The Eternal War
By Andrew J Bacevich
For
well over a decade now the United States has been "a nation at war".
Does that war have a name?
It did
at the outset. After 9/11, George W Bush's administration wasted no time in
announcing that the US was engaged in a "Global War on Terrorism", or
GWOT. With few dissenters, the media quickly embraced the term. The GWOT
promised to be a gargantuan, transformative enterprise. The conflict begun on
9/11 would define the age. In neoconservative circles, it was known as World
War IV.
Upon
succeeding to the presidency in 2009, however, Barack Obama without fanfare
junked Bush's formulation (as he did again in a speech at the National Defense
University last week). Yet if the appellation went away, the conflict itself,
shorn of identifying marks, continued.
Does it
matter that ours has become and remains a nameless war? Very much so.
Names
bestow meaning. When it comes to war, a name attached to a date can shape our
understanding of what the conflict was all about. To specify when a war began
and when it ended is to privilege certain explanations of its significance
while discrediting others. Let me provide a few illustrations.
With
rare exceptions, Americans today characterize the horrendous fraternal
bloodletting of 1861-1865 as the Civil War. Yet not many decades ago, diehard
supporters of the Lost Cause insisted on referring to that conflict as the War
Between the States or the War for Southern Independence (or even the War of
Northern Aggression). The South may have gone down in defeat, but the purposes
for which Southerners had fought - preserving a distinctive way of life and the
principle of states' rights - had been worthy, even noble. So at least they
professed to believe, with their preferred names for the war reflecting that
belief.
Schoolbooks
tell us that the Spanish-American War began in April 1898 and ended in August
of that same year. The name and dates fit nicely with a widespread inclination
from president William McKinley's day to our own to frame US intervention in
Cuba as an altruistic effort to liberate that island from Spanish oppression.
Yet the
Cubans were not exactly bystanders in that drama. By 1898, they had been
fighting for years to oust their colonial overlords. And although hostilities
in Cuba itself ended on August 12, they dragged on in the Philippines, another Spanish
colony that the United States had seized for reasons only remotely related to
liberating Cubans. Notably, US troops occupying the Philippines waged a brutal
war not against Spaniards but against Filipino nationalists no more inclined to
accept colonial rule by Washington than by Madrid.
So
widen the aperture to include this Cuban prelude and the Filipino postlude and
you end up with something like this: the Spanish-American-Cuban-Philippines War
of 1895-1902. Too clunky? How about the War for the American Empire? This much
is for sure: rather than illuminating, the commonplace textbook descriptor
serves chiefly to conceal.
Strange
as it may seem, Europeans once referred to the calamitous events of 1914-1918
as the Great War. When Woodrow Wilson decided in 1917 to send an army of
doughboys to fight alongside the Allies, he went beyond Great. According to the
president, the Great War was going to be the War To End All Wars. Alas, things
did not pan out as he expected. Perhaps anticipating the demise of his vision
of permanent peace, War Department General Order 115, issued on October 7,
1919, formally declared that, at least as far as the United States was
concerned, the recently concluded hostilities would be known simply as the
World War.
In September 1939 - presto chango! - the World War suddenly became the First World War, the Nazi invasion of Poland having inaugurated a Second World War, also known as World War II or more cryptically WWII. To be sure, Soviet dictator Josef Stalin preferred the Great Patriotic War. Although this found instant - almost unanimous - favor among Soviet citizens, it did not catch on elsewhere.
In September 1939 - presto chango! - the World War suddenly became the First World War, the Nazi invasion of Poland having inaugurated a Second World War, also known as World War II or more cryptically WWII. To be sure, Soviet dictator Josef Stalin preferred the Great Patriotic War. Although this found instant - almost unanimous - favor among Soviet citizens, it did not catch on elsewhere.
Does
World War II accurately capture the events it purports to encompass? With the
crusade against the Axis now ranking alongside the crusade against slavery as a
myth-enshrouded chapter in US history to which all must pay homage, Americans
are no more inclined to consider that question than to consider why a playoff
to determine the professional baseball championship of North America
constitutes a "World Series".
In
fact, however convenient and familiar, World War II is misleading and not
especially useful. The period in question saw at least two wars, each only
tenuously connected to the other, each having distinctive origins, each
yielding a different outcome. To separate them is to transform the historical
landscape.
On the
one hand, there was (from the US perspective) the Pacific War, pitting the
United States against Japan. Formally initiated by the December 7, 1941, attack
on Pearl Harbor, it had in fact begun a decade earlier when Japan embarked upon
a policy of armed conquest in Manchuria. At stake was the question of who would
dominate East Asia. Japan's crushing defeat at the hands of the United States,
sealed by two atomic bombs in 1945, answered that question (at least for a
time).
Then
there was the European War, pitting Nazi Germany first against Great Britain
and France, but ultimately against a grand alliance led by the United States,
the Soviet Union, and a fast fading British Empire. At stake was the question
of who would dominate Europe. Germany's defeat resolved that issue (at least
for a time): no one would. To prevent any single power from controlling Europe,
two outside powers divided it.
This
division served as the basis for the ensuing Cold War, which wasn't actually
cold, but also (thankfully) wasn't World War III, the retrospective insistence
of bellicose neoconservatives notwithstanding. But when did the Cold War begin?
Was it in early 1947, when president Harry Truman decided that Stalin's Russia
posed a looming threat and committed the United States to a strategy of
containment? Or was it in 1919, when Vladimir Lenin decided that Winston
Churchill's vow to "strangle Bolshevism in its cradle" posed a
looming threat to the Russian Revolution, with an ongoing Anglo-American
military intervention evincing a determination to make good on that vow?
Separating
the war against Nazi Germany from the war against Imperial Japan opens up
another interpretive possibility. If you incorporate the European conflict of
1914-1918 and the European conflict of 1939-1945 into a single narrative, you
get a Second Thirty Years War (the first having occurred from 1618-1648) - not
so much a contest of good against evil, as a mindless exercise in
self-destruction that represented the ultimate expression of European folly.
So,
yes, it matters what we choose to call the military enterprise we've been
waging not only in Iraq and Afghanistan, but also in any number of other
countries scattered hither and yon across the Islamic world. Although the Obama
administration appears no more interested than the Bush administration in
saying when that enterprise will actually end, the date we choose as its
starting point also matters.
Although
Washington seems in no hurry to name its nameless war - and will no doubt
settle on something self-serving or anodyne if it ever finally addresses the
issue - perhaps we should jump-start the process. Let's consider some possible
options, names that might actually explain what's going on.
The
Long War: Coined not
long after 9/11 by senior officers in the Pentagon, this formulation never
gained traction with either civilian officials or the general public. Yet the
Long War deserves consideration, even though - or perhaps because - it has lost
its luster with the passage of time.
At the
outset, it connoted grand ambitions buoyed by extreme confidence in the
efficacy of American military might. This was going to be one for the ages, a
multi-generational conflict yielding sweeping results.
The
Long War did begin on a hopeful note. The initial entry into Afghanistan and
then into Iraq seemed to herald "home by Christmas" triumphal
parades. Yet this soon proved an illusion as victory slipped from Washington's
grasp. By 2005 at the latest, events in the field had dashed the neo-Wilsonian
expectations nurtured back home.
With
the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan dragging on, "long" lost its
original connotation. Instead of "really important", it became a
synonym for "interminable." Today, the Long War does succinctly
capture the experience of American soldiers who have endured multiple combat
deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan.
For
Long War combatants, the object of the exercise has become to persist. As for
winning, it's not in the cards. The Long War just might conclude by the end of
2014 if President Obama keeps his pledge to end the US combat role in
Afghanistan and if he avoids getting sucked into Syria's civil war. So the
troops may hope.
The War
Against al-Qaeda: It
began in August 1996 when Osama bin Laden issued a "Declaration of War
against the Americans Occupying the Land of the Two Holy Places", ie,
Saudi Arabia. In February 1998, a second bin Laden manifesto announced that
killing Americans, military and civilian alike, had become "an individual
duty for every Muslim who can do it in any country in which it is possible to
do it".
Although
president Bill Clinton took notice, the US response to bin Laden's provocations
was limited and ineffectual. Only after 9/11 did Washington take this threat
seriously. Since then, apart from a pointless excursion into Iraq (where, in
Saddam Hussein's day, al-Qaeda did not exist), US attention has been focused on
Afghanistan, where US troops have waged the longest war in American history,
and on Pakistan's tribal borderlands, where a CIA drone campaign is ongoing. By
the end of President Obama's first term, US intelligence agencies were
reporting that a combined CIA/military campaign had largely destroyed bin
Laden's organization. Bin Laden himself, of course, was dead.
Could
the United States have declared victory in its unnamed war at this point?
Perhaps, but it gave little thought to doing so. Instead, the national security
apparatus had already trained its sights on various al-Qaeda
"franchises" and wannabes, militant groups claiming the bin Laden
brand and waging their own version of jihad. These offshoots emerged in the
Maghreb, Yemen, Somalia, Nigeria, and - wouldn't you know it - post-Saddam
Iraq, among other places. The question as to whether they actually posed a
danger to the United States got, at best, passing attention - the label
"al-Qaeda" eliciting the same sort of Pavlovian response that the
word "communist" once did.
Americans
should not expect this war to end anytime soon. Indeed, the Pentagon's impresario
of special operations recently speculated - by no means unhappily - that it
would continue globally for "at least 10 to 20 years". Freely
translated, his statement undoubtedly means: "No one really knows, but
we're planning to keep at it for one helluva long time."
The War
For/Against/About Israel: It began in 1948. For many Jews, the founding of the state of Israel
signified an ancient hope fulfilled. For many Christians, conscious of the sin
of anti-Semitism that had culminated in the Holocaust, it offered a way to ease
guilty consciences, albeit mostly at others' expense. For many Muslims,
especially Arabs, and most acutely Arabs who had been living in Palestine, the
founding of the Jewish state represented a grave injustice. It was yet another
unwelcome intrusion engineered by the West - colonialism by another name.
Recounting
the ensuing struggle without appearing to take sides is almost impossible. Yet
one thing seems clear: in terms of military involvement, the United States
attempted in the late 1940s and 1950s to keep its distance. Over the course of
the 1960s, this changed. The US became Israel's principal patron, committed to
maintaining (and indeed increasing) its military superiority over its
neighbors.
In the
decades that followed, the two countries forged a multifaceted "strategic
relationship". A compliant congress provided Israel with weapons and other
assistance worth many billions of dollars, testifying to what has become an
unambiguous and irrevocable US commitment to the safety and well-being of the
Jewish state. The two countries share technology and intelligence. Meanwhile,
just as Israel had disregarded US concerns when it came to developing nuclear
weapons, it ignored persistent US requests that it refrain from colonizing
territory that it has conquered.
When it
comes to identifying the minimal essential requirements of Israeli security and
the terms that will define any Palestinian-Israeli peace deal, the United
States defers to Israel. That may qualify as an overstatement, but only
slightly. Given the Israeli perspective on those requirements and those terms -
permanent military supremacy and a permanently demilitarized Palestine allowed
limited sovereignty - the War For/Against/About Israel is unlikely to end
anytime soon either. Whether the United States benefits from the perpetuation
of this war is difficult to say, but we are in it for the long haul.
The War
for the Greater Middle East: I confess that this is the name I would choose for Washington's
unnamed war and is, in fact, the title of a course I teach. (A tempting
alternative is the Second Hundred Years War, the "first" having begun
in 1337 and ended in 1453.)
This
war is about to hit the century mark, its opening chapter coinciding with the
onset of World War I. Not long after the fighting on the Western Front in
Europe had settled into a stalemate, the British government, looking for ways
to gain the upper hand, set out to dismantle the Ottoman Empire whose rulers
had foolishly thrown in their lot with the German Reich against the Allies.
By the
time the war ended with Germany and the Turks on the losing side, Great Britain
had already begun to draw up new boundaries, invent states, and install rulers
to suit its predilections, while also issuing mutually contradictory promises
to groups inhabiting these new precincts of its empire. Toward what end? Simply
put, the British were intent on calling the shots from Egypt to India, whether
by governing through intermediaries or ruling directly. The result was a new
Middle East and a total mess.
London
presided over this mess, albeit with considerable difficulty, until the end of
World War II. At this point, by abandoning efforts to keep Arabs and Zionists
from one another's throats in Palestine and by accepting the partition of
India, they signaled their intention to throw in the towel. Alas, Washington
proved more than willing to assume Britain's role. The lure of oil was strong.
So too were the fears, however overwrought, of the Soviets extending their
influence into the region.
Unfortunately,
the Americans enjoyed no more success in promoting long-term, pro-Western
stability than had the British. In some respects, they only made things worse,
with the joint CIA-MI6 overthrow of a democratically elected government in Iran
in 1953 offering a prime example of a "success" that, to this day,
has never stopped breeding disaster.
Only
after 1980 did things get really interesting, however. The Carter Doctrine
promulgated that year designated the Persian Gulf a vital national security
interest and opened the door to greatly increased US military activity not just
in the Gulf, but also throughout the Greater Middle East (GME). Between 1945
and 1980, considerable numbers of American soldiers lost their lives fighting
in Asia and elsewhere. During that period, virtually none were killed fighting
in the GME. Since 1990, in contrast, virtually none have been killed fighting
anywhere except in the GME.
What
does the United States hope to achieve in its inherited and unending War for
the Greater Middle East? To pacify the region? To remake it in our image? To
drain its stocks of petroleum? Or just keeping the lid on? However you define
the war's aims, things have not gone well, which once again suggests that, in
some form, it will continue for some time to come. If there's any good news
here, it's the prospect of having ever more material for my seminar, which may
soon expand into a two-semester course.
The War
Against Islam: This
war began nearly 1,000 years ago and continued for centuries, a storied
collision between Christendom and the Muslim ummah. For a couple of hundred
years, periodic eruptions of large-scale violence occurred until the conflict
finally petered out with the last crusade sometime in the fourteenth century.
In
those days, many people had deemed religion something worth fighting for, a
proposition to which the more sophisticated present-day inhabitants of
Christendom no longer subscribe. Yet could that religious war have resumed in
our own day? Professor Samuel Huntington thought so, although he styled the
conflict a "clash of civilizations". Some militant radical Islamists
agree with Professor Huntington, citing as evidence the unwelcome meddling of
"infidels", mostly wearing American uniforms, in various parts of the
Muslim world. Some militant evangelical Christians endorse this proposition,
even if they take a more favorable view of US troops occupying and drones
targeting Muslim countries.
In
explaining the position of the United States government, religious scholars
like George W Bush and Barack (Hussein!) Obama have consistently expressed a
contrary view. Islam is a religion of peace, they declare, part of the great
Abrahamic triad. That the other elements of that triad are likewise committed
to peace is a proposition that Bush, Obama, and most Americans take for
granted, evidence not required. There should be no reason why Christians, Jews,
and Muslims can't live together in harmony.
Still,
remember back in 2001 when, in an unscripted moment, president Bush described
the war barely begun as a "crusade"? That was just a slip of the
tongue, right? If not, we just might end up calling this one the Eternal
War.
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