Argentina – Another Peso Devaluation
Imminent?
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| The Argentine Peso vs. the US dollar over the past decade, official rate | 
By
Pater Tenebrarum
Argentina
famously employs 'dollar-sniffing' dogs at its borders to keep its citizens
from getting their savings out of the hands of the domestic kleptocracy to a
safe haven. After years of soaring inflation, the black market rate of the peso
has fallen to about half the official rate. As a result, rumors of an imminent
devaluation are growing more pronounced of late.
In a
new gambit to get hold of more foreign exchange, Argentina's government is
offering people who bring undeclared dollars home an amnesty. This is almost
like saying: 'please bring the stuff back for us to steal'. It probably won't
work. 
In
fact, given the strenuous denials by the government, which insists that there
will never – honest injun! – be a devaluation of the peso, it
is almost certain that it will be devalued, based on the
'never believe anything until it's been officially denied' principle. In
typical government fashion, fingers are wagged in the direction of 'those who
want to profit from a devaluation', i.e., it's all the fault of evil
speculators.
Meanwhile,
president Fernandez-Kirchner has become tainted by a growing scandal over a
close friend of her family who apparently shipped dollars out of Argentina by
the plane load. As a result, her government is threatened by new political
competition from the left (just what Argentina urgently needs: more socialism!).
 
 

























