By Raul Ilargi
Production and exports are plummeting in Italy, Holland, Finland, Germany,
just about anywhere; in China, production growth falls
sharply. But your "leaders" will keep on talking about restoring
growth, recovery etc. Spain has secretly asked for some $200-300 billion in
bank bail-outs on Saturday (and got much less, the Wall Street Journal reports it will be €125), and 24 hours later play its first game in
the Euro Cup, for which it's the great favorite.
The potential Spain bailout will need to be financed through EFSF bonds.
The IMF has stated that the banks will need €40 billion, but that number looks
ridiculously low. €40 billion every week over the entire summer sounds more
like it.
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard quotes a few voices:
Megan Greene, from Roubini Global Economics, says Spain's banks will need up to €250bn - a claim
that no longer looks extreme. New troubles are emerging daily. The Bank of
Spain said yesterday that Catalunya Caixa and Novagalicia will need a total of
€9bn in new state funds.
JP Morgan is expecting the final package for Spain to rise above €350bn, while
RBS says the rescue will "morph" into a full-blown rescue of €370bn
to €450bn over time - by far the largest in world history.