Pretty much any commentary here is pointless
Tuesday, May 29, 2012
Friendly Societies
Voluntary Social Security and More
By John Chodes
By John Chodes
In his retirement
speech as Speaker of the House, Tip O’Neill contrasted the world of small
government in the 1930s, when he entered politics, with today’s big government
emphasis on social services, which he helped cre ate: “Health insurance was out
of the question. For the elderly, life was filled with uncertainty, dependency
and horror. Only the lucky few had pensions. There was no such thing as social
security.”
O’Neill was wrong. Working class families had a
“safety net” long before Uncle Sam became involved. Our grandparents and even
great-grand-parents had benefit plans that protected them when they were sick,
injured, out of work, or too old to work. Millions of workers belonged to
“friendly societies.”
Allegory and Political Economy
Communication and
Cooperation
By Daniel B. Klein
By Daniel B. Klein
“We must look at the price system,” wrote Friedrich
Hayek, “as . . . a mechanism for communicating information if we want to
understand its real function.” Hayek’s talk of communication was a great
advance in economic thinking. Talk of communication is common among
market-oriented economists. In their textbook Tyler Cowen and Alexander
Tabarrok write: “[P]rice signals and the accompanying profits and losses tell
entrepreneurs what areas of the economy consumers want expanded and what areas
they want contracted.” Such talk is both illuminating and beautiful.
But the price of eggs communicates, in a literal
sense, nothing more than: Yours for $1.89. If we are to be literal, we must
mind the element of communion, or community, in communication. Literally,
communication is a meeting of minds. The knowledge communicated passes
through us as commonly experienced ideas, images, or notions.
Ditch College for All
The obsessive faith in college has backfired
By Robert Samuelson
By Robert Samuelson
The college-for-all crusade
has outlived its usefulness. Time to ditch it. Like the crusade to make all
Americans homeowners, it's now doing more harm than good. It looms as the
largest mistake in educational policy since World War II, even though higher
education's expansion also ranks as one of America's great postwar triumphs.
Consider. In 1940, fewer than
5 percent of Americans had a college degree. Going to college was "a
privilege reserved for the brightest or the most affluent" high-school
graduates, wrote Diane Ravitch in her history of U.S. education, "The
Troubled Crusade." No more. At last count, roughly 40 percent of Americans
had some sort of college degree: about 30 percent a bachelor's degree from a
four-year institution; the rest associate degrees from community colleges.
Too Big for Comfort
Why we need to break up the banks
BY JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
BY JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
America needs to break up its biggest banks, but not for reasons likely to
give a tingle to Occupy Wall Street’s remnant rabble (or its Great Everywhere
Spirit, Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts). This isn’t about
some political exercise in election-year demonization. Bankers, as a class,
aren’t villains. They’re not “banksters” grifting money from middle-income
pockets. And they’re certainly not vampire squids on the collective face of
humanity, as Rolling Stone writer Matt Taibbi has infamously
described Goldman Sachs. And while it might be rhetorical overkill to say
they’re “doing God’s work,” as Goldman boss Lloyd Blankfein has put it, bankers
do fulfill a critical economic function. Bankers, not bureaucrats, are supposed
to be the efficient allocators of capital in America’s market-based economy.
They connect people who have spare dough to those who need a bit of spare
dough, such as entrepreneurs looking to start a business or companies looking
to grow one. We need lots of successful banks, and we need smart folks to run
them.
'Meaningful Work'
Many people work "just for the money"
By Thomas Sowell
By Thomas Sowell
"Education" is a
word that covers a lot of very different things, from vital, life-saving
medical skills to frivolous courses to absolutely counterproductive courses
that fill people with a sense of grievance and entitlement, without giving them
either the skills to earn a living or a realistic understanding of the world
required for a citizen in a free society.
The lack of realism among many
highly educated people has been demonstrated in many ways.
When I saw signs in
Yellowstone National Park warning visitors not to get too close to a buffalo, I
realized that this was a warning that no illiterate farmer of a bygone century
would have needed. No one would have had to tell him not to mess with a huge
animal that literally weighs a ton, and can charge at you at 30 miles an hour.
We are each on our own.
The End Of The Euro: A Survivor’s Guide
By Peter Boone and Simon Johnson
By Peter Boone and Simon Johnson
In every economic crisis there comes a moment of
clarity. In Europe soon, millions of people will wake up to realize that
the euro-as-we-know-it is gone. Economic chaos awaits them.
To understand why, first strip away your
illusions. Europe’s crisis to date is a series of supposedly “decisive”
turning points that each turned out to be just another step down a steep
hill. Greece’s upcoming election on June 17 is another such moment.
While the so-called “pro-bailout” forces may prevail in terms of
parliamentary seats, some form of new currency will soon flood the streets of
Athens. It is already nearly impossible to save Greek membership in the
euro area: depositors flee banks, taxpayers delay tax payments, and companies
postpone paying their suppliers – either because they can’t pay or because they
expect soon to be able to pay in cheap drachma.
Bread, Circuses, Debasement & Decline
This road leads to a dead end
"We are following the exact path of the Roman Empire and every empire that has existed in human history. Our decline is well under way. The only question is how long before the final collapse. I can guarantee you it won’t be centuries. History moves more rapidly and the weapons at the disposal of war pigs are much more lethal. First there will be financial collapse, then world war. In the meantime, enjoy the bread and circuses while your dollars are debased by the minute."
By Chris Sullivan
Back in the ’70s, I used to expect the government to suffer a financial
collapse at which time it would have to quit doing most of the things it’s
doing because it would run out of money. That isn’t what has happened. Instead
of cutting spending it has printed more money and tried to increase taxes
on various things.
Monday, May 28, 2012
Greece Through the Looking Glass
We're
Not In Wonderland Anymore, Alice!
"You may call it ‘nonsense’ if you like," she said, "but I've heard nonsense, compared with which that would be as sensible as a dictionary!"-The Red Queen
By Mark Grant
With all of the talk of Greece leaving the Eurozone
and forfeiting the Euro as its currency; what if it does not? That, my friends,
is now the question. The current estimation of Greece’s GDP is $308.3 billion. All
of the debt of Greece, direct, derivatives and guaranteed is $1.3 trillion giving
the country an actual debt to GDP ratio of 421.67%. You may recall all of the talk,
all of the pandering words spit out by the IMF and the European Union that the
new austerity measures would take the Greek debt to 120%; all nonsensical and a
nonfactual expression of a very fantastic and fairy tale imagination. If
someone has actually stepped through the looking glass I suspect it is
Christine Lagarde. Perhaps she is Alice’s granddaughter? In my estimation she
must have eaten some of the cake because her reputation has dwindled as she and
Greece fell down the rabbit’s hole.
Nazis from the Moon
Beware the rise of EU anti-populists
The EU elites’ fear of an imminent Fourth Reich reveals a great deal about their loathing of the European mob.by Patrick Hayes
Earlier this month, the
sci-fi comedy Iron Sky was released in Britain, featuring the
return to Earth of a band of vicious Nazis in flying saucers. ‘In 1945 the
Nazis went to the moon’, goes the movie trailer, which shows a giant
swastika-shaped base on the moon. ‘In 2018, they are coming back.’
You have to wonder, given his recent comments
regarding the rise of the right across Europe, whether Britain’s deputy prime
minister Nick Clegg thinks he is inhabiting the same fantasy world as Iron Sky. In an interview with Der Spiegel, where he
reaffirmed the Lib-Con coalition’s commitment to the EU, Clegg claimed that there could be ‘a whole range of nationalist, xenophobic and extreme
movements increasing across the European Union’. Warning of an imminent
‘disaster’, he implied that lessons need to be learnt from Europe’s history:
‘We know this much from our continent: the combination of economic insecurity
and political paralysis is the ideal recipe for an increase in extremism and
xenophobia.’
The Systemic Siesta
Pricing Labor Out of the Market
by Carolina Carmenes Cavia and
David Howden
With victories over the
Germans in the 2008 European Football Championship and during the 2010 World
Cup, there is little doubt that the Spaniards have the upper hand on the soccer
field. Yet while Spaniards have had much to cheer about in the soccer world
over the last five years, the economic situation is a world removed.
Spanish unemployment is now
hovering around 23 percent, with over 50 percent of youths jobless. Only around
6 percent of Germans are without work, almost the lowest level in the country since
reunification. This divide solidifies Spain's position among the
worst-performing economies of the continent, and Germany's vaunted position as
among the best.
The "Race to the Bottom"
Value in Devaluation?
by Patrick Barron
The euro is in trouble. That is not news. What is news
is that people with deep pockets are willing to pay for economists to provide a
solution. Lord Wolfson has offered a £250,000 prize for the best way a
country can exit the European Monetary Union (EMU). Five finalists for the
prize were announced in March. The winner will be announced in June.
None of the five finalists — Neil Record, Jens Nordvig, Jonathan Tepper, Catherine Dobbs, and Roger Bootle — advocates a return to sound money; all assume
that new, national fiat currencies will float; and all assume that unproductive
countries will benefit from devalued new currencies. The theory is that a
devalued currency will spur export-driven economic growth. Furthermore, they
have little confidence that economic reforms — which they all, by the way, do
recommend — will be achieved in the near term and see devaluation as a quicker
alternative. But will this work? First a word about devaluation itself.
A Case For The Individual
The Case of Sherlock
Holmes
By Maura Pennington,
By Maura Pennington,
For
a character obsessed with details, Sherlock Holmes would be pleased with the
ones that were preserved in the BBC modern adaptation whose second series
concluded airing in America this past Sunday. My favorite is John
Watson’s puzzled amusement at the gaps in his friend’s prodigious
knowledge.
In
the first novel, A Study in Scarlet,
before he learns that Holmes is the world’s only consulting detective, Watson
tries to make a list to determine his roommate’s occupation based on his
apparent areas of expertise. He finds that Holmes has only a feeble grasp
on politics and no understanding of astronomy, the latter made evident by his
ignorance of the fact that the earth revolves around the sun. Both the
literary and televised versions of Holmes give the excuse that it only makes
sense to retain knowledge that is applicable to one’s own pursuits in
life. For him, the earth’s position in the universe has no bearing on the
observation of the idiosyncrasies of men in order to outwit them.
Coming Together or Flying Apart?
The “Greek fatigue.”
By John Mauldin
By John Mauldin
The debate among very
knowledgeable individuals and institutions as to the future of Europe is
intense. There are those who argue that the cost of breaking up the eurozone,
even allowing Greece to leave, is so high that it will not be permitted to
happen. Estimates abound of a cost of €1 trillion to European banks,
governments, and businesses, just for the exit of Greece. And that does not
include the cost of contagion as the markets wonder who is next. Keeping
Spanish and Italian interest-rate costs at levels that can be sustained will
cost even more trillions, as not just government debt but the entire banking
system is at stake. Not to mention the pension and insurance funds. If the cost
of Greece leaving is €1 trillion, then who can guess the cost of Spain or
Italy?
A total Greek default wipes
out more than twice the ECB balance sheet. That means the remaining countries
will have to put twice as much into the ECB as their present commitment, just
to get the ECB back to where it technically stands today
(because the assumption is still that Greek debt is good, and so the ECB is
still lending money to the Greek Central Bank).
Europe continues to fight the wrong battle
Damned if You do, Damned if You Don’t
by Peter Tchir
by Peter Tchir
It is clear that Greece has had a solvency
issue now for over 2 years. The ECB and Troika chose to treat it as a
liquidity problem. Maybe, they could have argued that in early 2010, but
by the summer of 2011 it was obvious to any credit observer that the problem
was solvency, yet they continued to treat it as one of liquidity. That is
scary because if they fail to see the problem correctly now, they will fail
miserably. Not only is the problem clearly solvency, but now forced currency conversion has been added to the mix.
Any “solution” from the EU must now address that risk, and it is not the same
as solvency. Programs that
can protect against solvency may do nothing for the redenomination risk.
'Greece is a Failed Corrupt State
From Head of
Deutsche Bank - Purposely Inflammatory
Statements to Force Greece Exit
Strong messages from the head or the IMF, the head of
Deutsche Bank, and the president of the Bundesbank are highly likely to drive
Greek voters away from New Democracy and Pasok in the June 17 elections.
The International Monetary Fund has ratcheted up the pressure on crisis-hit Greece after its managing director, Christine Lagarde, said she has more sympathy for children deprived of decent schooling in sub-Saharan Africa than for many of those facing poverty in Athens.
The last public intellectual?
The disillusion of the brightest of this generation.
by Neil Davenport
by Neil Davenport
Twenty-one years ago, an American-Japanese academic,
Francis Fukuyama, wrote an essay called ‘The End of History’. His argument was
that the collapse of Stalinist communism in Eastern Europe vindicated the
supremacy of liberal-capitalist democracies. For Fukuyama, ‘this was it’ for
human progress. Capitalist triumphalism, however, barely lasted 12 months, let
alone a lifetime, as Western political elites ended up as disorientated and as
demoralised as radical left-wingers. Incredibly, by the mid-1990s, Marx’s
political economy was back in academic vogue in the United States, while
Western politicians often flattered the moral grandstanding of
‘anti-capitalist’ protesters. From that point on, a consensus has emerged that
says economic growth isn’t all its cracked up to be and the state is to be
cherished and worshipped. In 2012, who would have thought that ‘The End of
History’ would look like Sweden?
Sunday, May 27, 2012
It is clear that Germany is already being placed on the hook
The Separation of Bank and State
By David Zervos
By David Zervos
The euro monetary system is flawed. It is a system
that was cobbled together for political purposes; and sadly it was set up in
such a way that each member state retained significant sovereign powers – most
importantly the ability to exit the system and default on debts in times of
stress. There is virtually NO federal power in the Union, as witnessed by the
complete breakdown of the Maastrict and Lisbon treaties. In fact, what we are
seeing today is that the structure of the monetary system is so poorly designed,
it actually creates perverse fiscal linkages across member states that
incentivize strategic default and exit.
Our new leader of the Greek revolt, Mr CHE-pras, has
figured this one out. And in turn he is holding Angie hostage as we head into
June 17th!
The Revolution will not be Tweeted this weekend
Facebook also a
loser in Egypt
By Mark Steyn
By Mark Steyn
So how's that old
Arab Spring going? You remember – the "Facebook Revolution." As I
write, they're counting the votes in Egypt's presidential election, so by the
time you read this the pecking order may have changed somewhat. But currently
in first place is the Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohammed Morsi, who in an
inspiring stump speech before the students of Cairo University the other night
told them, "Death in the name of Allah is our goal."
Like!
In second place is
the military's man, Ahmed Shafiq, Hosni Mubarak's last Prime Minister and a man
who in a recent television interview said that "unfortunately the
revolution succeeded."
Like!
Greece should imitate Latvia
Latvia Shows the
Way, Proving Some Famous Merchants of Doom Wrong
Today, the Latvian
government can claim victory. In the first quarter of this year, Latvia’s
annualized GDP grew by 6.8 percent, the highest growth rate in Europe, and last
year Latvia recorded a growth rate of 5.5 percent, the third highest in Europe.
Four years ago, GDP plummeted by a total of 24 percent because of the sudden
stop of international financing in September 2008. But that decline lasted only
two years. Unemployment has fallen from 21 percent in early 2010 to 16 percent
two years later.
How times can change. In December 2008, Paul Krugman
claimed, “Latvia is the new Argentina.” In June 2009, Nouriel Roubini asserted
that “devaluation seems unavoidable” and that the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) and the European Union were “throwing good money after bad” in their
support of Latvia’s stabilization program.
But Latvia did not devalue. Instead it carried out a
vigorous “internal devaluation,” with large cuts in public expenditures and
wages as well as structural reforms, while supported financially by the IMF and
the European Union. Many argue that Latvia is special, but the Latvian
government did exactly what it was supposed to do and the Latvian people
understand that. Remarkably, Valdis Dombrovskis, who became prime minister in
the midst of the crisis in March 2009 and led the cure, has been reelected
twice in parliamentary elections since then.
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