The so-called retirement funds, both private and governmental, are allocated toward sovereign bonds
by Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk
by Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk
We could write volumes on the western world’s obsession with their
beloved welfare systems and volumes have been written. The reader is obviously
familiar with most of this history and the glaringly obvious unsustainability
of the systems enacted.
We will therefore only make a couple of observations that are novel to
the debate. When the systems were introduced in the 1960s it is true that we
did get a boost to savings. Payments into the system were made without large
payments out of the system. However, contrary to the old system before public
pension funds were introduced, saved capital that were supposed to be allocated
to productive business loans were now diverted into the government coffers.
What used to be cash strapped politicians now suddenly saw a windfall of wealth
flowing into their grip, which consequently could be used to buy votes in the
next election. Unsurprisingly ambitious projects within the government sphere
were undertaken to “invest” the newfound money.
Consider the Swedish experience during the time of plenty. The Swedish
politicians “invested” the capital in low cost housing for the poor often in
less well-off municipalities. While the intent may have benign and not a wilful
act to bribe the electorate to be re-elected it does not change the conclusions
that can be drawn from this story. The government allocated scarce capital to
highly unproductive usage and gave it to dependents. Participants paying into
the system did so under the pretence of saving for old age while they unknowingly
consumed valuable capital. As the government coerced them to “save” people were
tricked into reducing their own savings confident they were secure from the
government program. Instead of securing a decent yield to secure consumption as
dependents, they ended up by bailing out the municipalities that obviously
could not pay back. First their taxes went into poor investments, and then they
had to bail out the inevitable default from current taxes. All was lost. Twice!
In other words, the Swedes reduced savings through the introduction of a
system with the intention to make sure everybody saved. Talk about unintended
consequences and perverted incentives through government intervention! We are
sure the Swedish experience was not unique as similar programs were introduced
all over the western world.
More generally we know that a large part of so-called retirement funds,
both private and governmental, are allocated toward sovereign bonds. The system
is rigged in several dimensions to make sure that happens. But is this not just
a more sophisticated version of the Swedish experiment? Think about it; today’s
retirement saving goes into destructive debt (see previous blog post), which reduces the productive potential
of the economic system! In other words, the assets held by pension funds are an
unwilling promise forced upon our generation to pay taxes in the future. Since
the system reduces our productivity we have to pay higher and higher taxes just
to keep up. From this we can draw the obvious conclusion that a welfare state
will per definition create less and less wealth and prosperity, and this
vicious circle of lower and lower growth must continue until insolvency strikes
and restructuring is forced upon a bewildered population. The generational
fight for resources that we face will undoubtedly be ugly, and until the
demographics shift to our favour, we will lose.
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