The
euphoria over the Syrian chemical weapons resolution passed by the United
Nations Security Council on Friday is swirling around making the headlines, but
a sense of dark foreboding also lurks below the surface threatening to spoil
the party.
True,
after an inordinately long interval when nothing seemed to be going well
between them, the United States and Russia agree on something. That calls for
celebration. But then, details are emerging that there was much wrangling
between the two foreign ministers, John Kerry and Sergey Lavrov, including some
tense moments. The trust deficit is palpable.
Potentially
significant step
To be sure, there is testiness in the air. President Barack Obama hasn't spoken a word with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, since their 20-minute chat during the Group of 20 summit in St. Petersburg almost a month ago.
To be sure, there is testiness in the air. President Barack Obama hasn't spoken a word with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, since their 20-minute chat during the Group of 20 summit in St. Petersburg almost a month ago.
In
his statement on Saturday, Obama was conspicuously modest. The eloquence was
lacking. His understanding of the resolution probably needed a clarification by
Lavrov on Russian state television the next day.
Obama viewed the resolution as "legally binding, that would be verifiable and enforceable, where there will be consequences for Syria's failure to meet what has been set forth in the resolution", and to that extent he saw that the resolution "actually goes beyond what could have been accomplished through any military action".
Obama viewed the resolution as "legally binding, that would be verifiable and enforceable, where there will be consequences for Syria's failure to meet what has been set forth in the resolution", and to that extent he saw that the resolution "actually goes beyond what could have been accomplished through any military action".
Obama
noted the resolution's "explicit endorsement" of the Geneva process
on Syria. He was "very hopeful" about the prospects but immediately
voiced concern "whether Syria will follow through on the commitments"
and agreed with "legitimate concerns" as to how the implementation of
the resolution will be possible in civil war conditions.
All
things concerned, however, Obama cautiously estimated that the Security Council
resolution "represents potentially a significant step forward". What
probably was not audible was the sigh of relief on his part that a military
action against Syria was not necessary - for the present, at least.
Obama's
reticence stands in comparison with the triumphalism with which Lavrov claimed
the resolution as a victory of Russian diplomacy, which "did not come
easy". Lavrov listed the gains:
Russia made sure the
professionals of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons will
be the main actors in the implementation of the resolution rather than the UN
Security Council;
Russia "achieved its
goal" of ensuring there are "no pretexts or loopholes" for the
use of force, bearing in mind the Libyan experience and "the capabilities
of our partners to interpret the UN Security Council resolutions".