“Tough luck, Lonnehan. But that's what you get for playing with your head up your ass!”
-The Sting
There is noise and fluff and soap bubbles floating in
the wind but don’t be distracted. Like so many things connected to the European
Union it is just hype. In the first place do you think that any nation in
Europe is actually going to put up money for the firewall no matter what size
that they claim it will be? Let me give you the answer; it is “NO.” The
firewall is just one more contingent liability that is not counted for any
country’s financials, one more public statement of guarantee that everyone on
the Continent hopes and prays will never be taken too seriously and certainly
never used. Any rational person knows that some
promise to pay in the future will not solve anything and it certainly won’t
create some kind of magic ring fence around any nation. Think
it through; what will it do to stop Spain or Italy from knocking at the door of
the Continental Bank if they get in trouble and the answer is clearly nothing,
not one thing. The firewall is just a distraction to lull all of you back to
sleep and all of the headlines and discussion about it makes zero difference to
any outcome and so is nothing more than a ruse. “Look this way please, do not
look that way, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain, put up your
money to buy our sovereign debt like a good boy and everything will be just
fine.”
“Did you ever hear of a hustle called Two Brothers and a Stranger?”
-The Color of Money