Tuesday, March 12, 2013

The 1984 Playbook Has Arrived

U.S. Air Force Deletes Drone Strike Data


by Mike Krieger
If you recall, Winston Smith’s job in George Orwell’s classic novel 1984 was to go into historical records and literally change history.  He would alter photographs and text in the archives so that history would always portray “The Party” in a positive light and as omniscient.  Well folks, this behavior has arrived in America and we better nip it in the bud fast before one of these drones is flying right over our heads.  From the Air Force Times:
As scrutiny and debate over the use of remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) by the American military increased last month, the Air Force reversed a policy of sharing the number of airstrikes launched from RPAs in Afghanistan and quietly scrubbed those statistics from previous releases kept on their website.
Last October, Air Force Central Command started tallying weapons releases from RPAs, broken down into monthly updates. At the time, AFCENT spokeswoman Capt. Kim Bender said the numbers would be put out every month as part of a service effort to “provide more detailed information on RPA ops in Afghanistan.”
The Air Force maintained that policy for the statistics reports for November, December and January. But the February numbers, released March 7, contained empty space where the box of RPA statistics had previously been.
Additionally, monthly reports hosted on the Air Force website have had the RPA data removed — and recently.
On Sunday, U.S. Central Command said in a statement that the decision was made to remove the statistics because the data disproportionately places emphasis on the airstrikes. The majority of the RPA missions are for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, with a small percent involving airstrikes.
The data removal coincided with increased scrutiny on RPA policy caused by President Obama’s nomination of John Brennan to head the CIA. Brennan faced opposition in the Senate over the use of RPAs and his defense of their legality in his role as Obama’s deputy national security adviser.
Nothing to see here folks, move along.  Literally. Full article here.

Monday, March 11, 2013

Crackpot Central Bankers Are Destroying Society

Would the real Peter and Paul please stand up?

By Dylan Grice
In a previous life as a London-based ‘global strategist’ (I was never sure what that was) I was known as someone who was worried by QE and more generally, about the willingness of our central bankers to play games with something which I didn’t think they fully understand: money. This may be a strange, even presumptuous thing to say. Surely of all people, one thing central bankers understand is money?
They certainly should understand money. They print it, lend it, borrow it, conjure it. They control the price of it… But so what? What should be true is not necessarily what is true, and in the topsy-turvy world of finance and economics, it rarely is. So file the following under “strange but true”: our best and brightest economists have very little understanding of economics. 
Take the current malaise as prima facie evidence.
Let me illustrate. Of the many elemental flaws in macroeconomic practice is the true observation that the economic variables in which we might be most interested happen to be those which lend themselves least to measurement. Thus, the statistics which we take for granted and band around freely with each other measuring such ostensibly simple concepts as inflation, wealth, capital and debt, in fact involve all sorts of hidden assumptions, short-cuts and qualifications. So many, indeed, as to render reliance on them without respect for their limitations a very dangerous thing to do. As an example, consider the damage caused by banks to themselves and others by mistaking price volatility (measurable) with risk (unmeasurable). Yet faith in false precision seems to us to be one of the many imperfections our species is cursed with.
One such ‘unmeasurable’ increasingly occupying us here at Edelweiss is that upon which all economic activity is based: trust. Trust between individuals, between strangers, between organisations… trust in what people read, and even people’s trust in themselves. Let’s spend a few moments elaborating on this.

First, we must understand the profound importance of exchange. To do this, simply look around you. You might see a computer monitor, a coffee mug, a telephone, a radio, an iPad, a magazine, whatever it is. Now ask yourself how much of that stuff you’d be able to make for yourself. The answer is almost certainly none. So where did it all come from? Strangers, basically. You don’t know them and they don’t know you. In fact virtually none of us know each other. Nevertheless, strangers somehow pooled their skills, their experience and their expertise so as to conceive, design, manufacture and distribute whatever you are looking at right now so that it could be right there right now. And what makes it possible for you to have it? Exchange. To be able to consume the skills of these strangers, you must sell yours. Everyone enters into the same bargain on some level and in fact, the whole economy is nothing more than an anonymous labor exchange. Beholding the rich tapestry this exchange weaves and its bounty of accumulated capital, prosperity and civilization is a marvelous thing.

But we must also understand that exchange is only possible to the extent that people trust each other: when eating in a restaurant we trust the chef not to put things in our food; when hiring a builder we trust him to build a wall which won’t fall down; when we book a flight we entrust our lives and the lives of our families to complete strangers. Trust is social bonding and societies without it are stalked by social unrest, upheaval or even war. Distrust is a brake on prosperity, because distrust is a brake on exchange.

But now let’s get back to thinking about money, and let’s note also that distrust isn’t the only possible brake on exchange. Money is required for exchange too. Without money we’d be restricted to barter one way or another. So money and trust are intimately connected. Indeed, the English word credit derives from the Latin word credere, which means to trust. Since money facilitates exchange, it facilitates trust and cooperation. So when central banks play the games with money of which they are so fond, we wonder if they realize that they are also playing games with social bondingDo they realize that by devaluing money they are devaluing society?

To see the how, first understand how monetary policy works. Think about what happens in the very simple example of a central bank’s expanding the monetary base by printing money to buy government bonds.

That by this transaction the government has raised revenue for the government is obvious. The government now has a greater command over the nation’s resources. But it is equally obvious that no one can raise revenue without someone else bearing the cost. To deny it would imply revenues could be raised for free, which would imply that wealth could be created by printing more money. True, some economists, it seems, would have the world believe there to be some validity to such thinking. But for those of us more concerned with correct logical practice, it begs a serious question. Who pays? We know that this monetary policy has redistributed money into the government’s coffers. But from whom has the redistribution been?

The simple answer is that we don’t and can’t know, at least not on an amount per person basis. This is unfortunate and unsatisfactory, but it also happens to be true. Had the extra money come from taxation, everyone would at least know where the burden had fallen and who had decreed it to fall there. True, the upper-rate tax payers might not like having a portion of their wealth redirected towards poorer members of society and they might not agree with it. Some might even feel robbed. But at least they know who the robber is.

Let’s rip up the Human Rights Act

This act that treats humans as fragile creatures who lack autonomy should be dumped in the dustbin of bad ideas



by Barbara Hewson 
UK justice secretary Chris Grayling’s call for the repeal of the Human Rights Act 1998 has led to claims that he is betraying British values, and damaging Britain’s reputation abroad. But it is time for a grown-up debate about what, exactly, this piece of legislation has done to enhance our civil liberties and fundamental freedoms.
The public, who are not stupid, look askance at a statute which requires judges to block the deportation of those who are said to pose a risk to national security, or of criminals who invoke a right to family life. While not au fait with the arcane legal detail in these decisions, they have an uneasy sense of a prevailing misuse of the language of rights.
A number of respectable commentators are rights-sceptic, for reasons that deserve proper consideration, instead of being dismissed as heretical. In 2010, the economist John Kay penned a withering op-ed for the Financial Times, entitled ‘Not all rights should be defended to the death’, in which he spoke of the degradation of rights:
‘Confusing rights with things that are desirable is not harmless. In the past decade, we have seen the wider and wider use of the language of rights combined with a significant erosion of traditional and truly fundamental rights… The extravagant assertion of “human rights” by lawyers chasing briefs has created an environment in which many people treat the phrase with cynicism or even amusement. The misuse of the language of rights undermines the status of all rights. We should create rights sparingly, and defend them tenaciously.’
fundamental problem with the prevailing culture of ‘rights’ is that they are not really rights at all, but a tool of social control: a far cry from civil liberties, as traditionally understood. They could not be more different from the Common Law concept of individual liberty promoted by the authors of the American Constitution, for whom government was a means of securing that liberty.
The Common Law is founded on two key concepts: the Lockean notion of ‘property’ (meaning ‘lives, liberties and estates’), and contract, whereby people come together legitimately. The Common Law approach is that people are born free, and the powers of government derive from the consent of the governed (1).
As Professor David Chandler explains: ‘For the founders of political and civil-rights theory, rights could only be guaranteed by the subjects of the rights themselves. If it could not be protected, or exercised, by its bearers, then it could no longer be a right, an expression of self-government. Democratic rights theorists developed this concept of the active and self-determining subject of rights in opposition to pre-modern hierarchical conceptions of rights as privileges bestowed on the deserving from above.’ (2)

An unspoken war on the Common Law

It’s time for a fightback

England’s rights-respecting Common Law is being shunted aside by new forms of arbitrary, inquisitorial power
by Josie Appleton 
For centuries, jurists have argued that the English Common Law is the best for liberty. In the fifteenth century, the judge Sir John Fortescue wrote that English law is ‘not only good but the best’ (1), contrasting the public jury trial of the English court with the torture-ridden, summary and secret proceedings on the Continent. In the 1700s, jurist William Blackstone argued that while Continental law fomented ‘arbitrary and despotic power’, the Common Law preserved the liberty of ‘even the meanest subject’ (2).
This wasn’t just national vanity; the French agreed. Montesquieu held England up as the ‘one nation in the world which has political liberty as the supreme object for its constitution’ (3), while Voltaire wrote that ‘the English are the only people on earth who have been able to prescribe limits to the power of kings by resisting them’ (4).
How times have changed. The realm of the Common Law abounds with laments about the loss of ‘fundamental freedoms’ and ‘age-old liberties’. In The Assault on Liberty, barrister and MP Dominic Raab identified a ‘tectonic shift in the relationship between the state and the citizen’, which is ‘inflicting lasting damage on the very bedrock of what it means to be British’. Conservative MP David Davis resigned his Commons seat in protest against the ‘insidious, surreptitious and relentless erosion of fundamental British freedoms’.
Our Common Law cousins in America complain of the same problem. In The Tyranny of Good Intentions, Paul Craig Roberts and Lawrence M Stratton chart the steady ‘erosion of the rights of Englishmen’ on American soil (5). While law once provided protection for the individual against the arbitrary power of the state, they argue, law now furnishes a weapon for the powerful to use as they please. In The Collapse of American Criminal Justice, William J Stuntz says the rule of law has ‘collapsed’: ‘Official discretion rather than legal doctrine or juries’ judgements came to define criminal justice outcomes.’ (6)
Indeed, we have reached the situation where British citizens arguably now find themselves with fewer legal protections than their Continental peers against the arbitrary power of the state, which would have been unthinkable to the likes of Blackstone or Montesquieu. What befell the Common Law?
Bypassing the court
One major shift has been a bypassing of the court, in favour of various forms of summary or concessionary justice. This is an historic change: Blackstone described trial by jury as ‘the glory of English law’, and the public jury trial became the primary form of trial in the twelfth century, a time when Continental Europe was developing an inquisitional system based on the free use of torture. Medieval English courts enjoyed significant popular legitimacy, and people were accustomed to ‘go to the law’ to defend their rights (7).
Yet now, in both Britain and America, the justice system is increasingly geared towards avoiding the court at all costs. In America the impartial jury trial has become a rarity, with some 95 per cent of criminal cases decided in advance by plea bargaining (where the defence agrees to plead guilty, and avoid a trial, in exchange for concessions). As Roberts and Stratton outline, the legal process becomes a stitch-up between defence and prosecution, and the court appearance a mere formality. Innocent defendants may be pressured to settle, and indeed the innocent sometimes ‘roll a lot easier’ than the guilty. Meanwhile, guilty defendants may confess to a more minor offence to avoid more serious charges, which amounts to ‘having people admit to what did not happen in order to avoid charges for what did happen’.
In the UK, out-of-court penalties such as on-the-spot fines (Penalty Notices for Disorder, PNDs), cautions and cannabis warnings have risen to nearly half of all offences ‘brought to justice’. As Dominic Raab outlines, the official issuing the penalty becomes prosecutor, judge and jury: ‘The explicit aim is to short-circuit the entire court process by allowing the police or council officials to investigate, prosecute, try and punish criminal offences – without any judicial check or consideration.’
There is a clear inducement to accept the fine or caution rather than go to trial. The fine is offered as a simple, no-risk payment (‘you can pay in three easy steps’), while the court is used primarily as a threat: ‘If you fail to pay… your PND… the fine will increase by 50 per cent and you may be charged with the offence for which the notice had been issued. If you don’t pay the PND… you may have to pay additional bailiff’s fees or you may be arrested. If you are charged and convicted you will receive a criminal record and may have to pay court costs in addition to any fine imposed. You may also be given a custodial sentence.’
Again, it is possible that the innocent but thin-skinned will pay up or accept a caution. Raab says, ‘For an individual threatened with such a penalty, the incentive to avoid a criminal record and a heavier fine, or even prison, exerts heavy pressure to accept the fine – irrespective of guilt – rather than challenge it in court, which undermines the most basic principles of due process.’
The court is presented not as the site of justice, but as a place where the coercive powers of the state will be used against you. This presentation of the legal process is more familiar in developing countries, where officials threaten: ‘Just pay us and we will make this issue go away - it will be much harder on you if you don’t cooperate….’
Roberts and Stratton describe the plea-bargain system as ‘the return of torture’, in that its primary function is to persuade the defendant into a guilty plea. There may be no rack or thumb screws, but prosecutors exert very low forms of pressure, such as threatening to indict family members if the defendant fails to cooperate.
This is a novel turn for the Common Law. It was the Continental Inquisition which sought confessions above all else, with judges set against the defendant with the sole aim of breaking them; their confession was also a form of penitence. By contrast, Roberts and Stratton note that historically English justice was suspicious of guilty pleas, which were seen as a possible sign of undue pressure in custody, or somebody taking the fall for somebody else. English judges and juries preferred the proof of evidence in court to the defendant falling on the floor in confession. Now, the lands of Common Law prefer to get their confession in police cells or on the street, without the bother even of going to court.
The criminalisation of everything
The Common Law definition of crime required mens rea (the guilty mind) and actus reus (the guilty act). Where the consequences of somebody’s act were not intended, it could not be a crime (so accidents are not crimes, and one is not responsible for damage tangentially related to one’s own actions). Similarly, intent to commit a crime is not in itself a crime.
Mens rea and actus reus have been eclipsed from large sections of criminal law. William J Stuntzargues that mens rea ‘has gone by the boards’; he charts the diluting of intent across several branches of US criminal law. There is no need for the old ‘vicious will’ for the prosecution of many criminal offences: ‘The defendant is guilty if he intended his physical acts, and if these physical acts violate the conduct terms of a criminal statute.’ US drugs offences are drawn so widely that mere possession can be taken as evidence of intent to deal. Paul Craig Roberts and Lawrence M Stratton also note the growing tendency for an accident to be prosecuted as if it had been intended, which is a question not of prosecuting responsibility but of finding someone to blame something bad on.
In the UK, Section 5 of the 1986 Public Order Act (which criminalises the causing of ‘harassment, alarm or distress’) doesn’t require evidence of intent. Laws on anti-social behaviour considered only the ‘anti-social’ consequences of somebody’s conduct: a judge need only find ‘a causal link between the defendant’s behaviour and one of these consequences or an objective likelihood of such a consequence’ (8). The motivation of the person’s action is of no concern. This disinterest in the defendant’s motivations blurs one of the oldest distinctions in criminal law.
The watering down of liability means that people can be punished for the crimes of others. US police can confiscate an individual’s property if somebody else used it to commit a crime - so a landlord could lose his house if one of his tenants dealt drugs, or a woman could lose her car if her husband used it for kerb crawling. Stuntz cites the example of a drug dealer’s girlfriend convicted of ‘intent to distribute’ because of her ‘nexus’ with drug offenders, which is little more than guilt by association. In the UK, the old offence of incitement has been replaced with the much weaker offence of ‘assisting and encouraging’, which includes such defuse crimes as ‘encouraging’ the accessory to a crime (rather than the principal offender), encouraging a preparatory offence (rather than a criminal act), and encouraging an offence which is at the time impossible to commit (therefore a crime that could never have happened, with all the encouragement in the world).
Actus reus has gone similarly by the boards. Common Law was very clear on the point that intent to commit a crime was not in itself a crime. In his book on the Common Law in the late nineteenth century, the American judge Oliver Wendell Holmes illustrated this point with an example. If a man takes a train from Boston to Cambridge with the intention of committing murder, but is stopped en route and returns home, Holmes says this is not a crime: ‘He is no more punishable than if he had sat in his chair and resolved to shoot somebody, but on second thoughts had given up the notion.’ (9) An act is necessary for a crime to be prosecuted, and preparatory acts are only crimes when they are sufficiently close to an actual criminal act.

On doing the right thing in a centrally planned economy

We're Wiping Out The Savings Class Globally, To Terrible Consequence

Jim Rogers decries the growing uncertainty and recklessness of global central planners as the world enters unchartered financial markets:
For the first time in recorded history, we have nearly every central bank printing money and trying to debase their currency. This has never happened before. How it’s going to work out, I don't know. It just depends on which one goes down the most and first, and they take turns. When one says a currency is going down, the question is against what? because they are all trying to debase themselves. It’s a peculiar time in world history.
I own the dollar, not because I have any confidence in the dollar and not because it’s sound – it’s a terribly flawed currency – but I expect more currency turmoil, more financial turmoil. During periods like that, people, for whatever reason, flee to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. It is not a safe haven, but it is perceived that way by some people. That’s why the dollar is going up. That’s why I own it. Will I own it in five years, ten years? I don't know. 
It makes it extremely difficult for the investor looking for acceptable risk/reward, or the saver looking to protect their purchasing power; as in Rogers' view, all options have their problems:
I own gold and silver and precious metals. I own all commodities, which is a better way to play as they debase currencies. I own more agriculture than just about anything else in real assets because of the reasons we discussed before. We were talking before about the risk-free or worry-free investment. Even gold: the Indian politicians are talking about coming down hard on gold, and India is the largest buyer of gold in the world. If Indian politicians do something -- whether it’s foolish or not is irrelevant -- if they do something, gold could go down a lot. So I own it. I’m not selling it. But everything has problems.
To Rogers, the bigger danger that concerns him is the hollowing out of the 'saving class' resulting from this situation. Central planners' policies are punishing the prudent in favor of rescuing the irresponsible. This has happened before in world history, and the aftermath has always had grievous economic, social -- and often human -- costs:
Throughout our history – any country’s history – the people who save their money and invest for their future are the ones that you build an economy, a society, and a nation on.

Beguiled by “Europe”

The E.U.’s supporters seem blind to its dangers and likely dissolution

By Theodore Dalrymple
After speaking recently in Belgium, I declared, in response to an audience member’s suggestion that the European Union’s purpose was the preservation of peace, that “Europe”—in the peculiar, Soviet-style usage of the word now so common—does not mean peace, but conflict, if not outright war. We are building in Europe not a United States, I said, but a Yugoslavia. We shall be lucky to escape violence when it breaks apart.
I passed over the fact that Europe is, so far, the consequence of peace, and not its cause; that multilateral agreements between countries have always been possible without the erection of giant and corrupt bureaucratic apparatuses that weigh like a peine forte et dure on most Western European economies; that the maintenance of peace does not require or depend upon regulating the size of bananas sold in the marketplace; and that the notion that were it not for the European Union, there would be war, is inherently Germanophobic—because no one believes, for instance, that Estonia would otherwise attack Slovenia, or Portugal Slovakia.
It always seems strange to me that in Belgium, of all countries, people should be unable to see the European Union’s dangers. After all, the country is composed of only two main national communities—the French-speaking Walloons and the Dutch-speaking Flemish—and the division between the two is now sharper than at any previous time, to such an extent that the country recently had no government for more than 500 days. (Honesty compels me to admit that Belgium seems to have come to no great harm during that period.) No one in Belgium explains, or even asks, why what has not proved possible for 189 years—full national integration of just two groups sharing so much historical experience and a tiny fragment of territory—should be achievable on a vastly larger scale with innumerable national groups, many of which have deeply ingrained and derogatory stereotypes of one another.
I also pointed out that “Europe” lacks almost all political legitimacy, which will make it impossible to resolve real and growing differences. The results of the subsequent Italian general election—wherein two anti-European demagogues collected between them more than half of the votes—would seem to confirm my prognostication. Anti-German feeling runs high in Italy, and not only there. Matters weren’t much improved by the insensitive remarks of the German minister of labor in a recent edition of Der Spiegel, to the effect that the ongoing economic crisis is lucky for Germany because, with high youth unemployment elsewhere on the continent—50 percent in Spain, for example—young people, especially the best-qualified, will increasingly seek jobs in Germany. “And that,” she said, “will rejuvenate the country, making it more creative and international.” In other words, the continent’s high unemployment is the solution to Germany’s demographic decline.
After I finished speaking, a man approached and told me that he was not particularly attached to democracy as a solution to our problems. He put his faith, instead, in technocracy, wherein lay our salvation. That he was clearly an intelligent, cultivated, and decent man made what he said more frightening, not less.

Sunday, March 10, 2013

‘Educrats’ now outnumber teachers in 25 states

Taking Over America’s public schools

STATE
PUBLIC SCHOOL TEACHERS, 2010
NON-TEACHING STAFF, 2010
NON-TEACHING STAFF PER 100 TEACHERS, 2010
Virginia
70,947
130,100
183.4
Indiana
58,121
80,681
138.8
Kentucky
42,042
57,183
136.0
Wyoming
7,127
9,296
130.4
Oregon
28,109
35,493
126.3
Alaska
8,171
9,931
121.6
Ohio
109,282
131,930
120.7
Vermont
8,382
10,103
120.5
Michigan
88,615
104,872
118.3
Connecticut
42,951
50,137
116.7
New Hampshire
15,365
17,590
114.5
Maine
15,384
17,165
111.6
Arkansas
34,273
37,912
110.6
Mississippi
32,255
35,611
110.4
Colorado
48,543
52,883
108.9
Louisiana
48,655
52,225
107.3
New Mexico
22,437
24,082
107.3
Minnesota
52,672
56,322
106.9
South Dakota
9,512
10,033
105.5
Pennsylvania
129,911
136,884
105.4
Utah
25,677
26,664
103.8
Nebraska
22,345
23,164
103.7
California
260,806
269,531
103.3
Georgia
112,460
114,728
102.0
Iowa
34,642
34,973
101.0
United States
3,099,095
3,096,113
99.9
By Mark Perry
At the Division of Labour blog, Frank Stephenson points to a new study by Ben Scafidi at The Friedman Foundation for Educational Choice that finds (according to Frank) “Educrats Outnumber Teachers in 21 States.” The study is titled “The School Staffing Surge: Decades of Employment Growth in America’s Public Schools, Part II.”  (Here’s a link to the companion study, Part I.) From the Executive Summary of Part II:
America’s K-12 public education system has experienced tremendous historical growth in employment, according to the U.S. Department of Education’s National Center for Education Statistics. Between fiscal year (FY) 1950 and FY 2009, the number of K-12 public school students in the United States increased by 96 percent, while the number of full-time equivalent (FTE) school employees grew 386 percent. Public schools grew staffing at a rate four times faster than the increase in students over that time period. Of those personnel, teachers’ numbers increased 252 percent, while administrators and other non-teaching staff experienced growth of 702 percent, more than seven times the increase in students.