A little is all right. That’s the message Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has been giving out recently when asked about
the evidence of inflation in the U.S. recovery.
Sometimes Bernanke doesn’t even go that
far. He simply says
he doesn’t see inflation. The Fed chairman recently described the prospects for
price increases across the board as“subdued.”
“Sudden” is
more like it. The thing about inflation is that it comes out of nowhere and
hits you. Monetary policy is like sailing. You’re gliding along, passing
the peninsula, and you come about. Nothing. Then the wind fills the sail so
fast it knocks you into the sea. Right now, the U.S. is a sailboat that has
just made open water, and has already come about. That wind is coming. The
sailor just doesn’t know it.