fisheries are certainly declining throughout much of
the world — some 75 percent of fisheries are fully or over-exploited — but not
everywhere. It is worth asking why. Tropical forests in less-developed nations
are declining even as most temperate forests in industrialized nations are
rebounding. Recognizing these different trends and identifying the key
variables is essential to diagnosing the real causes of environmental
deterioration and prescribing a treatment that will work. Speth acknowledges
that much of the world is undergoing “dematerialization,” such that economic
growth far outpaces increases in resource demand, but seems not to appreciate
how the capitalist system he decries creates the incentives that drive this
trend.
Were it not
for market-driven advances in technological capability and ecological
efficiency, humanity’s footprint on the Earth would be far greater. While
modern civilization has developed the means to effect massive ecological
transformations, it has also found ways to produce wealth while leaving more of
the natural world intact. Market competition generates substantial incentives
to do more with less — thus in market economies we see long and continuing
improvements in productive efficiency. This can be seen everywhere from the
replacement of copper with fiber optics (made from silica, the chief component
in sand) and the light-weighting of packaging to the explosion of agricultural
productivity and improvements in energy efficiency. Less material is used and
disposed of, reducing overall environmental impacts from productive activity.
The key to
such improvements is the same set of institutional arrangements that Speth so
decries: property rights and voluntary exchange protected by the rule of law —
that is, capitalism. As research by Wheaton College economist Seth Norton and
many others has shown, societies in which property rights and economic freedoms
are protected experience superior economic and environmental performance than
those societies subject to greater government control. Indeed, such
institutions have a greater effect on environmental performance than the other
factors, such as population growth, that occupy the attention of Speth and so
many other environmental thinkers.
Speth
complains that capitalism is fundamentally biased against the future; but the
marketplace does a far better job of pricing and accounting for future
interests than the political alternative. “Future generations cannot
participate in capitalism’s markets [today],” says Speth. Fair enough, but they
cannot vote or engage in the regulatory process either. Thus the relevant
policy question is what set of institutions does the best — or least bad — job
of accounting for such concerns, and here there is no contest. However
present-oriented the marketplace may be, it is better able to look past the
next election cycle than any plausibly democratic alternative.
Speth pays lip service to the virtues of
markets, but he still calls for a replacement of the capitalist system with
something else. He acknowledges that “no better system of allocating scarce
resources has yet been invented” than capitalism, and yet can’t seem to grasp
why. He tries to define and dissect the nature of capitalist economics, but is
unable to distill its essence. Quoting neo-Marxist critiques is not a likely
path to enlightenment about the market economy. Insofar as firms in the
marketplace seek to “externalize” the costs of economic activity (such as by
polluting) or “rent seek” to receive special benefits from government, they are
seeking to escape the market discipline fostered by capitalist economics,
rather than participate in it. Voluntary exchange of private rights is central
to the market process. When firms obtain goods or services, such as natural
resources or waste disposal, without contracting for them, firms are acting
outside of the market process and free from market discipline. If the goal is
to “internalize” the environmental effects of economic activity, the most
fruitful course is to expand market institutions, rather than impose additional
layers of political controls.
While he
tries (and fails) to unearth the root causes of environmental degradation, he
seems uninterested in diagnosing the causes of government failure. He observes
that “governments often intervene in the wrong way” when trying to solve
environmental problems, but does not pause to consider why. That government
failures may be no less pervasive than “market failures” does not seem to cross
his mind. Because wealthy industries seek to control government policy to
suppress competitors and enhance their own profits — all the while making
markets less free — Speth thinks the problem is capitalism as opposed to those
who would use government to inhibit capitalist activity for their own
advantage. It’s the green version of blaming the victim.
Speth’s call
for radicalism is inspired, in part, by his belief that the environmental
movement has failed to adopt and enact a sufficiently forward-looking agenda.
The environmental movement is, in his view, overly “pragmatic and
incrementalist” and too willing to accept compromises, naïvely believing that
“the system can be made to work for the environment.” Insofar as Speth means
that environmentalists are overly enamored of the regulatory state and the
ability of expert bureaucracies to plan our way to a greener future, he’s onto
something. But he means much more. Environmentalism, in his view, is too narrow
and insufficiently radical. “Today’s environmentalism believes that problems
can be solved at acceptable economic costs,” he laments, as if seeking to impose
“unacceptable” costs on society would be worth doing.
Rather than
acknowledging the inherent limitations of political institutions to manage
economic and ecological concerns, he suggests it is the private sector’s fault
that the public sector fails. Ecological central planning is a vastly more
complex enterprise than economic central planning ever was, and that much more
prone to failure. Thus it is to be expected that contemporary environmental
protection efforts “have spawned a huge and impenetrable regulatory and
management apparatus” and current regulations “are quite literally beyond
comprehension.” Speth offers no reason why still more radical governmental
efforts to restructure and reorient economic activity will not produce even
greater problems, but he sees such controls as absolutely indispensable. In his
view, the only environmentally sound corporation “is one that is required to be
green by law.”
Speth has a
few good words about the use of economic institutions to limit environmental
impacts. He believes environmental activists have been too slow to embrace
economists’ advice about the need to incorporate environmental costs into
market prices, and so he calls for the imposition of taxes on environmentally
harmful activity. If it is not possible to set taxes at a level “equal to the
value of the damage,” he suggests imposing a “price on destruction of the
environment of all types [that] is discouragingly, forbiddingly high.”
Internalizing the environmental costs of private economic activity is all well
and good, but even the most expert and well-intentioned governmental entities
lack the necessary information and expertise to set environmental prices by
regulatory fiat. Further, if the aim is to “discourage” — if not “forbid” —
“all types” of environmentally harmful activity, the system of taxes Speth
envisions will be no less complex or unmanageable than the regulatory system he
recognizes as flawed.
Speth’s agenda is not confined to economics
and the environment, however. He believes his sustainability agenda is
intertwined with broader social concerns. “Sustaining people, sustaining nature
— it is one cause, inseparable.” Thus he wants to replace the traditional focus
on economic growth, as measured by GDP, with “good growth,” which he defines as
“growth with equity, employment, environment, and empowerment.” While
ostensibly focused on our environmental crisis, and calling for a “post-growth”
society, the bridge he seeks to build is to a far broader and more ambitious
progressive agenda:
Perhaps the most important prescriptions challenging unbridled growth
come from outside the environmental sector...they include measures such as more
leisure, including a shorter workweek and longer vacations; greater labor
protections, job security and benefits, including retirement and health
benefits; restrictions on advertising; new ground rules for corporations;
strong social and environmental provisions in trade agreements; rigorous
consumer protection; greater income and social equality, including genuinely progressive
taxation for the rich and greater income support for the poor; major spending
on public sector services and environmental amenities; a huge investment in
education, skills, and new technology to promote both ecological modernization
and sharply rising labor productivity to offset smaller workforces and shorter
hours. People deserve more free time, more security, and more opportunity for
companionship and continuing education. They deserve to be free of the
growth-at-all-costs paradigm and the ruthless economy [of capitalist
societies].
This agenda,
Speth claims, is not only the key to sustainability, but also to greater human
“well-being.” So too are limits on consumerism and consumption. The measures he
outlines are the “hallmarks of a caring community and a good society” and must
be imposed by government diktat. The role civil society and non-governmental civic
institutions might play in this regard receives not a single mention.
Capitalism and its attendant freedoms are not only bad for the environment, in
his view, they are bad for people as well, and must therefore be controlled, if
not eliminated.
The
full-throated embrace of European-style social democracy Speth offers may be de rigueur at Yale, but much of this agenda has
little (if anything) to do with environmental sustainability. There is no
evidence, for instance, that greater income equality or labor protections
enhance environmental performance, and many reasons why some measures, such as
more progressive taxation, conflict with other reforms Speth finds necessary
for environmental protection, such as increasing the economic costs of
environmentally harmful activities.
And if some
refuse to go along, no matter, as the ultimate reforms involve “a
transformation in consciousness and a transformation in politics.” Soviet
societies may have failed to mold a New Socialist Man, but Speth’s
post-capitalist, post-growth society will spawn the New Sustainable Man
necessary to make the system work. “Today’s dominant worldview is simply too
biased toward anthropocentrism, materialism, egocentrism, contempocentrism,
reductionism, rationalism, and nationalism to sustain the changes needed.”
Speth hopes
to spur “cultural change” to make such a transformation possible, through
education and “social marketing.” “Can an entire society have a conversion
experience?” he wonders. Perhaps, he answers, if there is “wise leadership and
a new narrative that helps make sense of it all and provides a positive vision”
— and naturally, political action is the one and only way to make this
possible. “Government is the principal means available to citizens to
collectively exercise their stewardship responsibility to leave the world a
better place,” he explains. Therefore, his agenda requires “a vital, muscular
democracy steered by an informed and engaged citizenry.” Insofar as
contemporary American democracy is not up to this task, the political system itself
must be reformed. And so Speth concludes with calls for increasing the leverage
of citizen groups in the political process, “open primaries, nonpartisan
redistricting, a minimum free television and radio time for all federal
candidates meeting basic requirements, reducing the perks of incumbency,
bringing back the Fairness Doctrine requiring equal air time for competing
political views, and more.” Only then will the “Environmental Revolution of the
twenty-first century” be possible. Suddenly this revolution bears a striking
resemblance to revolutionary calls we’ve heard before.
To say I am skeptical of Speth’s agenda is
an understatement. What begins as a well-intentioned (if blinkered) examination
of sustainability transforms into a connect-the-dots radical jeremiad. While it
is important to acknowledge the limits of existing institutions, one must also
reflect on institutional successes. The relative vices of capitalism, or any
other system, cannot be judged in isolation from its virtues. There’s nothing
inherently wrong with seeking dramatic political change, but it seems
disingenuous to wrap the entire progressive, social-democratic agenda in the
mantle of environmental sustainability. Environmental policy should be about
the environment,
not income redistribution or the length of the workweek. Speth should put aside
his elite ideological preferences for a European-style social welfare state if
he truly wants to build a lasting “bridge” to environmental sustainability. As
constructed, his bridge is not structurally sound — and it leads someplace
nobody would really want to go.
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