Ruined by Welfare
By Bill Bonner
Stock market investors seem to
have gotten over their joy at Janet Yellen’s appointment as the next chair of
the Fed. Now they are focusing on their chagrin at Washington. Without a deal
being passed by Congress, the feds will have to stop borrowing tomorrow. On
Tuesday, the Dow fell 133. Gold did nothing worth mentioning. As usual,
investors are looking in the wrong direction…
Where does real wealth come
from?
We will answer the question
ourselves: Not from the Fed. Not from the government. Not from stimulus
programs. Not from the Democrats. Or the Republicans. Or the Tea Party. Not
from Obama. Not from a bipartisan agreement to extend spending and pretend that
the feds can pay their bills.
Nope. No gimmicks. No magic.
No claptrap formulas. Wealth comes from work, savings and innovation.
Typically, somebody works long hours, saves money and starts a business that
produces something people want.
Mountain Zombies
But now, in the mountains of
Argentina… as on the fruited plains of the United States of America… the wealth
machine has begun to sputter and choke.
We promised to tell you how our real estate investment in Argentina has become a welfare program. Coming right up.
We promised to tell you how our real estate investment in Argentina has become a welfare program. Coming right up.
But first, here’s a story from
the US as told by The Economist:
“Established firms are usually in the business of preserving the old world; start-ups are under more pressure to come up with new ideas, and if they do so they usually create lots of new jobs. But these growth machines have broken down. America is not producing as many start-ups as it did a decade ago and those that have been created are providing fewer jobs – less than five each, compared with an historical average of about seven. Start-ups created 2.7 million new jobs in the 2012 financial year compared with 4.7 million in 1999.”
What went wrong? Zombies.
“[I]n 2009-11 the Obama administration issued 106 new regulations each expected to have an economic impact of at least $100 million a year. [...] The Vanguard Group, an asset management firm, calculates that since 2011 Washington’s bickering politicians have imposed, in effect, a $261 billion uncertainty tax that has cost up to 1 million new jobs.
The Sarbanes-Oxley act imposes additional costs of $1 million a year on public companies. Investors no longer bother with “growth stocks” because there is more money to be made in making lots of big trades in established firms. The dramatic decline in the number of firms going public since 2001 is worrying because, over the past four decades, more than 90% of jobs created by start-ups came into being after they went public.”
Similarly, up in the Andes,
the Argentine zombies are squeezing out initiative wherever they find it. On
the ranch that we bought in Argentina were 25 families living in various nooks
and crannies up in the hills. We didn’t even know they were there. Nobody
mentioned it.
We were told there were some
people who rented some of our land. They paid us in sheep, goats and cattle. We
thought they were independent yeomen farmers… and a source of revenue for the
farm. Some of them came to visit before we left on Sunday.
“SeƱor Bonner,” began a fat
woman in a colorful sombrero. She wore a dress, but over a pair of pants. Her
face was very brown and chubby, with a horizontal mouth, lacking several teeth.
She has had eight children, we learned later in the conversation. “The roof of
our house fell in. Can you help us repair it?”
Just a few minutes earlier,
another woman – similar in build, but with all her teeth and a nice smile – had
made her case. “I have five children. We all sleep in the kitchen of my
parents’ house. Can you help us build a new house? My parents are tired of
having so many children around.”
We didn’t ask about the
children’s father. Most of the children in the valley have “unknown” fathers.
The older generation – people like our farm manager, Jorge – are scandalized
and disgusted.
“It’s the government’s fault,”
Jorge explained. “They give money to these girls for each child they have. And
if they have seven children, they get a pension.
“When I was growing up, we all
worked. We didn’t have jobs. We just worked. We thought it was good to work. We
planted crops. We took care of animals. We knew that we had to work to survive.
We didn’t have any money, but at least we didn’t depend on government handouts.
“But now the government comes
along and tells them that all they need to do is have children… and not get
married. So, the young men leave and we are left with women having babies. I
don’t know what is going to happen to this farm.”
We don’t know either. But we
see what is happening now. Without men in the households, the women turn to the
landlord. One asks for a house for her aging mother. Another wants her roof
fixed. Another wants a new house for herself and her children. And all these
supplications happened within a few minutes. If we had stayed longer, we might
have had more.
“What are we going to do?” we
asked the farm manager.
“Well, we want to help. But
this is a dead end. There is no future in this isolated valley for children.
And without fathers. They need to get out into the bigger world… go to school…
learn how to do things. We can help all these women to live a little better.
But we’re not doing them any favors. Because they would be better off moving
down to the city.”
Welfare makes the giver feel
good. But it generally harms the receiver. It makes them dependent. Selfishly,
we volunteered to help. “Maybe we should offer to help get them houses down in
Molinos or Angastaco,” we suggested.
“Yes, it would be better for
them. They’ll be ruined by the welfare system in either place. But at least
there we won’t have to watch.”
Addendum
Actually, the Economist has
it wrong. According to recent calculations, the direct compliance costs for
Sarbanes-Oxley amount to $2.3 million per year for the average
publicly traded company. That contrasts with the $91,000 once predicted by
supporters of the act. According to the Washington Post:
“Larger firms lobbied for passage of the act, figuring they could absorb the costs that would hobble smaller competitors – which is just what happened.”
Adding insult to injury,
corporate accounting fraud has actually increased since the act was
introduced.
As we always point out in
these pages, this is exactly how corporatism US and Euro-land style works: most
of the time, big companies only mount token resistance to new regulations or
even support them, because it is an excellent method to kill upstarts that
don't have much capital. The victim is economic progress and with it, all of
us.
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