The question is not what the Republican Establishment will do with these dissidents but what the dissidents will do with the Establishment
by Angelo M. Codevilla
by Angelo M. Codevilla
The Republican
Party died during the struggle over Obamacare. Its most vital elected officials
chose to represent their voters. This left their erstwhile leaders to continue
pursuing acceptance by the ruling party, its press and its class. The result is
a new party that represents the roughly three fourths of Republican voters
whose social identities are alien to those of the ruling class and whose
political identity is defined by opposition to the ruling party. These voters
are outsiders to modern America’s power structure. Hence the new party that
represents them is a “country party” in the British tradition of Viscount
Bolingbroke’s early eighteenth century Whigs, who represented the country class
against the royal court and its allies in Parliament. The forthcoming food
fight over the name “Republican” is of secondary importance.
The new party
came to be as organizations such as the Club For Growth, the several pro-life
organizations, the Tea Parties, etc. joined together with the Congressmen and
Senators they had helped elect to mount an effort which was less an attempt to
de-fund Obamacare than it was the assertion of a bona fide opposition
to the ruling class.
This has been a
long time coming. Obamacare was a trigger, not a cause. While a majority of
Democrats feel that officials who bear that label represent them well, only
about a fourth of Republican voters and an even smaller proportion of
independents trust Republican officials to represent them. They hear themselves
insulted from on high as greedy, racist, violent, ignorant extremists, and
resent the ever-growing U.S. government’s edgy social, ethical, and political
character.
But the
Republican leadership’s kinship with the socio-political class that runs modern
government is deep. Rather than defending their voters’ socio-political
identities, they ignore, soft-pedal, or give mere lip service to their voters’
concerns. It chooses candidates for office whose election only steadies America
on a course of which most Americans disapprove.
In short, while
the Democratic Party faithfully represents the government as well as the social
classes that run it and benefit from it, the rest of the country lacks
political representation. The ruling class sees itself at once as distinct from
the rest of society – and as the only element thereof that may act on its
behalf. It rules – to use New York Times columnist David Brooks’
characterization of Barack Obama – “as a visitor from a morally superior
civilization.” But Republican leaders do not want to beat the
ruling class, rather to join it in governing.
The Republican
Party never did choose whether to represent the rulers or the ruled. Since
1932, corporations, finance, and the entitled high and low – America’s “ins” –
gravitated to the Democrats’ permanent power, while the “outs” fled into the
Republican fold. Thus since World War II the Republican Party has consisted of
office holders most of whom yearned to be “ins,” and of voters who were mostly
“outs.”
This was always
unsustainable. Barry Goldwater staged the first grass-roots revolt against the
“Rockefeller Republicans.” But they savaged him. Goldwater’s voters rallied
behind Reagan and elected him three times – the third being when George Bush I
pretended to be Reagan. But the Bush dynasty kept the Republican Party’s
dominant heights in the Establishment’s hands. That is why government grew more
rapidly and the ruling class more prepossessing under the Bushes than under
Democrats. In sum, the closer one gets to the Republican Party’s voters, the
more the Party looks like Goldwater and Reagan. The closer one gets to its top,
the more it looks like wannabe Democrats.
Why then have
Americans who want smaller government, who want to protect the sanctity of
life, who value the right to keep and bear arms, etc. been voting Republican at
all? Because the grass-roots organizations formed to advance these causes
endorse certain Republican candidates. Increasingly, the voters have viewed
these endorsements, rather than the party Establishment’s endorsement, as
indication of what the candidate is all about.
The internet
made it possible for these organizations to inform and form a bond of trust
with the voters, and to set standards by which to judge the performance of
elected officials. Thus informed with facts and opinion, sectors of the country
class have felt represented and empowered. Those on the electronic distribution
list of the “Club for Growth,” for example, are at least as well informed on
economic matters as any credentialed policy maker. The several pro-life
organizations have spread enough knowledge of embryology and moral logic to
make Roe v. Wade, which the ruling class regards as its greatest
victory, a shrinking island in American jurisprudence and society. The
countless Tea Parties that have sprung up all over have added their countless
attendees to networks of information and organization despite the ruling class’
effort to demonize them. The same goes for evangelicals, gun owners, etc.
Though such groups represent the country class fragmentarily, country class
people identify with them rather than with the Republican Establishment.
The issue
groups’ joint endeavor to de-fund Obamacare, their joint rejection of the
Republican Party’s leadership, and the collaboration of Republican legislators
who had been endorsed by some but not others of these groups, effectively forms
a new party. The question is not what the Republican Establishment will do with
these dissidents but what the dissidents will do with the Establishment.
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