The BRICS are coming (hoping) to change the world
By Valentin
Mândrăşescu
The status of the
US dollar as the world reserve currency gives the US a number of advantages
over other countries. The world’s most important commodities are priced and
traded in dollars, even if most of these commodities are not produced in the
US. The fact that the world’s financial system is based on the dollar allows
the Federal Reserve to export inflation to other countries, while the Federal
Government runs a huge deficit with impunity.
So far, only China
has been active in challenging the dollar supremacy. The internationalization
of the yuan is an official priority of Chinese leaders. Currency swap
agreements with major trade partners like Brazil, France, or Australia are
small but important steps in the Chinese strategy. Changing the world financial
system is not an easy task and certainly a very challenging undertaking for
China. Now, it seems that Beijing has found an ally in the Kremlin. And there
appears to be a consensus between the BRICS countries: the urgent necessity to
dismantle the dollar system.
A week before the
recent BRICS summit in Durban, the Kremlin administration has silently produced
a document which describes the Russian strategy in the context of BRICS
cooperation. The document makes for a fascinating read for anyone brave enough
to plow through the dense Russian legalese. The strategy has been designed in
the “inner circle” of Vladimir Putin’s team, so it is safe to assume that it
represents the official view on the BRICS future.
In Russia,
politics are Byzantine; the fact that the Kremlin decided not to hide the
document or leak it to a chosen few journalists, but publish it outright is a
very strong signal, a very vocal angry signal directed at the US. A signal that
the Western media chose to ignore.
In the recitals
section of the document, the authors point out that “there is a common desire
of the BRICS partners to reform the outdated global financial and economic
framework that doesn’t take into account the growing economic weight of the
emerging markets.” Moreover, the Russian strategists view the BRICS as a tool
to reform the way the world is being governed. Then the document hammers home
its message:
Russia assumes
that, given enough political will of the leadership of the BRICS countries to
advance their cooperation, this alliance can become one of the key elements of
a new system for global governance, primarily in the economic and financial
domains.
Move aside New
World Order! The BRICS are coming to change the world.
The goals are
clear. In the section titled “Strategic goals,” the first point on the BRICS’
agenda is the reform of the world financial system in order to make it “fairer,
more stable, and more efficient.” In the later chapters, it is spelled clearly
that this “reform” is actually a dismantling of the dollar system.
It is worth noting
that the place of this issue in the list of the BRICS’ priorities speaks
volumes about its importance. Judging by the order of priorities, depriving the
dollar of its status as the world reserve currency is more important than
“preventing breaches of sovereignty” (a.k.a. the “Syrian problem”) or
“expanding economic cooperation.”
The language used
in this document indicates that it has been written or strongly influenced by
Sergei Glaziev, the president’s economy advisor, who is known for masterminding
the economic aspects of the Eurasian Union between Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan.
Glaziev has repeatedly accused Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke of starting “a
currency war” against the emerging markets. He also believes that Bernanke’s
policy will ultimately lead to a military confrontation: “the conservation
logic of the current financial and political system leads to a further
escalation of military and political tensions, including the start of a major
war” (read more).
A whole chapter of
the strategy document is dedicated to step-by-step instructions on dismantling
the existing global financial system. The list of measures includes:
Reformation of the world currency system in order to create a representative, stable and predictable system of world reserve currencies;
Reduction of the risks of destabilization of currency and equity markets linked to massive cross-border flows of capital;
Increasing the use of national currencies in the trade between BRICS countries;
Increasing the level of cooperation between BRICS countries in order to promote their interest in the domain of world trade;
Strengthening the BRICS Exchange Alliance;
Creating independent rating agencies.
Since the Durban
Summit, at least one of those measures has been implemented: RT reported that
“China’s Dagong Global Credit Rating agency is to set up the joint venture with
US-based Egan-Jones Ratings Co (EJR) and Russia's RusRating JSC to challenge
the three major US ratings agencies.” As BRICS countries try to achieve the
rest of their stated goals, it remains to be seen if the dollar system survives
the joint onslaught of the biggest emerging economies.
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