What one expects of folks who trumpet their intelligence, and then demonstrate stupidity
by
Angelo M. Codevilla
By
its handling of China’s claim of a defense zone in international waters, Obama
& co. violated diplomacy’s timeless fundamentals. First they loudly
declared that America continues to regard the zone as international waters, and
sent nuclear-capable B-52 bombers into the area to underline the point. Then they told US airline
companies that the US government would not try to protect them in
these international waters and advised them to submit to Chinese authority
therein. Finally, when the Japanese government asked for US support for its own
claims in the area,Vice President Biden told the
Japanese to deal with China as best they can – much as the Administration had
told US citizens. People who act this way should not be allowed near positions of power.
They could not pass a basic exam in the field.
Teaching
basic courses in international affairs, I often presented students with the
following exam question: Country A claims some exclusive rights over waters
theretofore regarded as international. What would you advise the executive of
country B to do?” The student could earn a passing grade by answering along any
of the following classic lines.
1. Customarily,
a government responds only to events of which it chooses to “take note.”
Country B is not obliged to respond at all. It can leave country A unsure of
what it will have to deal with, and place on it the burden of deciding of
whether or not to “take note” of non-compliance with its claim. Alternatively,
if country B does comply with A’s claim, it can do so without commitment and
without giving the appearance of having bent to a claim that it considers
onerous.
2. B may
choose to inform A quietly that it will not respect the claim and of the
measures it is prepared to take to enforce what it considers its own rights. It
can also inform its allies and its own citizens of those preparations. Quiet
demurral saves A from having to react to a confrontation while leaving no doubt
of the gravity of the confrontation, should it choose to enforce its claim.
Perhaps A will decide quietly that the game is not worth the candle.
3. B may
choose to respect the claim, judging that avoiding confrontation with A overrides
other interests, and that its readiness to acquiesce will gain A’s good will.
In that case, B informs A of its desire for accommodation and negotiates the
best quid-pro-quo that it can for that accommodation.
I flunked
a lot of students in my day. But I do not recall ever giving an F on this
question. This was an easy one because, in international affairs, the
fundamentals are so obvious: minimize expenses, maximize gains, and avoid
losses.
No
undergraduate – and I had some not-so-good ones – ever tried to argue that B
should wave a nuclear flag in front of A, and then advertise that it will not
protect its own citizens. And if a student had ever suggested that B’s reply to
its own ally’s request for help in rolling back A’s claim with Vice President Joseph
Biden’s suggestion that the ally (Japan) develop “crisis management mechanisms
and effective channels of communication,” the great big “F” I would have
scrawled on the exam paper would have been followed by this.
“What you
suggest brings your country all losses and no gains. Since you had no concrete
plans to protect your citizens or your allies in the exercise of their rights
under international law, what was the point of your asserting that right
provocatively but abstractly and un-seriously? You could have gone for option
3, a negotiated surrender of your rights, or for a variant of option 1, a tacit
surrender of your rights. Instead, you surrendered those rights in a way that
called attention to your surrender. To top it all off, you threw your biggest
ally in the region under your misguided bus.
Why would
anyone think that way? I can only guess that it has something to do with the
words you use: “crisis management” and “effective channels of communication.”
Dictionaries tie words to reality. But you attempt to evade reality by using
empty words. What should you do in a crisis? The word “management” is no
answer. “Communication,” you say? But the real question is “what are you going
to communicate? By evading substantive questions, you communicated that your
country deserves contempt.
I advise
you no longer to pursue a degree in international affairs, at least until you
have acquired a better grasp of the English language and some knowledge of
history.”
Never did
I write such a comment on an exam paper, because the least of my undergraduates
never sank to the level of Obama & co.
The
Obamanians’ management of the China defense zone crisis is just what one
expects of folks who trumpet their intelligence, and then demonstrate
stupidity.
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