Only the rich have benefited
from the Fed’s largess
A major issue in America today is the growing gap between the rich and
the poor, and the popular narrative is that the disparity is caused by
capitalism run wild and only the firm hand of government can fix the problem.
But what if this narrative has it backwards? What if the growing wealth disparity in
America is actually caused by the government?
Take
Warren Buffet, a man often at the center of this debate, as not only is he a
billionaire, but also a vocal advocate for higher income taxes on the rich. Mr.
Buffet’s focus on taxes on income is curious, as he didn’t become a billionaire
by earning a high income, but rather from owning assets, like shares in
Berkshire Hathaway. Many are aware of his acumen in making investments that
have a “margin of safety” – or minimal downside – but few are aware of the greatest source of
such safety for Mr. Buffet in recent years, the US Government.
During
the 2008 crisis Buffet’s investment portfolio was full of wobbly financial
companies like GE and Wells Fargo. In the span of 2 months Berkshire stock –
and Mr. Buffets net worth – lost half their value. In response, Buffet invested
more in collapsing financial companies like Goldman Sachs, then went public
demanding a bailout. The Treasury Department and Federal Reserve responded with
program after program to keep troubled financial entities alive, some of them
invented specifically for Buffet holdings like GE. Just two years later, thanks
to the impact of the bailouts and the Fed’s programs, Berkshire stock rebounded
sharply. Mr. Buffet’s
investment in Goldman Sachs, which he himself admitted was a bet on the
bailouts, made billions and continues to earn him a profit years later.
Mr.
Buffet wasn’t the only person that benefited from the bailouts, but wealthy
citizens like him, who tend to hold the majority of assets in America,
benefited disproportionately. The
untold narrative of how Warren Buffet and others like him “get richer” is how
they managed to not get poorer, even when their bad investment choices dictated
such.
During
the same 2 year span when Buffet’s net worth rose sharply, some 12 million
Americans went on food stamps. Countless middle and lower class Americans lost
their jobs and their homes. Small businesses were wiped out. These Americans
didn’t get a bailout. Those that benefited the least from the boom years
suffered the most during the bust. When people tell me that the bailouts saved
the economy, I like to ask them, for whom?
On March 5th of this year, the Dow Jones Industrials Average recorded an
all time high after an impressive rally from the 2009 lows. It’s widely agreed
that the policies of the Federal Reserve are a big reason why. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke often points to
rising stocks as a measure of success for his programs. Perhaps he likes to
boast about stock market gains because he can’t boast about major jobs creation
or economic growth. In the 4th quarter of 2012 our GDP only grew by 0.1%, and
the economy can barely create enough jobs to keep up with population growth.
The latest report by the Labor Department showed only a paltry gain of 88,000
jobs in the month of March. Personal Income has been falling for years, and we
are amid the worse period for wage growth in over a decade. The stock market
has done well, but two thirds of all stocks are owned by the wealthiest
Americans. Only the
rich have benefited from the Fed’s largess.
The Fed has also lowered interest rates, and billionaire Mark Zuckerberg was able
to get a mortgage at a rate of 1%. Most Americans would consider themselves
lucky if they could get any mortgage, let alone at such paltry rates. Small
business lending remains anemic and credit card rates remain high. Mr. Buffet on the other hand just
announced a major acquisition financed mostly by cheap debt. Such
leveraged buyout deals are lucrative when rates are this low, but ironically by
law only millionaires are allowed to invest in the Private Equity Funds that
utilize them.
The disproportionate gain by the wealthy from
Federal Reserve actions as via the stock and bond markets
is captured in a recently published Pew Research Center report on the first 2 years of the recovery. Their analysis reveals that
from 2009 to 2011 the mean net worth of the top 7% rose by 28%, while the mean
net worth of the lower 93% actually fell. The sharp rebound for the wealthy had
nothing to do with their investment acumen, their risk-taking foresight or
their hard work, as it was entirely driven by Government and Federal Reserve
action.
There is one aspect of Fed action that impacts everyone, even the poor. The Fed’s easy money policies have
driven up commodity prices. Despite gasoline demand being near a decade low,
and supplies so plentiful that America now exports gasoline, the national price
at the pump recorded another record this winter, and Americans are spending a
higher percentage of their pre-tax income on gasoline than ever before. High
gasoline prices hurt the poor and middle class disproportionately.
The
next time you ponder the governments role in the growing wealth-gap, ask
yourself this simple question: Since
the start of the crisis our government has borrowed over $6 trillion and
printed several trillion more. Into whose pockets did that money go?
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