A deal reached Monday in Brussels may have saved Cyprus from becoming the first country to crash out of the euro, but it came at the cost of widening the political mistrust between the strong economies of Europe's north and the weaklings of the south.
By GABRIELE STEINHAUSER , MARCUS WALKER,MATINA STEVIS
Several
officials familiar with talks in Nicosia and Brussels over the €10 billion ($13
billion) rescue for the island described more than a week of chaotic
negotiations. European officials cited Cypriot foot-dragging, reversals and
dropped communications, a situation one European Union official called
"terrifying." Cypriot officials described their European opposites as
demanding and inflexible.
The
fresh bitterness over the Cyprus mess—which appears deeper than at similar
points during Greece's extended financial turmoil—could hamper future attempts
to fix the bloc's flaws. Germany, the euro zone's biggest economy, prevailed as
it typically has in the negotiations, but at the price of growing resentment
over what some Europeans saw as its bullying of a tiny nation.
The accord will see big depositors and other creditors lose large sums following
the radical downsizing of the country's biggest bank and the shuttering of its
second largest—the first time such a "bail-in" has been seen in the
three-year euro-zone crisis.
On
Monday, Cypriots waited nervously for banks to reopen after their March 15
closure, wondering whether there would be further deposit flight. The country's
central bank said late in the day that all of the country's lenders would remain
closed until Thursday, after saying earlier that all but the two largest would
reopen Tuesday.
Markets greeted
the deal with an optimism that quickly faded when Dutch finance
minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem suggested in an interview that big bank depositors
and senior creditors may be expected to contribute to future euro-zone bailout
packages. Later, after bank shares and other euro-based assets fell on the
remarks, he appeared to backtrack in a message from his Twitter account:
"Cyprus [is a] specific case. Programmes tailor-made to situation, no
models or templates used."
The Dow Jones
Industrial Average also fell after the remarks, closing down 64.28 points to
14447.75 on Monday.
Monday's agreement
capped a 10-day psychological drama. Cyprus's president struck an initial deal
that would have seen the country raise its share of the bailout funds byrequiring all
account-holders in Cypriot banks to pay a tax on their deposits, only to see the
plan struck down by
parliament. Cyprus went hat-in-hand to Moscow for help, to no
avail. Cyprus also raised eyebrows in euro-zone central banks by allowing
several hundred million euros to be wired out of the country in the past week,
despite an official freeze on outflows on all but a few exempt categories, such
as funds for humanitarian purposes.
On Thursday
morning, the European Central
Bank threatened to cut off liquidity to Cypriot banks—condemning them
to instant bankruptcy—if no deal was reached by Monday.
By Sunday,
officials said negotiations were close to breaking down on several occasions.
"Nobody wanted to take the decision that could have led to the first exit
of a euro member," said one official following the negotiations. "But
it could have been the consequence."
The final accord
will see depositors with less than €100,000 in their accounts at Cyprus's two
largest banks keep all their money. Bigger depositors in the banks are set to
pay a sharply higher price. Large account-holders at Cyprus Popular Bank, the
second-largest bank, will have deposits converted into shares in a "bad
bank" to contain poor-quality assets, and will likely be repaid only a
fraction of their savings over time.
In the end, this
deal ended up looking like a more severe version of an early proposal floated
by Germany and the International Monetary Fund to close the country's two
biggest banks—a plan that had been rejected by Cypriot president Nicos
Anastasiades 10 days earlier.
At that time, Mr.
Anastasiades instead agreed to a plan to levy a tax on all account holders in
Cypriot banks—a proposal that was quickly perceived as a mistake by German
Chancellor Angela Merkel and others
because it penalized small savers.
After Cyprus's
parliament rejected a version of the levy on Tuesday, officials from Germany
and other creditor countries grew irritated as they waited to hear Cyprus's
promised "Plan B."
Cypriot finance
minister Michael Sarris—in Moscow for what turned out to be a fruitless request
for funding—wasn't returning calls from his euro-zone peers. Meanwhile, in
Nicosia, negotiators from the IMF, European Central Bank and European
Commission spent up to 16 hours a day holed up in the glass-front Central Bank
building. Seldom did Cypriot officials show up to join them, according to
European officials.
Struggling to
collect information from the ground, Brussels-based officials relied on media
reports to get a sense of what the Cypriot government was planning.
"It's
difficult to disentangle from the Cypriots who is proposing what," said a
senior euro-zone official. "I have never, ever witnessed anything like
this. It's a disaster."
A Cypriot official
countered that Nicosia had put several proposals on the table in an attempt to
contain the fallout on the economy and society. "The troika were the ones
coming with more and more demands," this official said. "They had a
clear mandate not to move from their positions. The issue was political, beyond
economic rationale."
The fight over the
future of Bank of Cyprus, the country's largest lender, became heated by
Thursday. Officials in Brussels and in Cyprus noted that many Cypriot
parliamentarians keep their savings there.
Mr. Anastasiades
tried to sway Ms. Merkel, asking her by phone for a more lenient deal, said
people familiar with the call. The chancellor told him that she wouldn't haggle
over specifics and that Cyprus needed to talk to the troika.
On Friday morning,
Ms. Merkel's patience was running out. She angrily briefed lawmakers from her
ruling center-right coalition and told them Cyprus was trying to face Europe
down, according to people present. Cypriot leaders haven't understood yet that
their "business model" of outsize offshore banking has failed, she
said. Europe had to stick to its principles, she added: Aid is only for
countries that were prepared to reform, she said.
Ms. Merkel told
her advisers and lawmakers she didn't want to see Cyprus leave the euro zone.
But the chancellor and her finance minister prepared to let Cyprus fail if it
wouldn't agree to terms, German officials say.
Tensions were
running high Sunday in Brussels as key officials—including IMF chief Christine Lagarde, ECB head Mario Draghi, EU President
Herman Van Rompuy and other top EU officials—met Mr. Anastasiades over a lunch
of lamb and baby potatoes.
Mr. Anastasiades
complained that his country was being treated more harshly than any of the euro
zone's other bailout victims. He backtracked on an earlier agreement to wind
down Cyprus Popular Bank.
According to a senior
Cypriot official, Mr. Anastasiades was appalled by the way he was spoken to at
the lunch. The president threatened to resign. Mr. Dijsselbloem told him he
didn't care about the president's political future, only the future of the euro
zone, the senior official said.
The lunch ended
two or three hours later "and not in a good mood," said a second
official.
Meanwhile, troika
technical experts went to work in the European Council's headquarters in
Brussels on a new proposal for Cyprus: Wind down Cyprus Popular Bank and fold
its good assets into Bank of Cyprus. But most euro-zone finance ministers
summoned to the building to sign off on the deal were forced to wait in their
national delegation rooms on the seventh floor.
Germany's
Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble grew particularly irascible, officials said.
At one point, Ms. Lagarde went to calm him down. She also tried to raise
spirits in Mr. Van Rompuy's fifth-floor suite, where top EU officials were
meeting with Mr. Anastasiades. The IMF chief handed out M&Ms, as officials
say she often does at late-night European negotiations.
As EU leaders tried to calm Mr.
Anastasiades and convince him to accept the need for radical surgery to Cypriot
banks, his finance minister, Mr. Sarris, was negotiating an eight-point action
list in another room with EU Commissioner Olli Rehn, ECB executive-board member
Jörg Asmussen and Austrian official Thomas Wieser, who chairs the euro zone's
regular consultations among finance officials, according to people familiar
with the meeting. The "annex" that the four men drafted outlined the
specifics of dealing with the top two Cypriot banks.
As the evening dragged on, Mr. Schäuble
and French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici consulted their respective leaders
by phone. Then they conveyed a Franco-German message to the Cypriot leader: Mr.
Anastasiades should give up hope that a summit of euro-zone leaders would lead
to an easier deal. Even if a summit were to be called, the deal facing Cyprus
would be the same one as now.
Shortly before midnight, the Cypriot
president came back with a new proposal, which officials said backtracked on
the closure of Cyprus Popular. At that point, the EU leaders calmly told Mr.
Anastasiades "to pack up and leave" if he wasn't ready to cooperate,
one official present at the meeting said.
The president signed off on the broad
deal—one more costly than the one its parliamentarians rejected last week.
"There is no doubt in the government
that the first deal was far better," said a senior Cypriot official.
"We bluffed and we lost. The whole thing was a fiasco."
No comments:
Post a Comment