Expanding 'Depletable' Resources
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Italian Immigrants arriving at Ellis Island 1903 |
"I'm sorry for you—coming to Texas [in 1915] to look for oil. Don't
you know there is no oil in Texas?!" —Wallace Pratt, Consultant, "Oil
Finding—the Way it Was," Petroleum 2000 Issue, Oil & Gas Journal, August
1977, p. 144
By Robert L. Bradley Jr.*
If resources are not fixed but created, then the nature of the scarcity
problem changes dramatically. For the technological means involved in the use
of resources determines their creation and therefore the extent of their
scarcity. The nature of the scarcity is not outside the process (that is
natural), but a condition of it. —Tom DeGregori (1987). "Resources Are
Not; They Become: An Institutional Theory." Journal of Economic Issues, p.
1258.
Mineral resources, not synthetically producible in human time frames,1 are fixed
in the earth. As each is mined, less supply remains, suggesting that cost and,
thus, price must increase as production cumulates.
Yet, for virtually all minerals, the opposite seems to be true: As more is
mined, more is discovered to be mined. Prices and costs do not inexorably rise.
What was high-cost yesterday has become lower-cost, undercutting the perennial
complaint that "the easy stuff has been found." Overall, there seems
to be little difference between minerals and general goods and services.