Whatever the
outcome of the American presidential election, one thing is certain: the
fighting of it will be the most significant political event of the decade. Last
week’s Republican national convention sharpened what had been until then only a
vague, inchoate theme: this campaign is going to consist of the debate that all
Western democratic countries should be engaging in, but which only the United
States has the nerve to undertake. The question that will demand an answer lies
at the heart of the economic crisis from which the West seems unable to
recover. It is so profoundly threatening to the governing consensus of Britain
and Europe as to be virtually unutterable here, so we shall have to rely on the
robustness of the US political class to make the running.
What is being
challenged is nothing less than the most basic premise of the politics of the
centre ground: that you can have free market economics and a democratic
socialist welfare system at the same time. The magic formula in which the
wealth produced by the market economy is redistributed by the state – from
those who produce it to those whom the government believes deserve it – has
gone bust. The crash of 2008 exposed a devastating truth that went much deeper
than the discovery of a generation of delinquent bankers, or a transitory
property bubble.